-PIT Pirates v STL Cardinals Over 8.0 (-115) | 0.5 Units

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Why This Pick?

I’ll be honest – I can’t imagine a universe where this game total doesn’t find itself on the moon, as neither of these pitchers can reliably keep runs off the board. 4 of Mitch Keller’s (4.34 ERA) last 5 starts have seen a score of at least 10 runs, and St. Louis starter Andre Pallante (5.17 ERA) has allowed a staggering 21 hits over his last 3 outings. Take the Over to cash.

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I'm just going to come right out and say it, fam – today was brutal! The baseball powers-that be were wildly unforgiving. And yet, I honestly didn't hate any of my reads today – sometimes the math just doesn't math unfortunately. 

For those of you that are new here, I try to do a post-game recap both when we win and when we lose... while it's always nice to win together, sometimes it helps to sulk and commiserate together as well. Tonight, we'll be doing the latter 😂🥵

Funny – after the Detroit Tigers game ended, someone in our community sent me a message and asked if losing bothers me. I'm going to be wildly candid about this: the short answer, is no. A loss day doesn't bother me, a losing week doesn't bother me, and hell, even the odd losing month doesn't bother me. Though, the reason losses in the short-term don't bother me is because I know that in the grand scheme, these losses are minimal. 

Let me put this into perspective for you, friends – and let's use baseball as an example because that's what's giving us grief at the moment. The MLB season is long; bettors literally have 162 games to turn a profit! And over the course of the year – an entire year of major league sports – a bad month is peanuts. 

So for those of you that are feeling down and/or discouraged because of a rough stretch, don't be. There will be plenty of opportunities to get your bankroll groove back, so to speak. Fun fact: we quite literally always recover from a bad week 😉

On that note, I'm off to plan my revenge on sports book for today's casualties. 

I'll see you all bright and early to conquer the books!

X

Belle

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‍

Today's Picks

-ATL Braves v MIA Marlins Over 7.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-MIA Marlins Team Total Over 3.5 (-115)

-LA Angels v TEX Rangers Over 7.0 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-DET Tigers -1.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-DET Tigers Team Total Over 5.5 (+110) | 0.5 Units

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Why These Picks?

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ATL Braves v MIA Marlins: The Over has cashed in 4 of Cabrera’s last 5 starts, and 5 of the last 6 encounters between these two squads have seen at least 8 runs. With Braves starter Spencer Strider having allowed a ridiculous 20 runs in his last 3 outings, I simply have to take the Over to cash, betting family. I'll also toss a sprinkle on the Marlins to put at least 4 runs on the board.

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LA Angels v TEX Rangers: Good as starter Jacob deGrom (2.76 ERA) is, 4 of his last 5 outings have see at least 7 runs. On the other side, Jose Soriano (4.00 ERA) has given up 12 runs across his last 3 outings. Worst case I say we get the push here – but my money's on the Over to cash.

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DET Tigers v The Athletics: I’m rolling with the plus money return here, friends. I don’t expect the home squad to get much past Tarik Skubal (2.32 ERA), and Detroit has put at least 8 runs on the board in 3 of their last 4 encounters with the As. In addition, starter J.T. Ginn (4.95 ERA) has been brutal in his last 2 home outings. Between Ginn and the As bullpen, the Tigers should have no issue running up a total here. I’m on the Tigers to bag at least 6.

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Today's Player Props

-LA Angels v TEX Rangers: Jacob deGrom Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-105) | 0.20 Units

-DET Tigers v The Athletics: Spencer Torkelson 2+ Total Bases (+140) | 0.20 Units

-KC Royals v CHI White Sox: Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Parlays

VIP Parlay (+418) | 0.20 Units

-TEX Rangers ML (-180)

-TOR Blue Jays ML (-150)

-MIL Brewers Team Total Over 4.5 (+100)

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Premium Parlay (+950) | 0.20 Units

-TEX Rangers Team Total Over 3.5 (-145)

-MIA Marlins ML (-105)

-STL Cardinals ML (-130)

-BOS Red Sox Team Total Over 4.5 (-125)

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Today's Picks

-ATL Braves v MIA Marlins Over 7.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-MIA Marlins Team Total Over 3.5 (-115)

-LA Angels v TEX Rangers Over 7.0 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-DET Tigers -1.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-DET Tigers Team Total Over 5.5 (+110) | 0.5 Units

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Why These Picks?

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ATL Braves v MIA Marlins: The Over has cashed in 4 of Cabrera’s last 5 starts, and 5 of the last 6 encounters between these two squads have seen at least 8 runs. With Braves starter Spencer Strider having allowed a ridiculous 20 runs in his last 3 outings, I simply have to take the Over to cash, betting family. I'll also toss a sprinkle on the Marlins to put at least 4 runs on the board.

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LA Angels v TEX Rangers: Good as starter Jacob deGrom (2.76 ERA) is, 4 of his last 5 outings have see at least 7 runs. On the other side, Jose Soriano (4.00 ERA) has given up 12 runs across his last 3 outings. Worst case I say we get the push here – but my money's on the Over to cash.

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DET Tigers v The Athletics: I’m rolling with the plus money return here, friends. I don’t expect the home squad to get much past Tarik Skubal (2.32 ERA), and Detroit has put at least 8 runs on the board in 3 of their last 4 encounters with the As. In addition, starter J.T. Ginn (4.95 ERA) has been brutal in his last 2 home outings. Between Ginn and the As bullpen, the Tigers should have no issue running up a total here. I’m on the Tigers to bag at least 6.

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Today's Player Props

-LA Angels v TEX Rangers: Jacob deGrom Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-105) | 0.20 Units

-DET Tigers v The Athletics: Spencer Torkelson 2+ Total Bases (+140) | 0.20 Units

-KC Royals v CHI White Sox: Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Parlay

Parlay (+418) | 0.20 Units

-TEX Rangers ML (-180)

-TOR Blue Jays ML (-150)

-MIL Brewers Team Total Over 4.5 (+100)

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Today's Picks

-ATL Braves v MIA Marlins Over 7.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-MIA Marlins Team Total Over 3.5 (-115)

-LA Angels v TEX Rangers Over 7.0 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-DET Tigers -1.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-DET Tigers Team Total Over 5.5 (+110) | 0.5 Units

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Why These Picks?

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ATL Braves v MIA Marlins: The Over has cashed in 4 of Cabrera’s last 5 starts, and 5 of the last 6 encounters between these two squads have seen at least 8 runs. With Braves starter Spencer Strider having allowed a ridiculous 20 runs in his last 3 outings, I simply have to take the Over to cash, betting family. I'll also toss a sprinkle on the Marlins to put at least 4 runs on the board.

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LA Angels v TEX Rangers: Good as starter Jacob deGrom (2.76 ERA) is, 4 of his last 5 outings have see at least 7 runs. On the other side, Jose Soriano (4.00 ERA) has given up 12 runs across his last 3 outings. Worst case I say we get the push here – but my money's on the Over to cash.

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DET Tigers v The Athletics: I’m rolling with the plus money return here, friends. I don’t expect the home squad to get much past Tarik Skubal (2.32 ERA), and Detroit has put at least 8 runs on the board in 3 of their last 4 encounters with the As. In addition, starter J.T. Ginn (4.95 ERA) has been brutal in his last 2 home outings. Between Ginn and the As bullpen, the Tigers should have no issue running up a total here. I’m on the Tigers to bag at least 6.

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Today's Player Props

-LA Angels v TEX Rangers: Jacob deGrom Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-105) | 0.20 Units

-DET Tigers v The Athletics: Spencer Torkelson 2+ Total Bases (+140) | 0.20 Units

-KC Royals v CHI White Sox: Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Picks

-ATL Braves v MIA Marlins Over 7.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-MIA Marlins Team Total Over 3.5 (-115)

-LA Angels v TEX Rangers Over 7.0 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-DET Tigers -1.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-DET Tigers Team Total Over 5.5 (+110) | 0.5 Units

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Why These Picks?

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ATL Braves v MIA Marlins: The Over has cashed in 4 of Cabrera’s last 5 starts, and 5 of the last 6 encounters between these two squads have seen at least 8 runs. With Braves starter Spencer Strider having allowed a ridiculous 20 runs in his last 3 outings, I simply have to take the Over to cash, betting family. I'll also toss a sprinkle on the Marlins to put at least 4 runs on the board.

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LA Angels v TEX Rangers: Good as starter Jacob deGrom (2.76 ERA) is, 4 of his last 5 outings have see at least 7 runs. On the other side, Jose Soriano (4.00 ERA) has given up 12 runs across his last 3 outings. Worst case I say we get the push here – but my money's on the Over to cash.

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DET Tigers v The Athletics: I’m rolling with the plus money return here, friends. I don’t expect the home squad to get much past Tarik Skubal (2.32 ERA), and Detroit has put at least 8 runs on the board in 3 of their last 4 encounters with the As. In addition, starter J.T. Ginn (4.95 ERA) has been brutal in his last 2 home outings. Between Ginn and the As bullpen, the Tigers should have no issue running up a total here. I’m on the Tigers to bag at least 6.

-DET Tigers Team Total Over 5.5 (+110) | 0.5 Units

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Why This Pick?

I’m rolling with the plus money return here, friends. I don’t expect the home squad to get much past Tarik Skubal (2.32 ERA), and Detroit has put at least 8 runs on the board in 3 of their last 4 encounters with the As. In addition, starter J.T. Ginn (4.95 ERA) has been brutal in his last 2 home outings. Between Ginn and the As bullpen, the Tigers should have no issue running up a total here. I’m on the Tigers to bag at least 6.

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Good evening, betting friends! Tonight's email is brought to you by my extra large coffee cup ☕️ I have a few things to talk about, so get comfy 😊 First off, today was pretty uneventful – picks hit 2/4, and player props hit 2/4! I will say that every single one of our props was plus money, so prop bettors, you came out of the evening pretty even. For those curious, here's what we had:

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Picks (2/4)

-BOS Red Sox v NY Yankees Over 8.5 (-115) ✅

-BAL Orioles ML (-130) ✅

-BAL Orioles Team Total Over 4.5 (-110) ❌

-WAS Nationals v PHI Phillies Over 9.0 (-120) ❌

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Props (2/4)

-TOR Blue Jays v MIA Marlins: Kevin Gausman Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+120) ✅

-HOU Astros v BAL Orioles: Gunner Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110) ✅

-KC Royals v DET Tigers: Kerry Carpenter Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) ❌

-HOU Astros v BAL Orioles: Colton Cowser Over 1.5 Total Bases (+145) ❌

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I have to say... I'm absolutely choked that Pick of the Day didn't hit. What is it with these typically abysmal pitchers waking up and deciding to channel their inner Cy Young? This one should've been free money in my opinion – not no money at all 😂 Oh well – tomorrow's a new day.

On a fun note, the BELLE'S PICKS APP will be up and out just in time for NFL season! Holy hell, I'm so excited. 🤩🏈 Keep an eye on your inbox, I'll have an App store link out the door for everyone late next week.

By downloading the app, you'll receive push notifications to your device whenever new picks, props & parlays post! I've also put a few other fun things in there as well 😉

Alright friends, that's all for now! As always, I'll see you all bright and early to conquer the books.

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X

Belle

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🔥 Want all of my picks, props & parlays?
👉 Upgrade your tier anytime under ‘My Account’

‍🎓 Ready to level up your game?
📚 Check out Belle’s Online Betting Course

💬 Enjoying Belle’s Picks?
☕ Buy Belle a Coffee

‍

Today's Picks

-BAL Orioles Team Total Over 4.5 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-BAL Orioles ML (-130) | 0.25 Units

-WAS Nationals v PHI Phillies Over 9.0 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-BOS Red Sox v NY Yankees Over 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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HOU Astros v BAL Orioles: The Orioles and the Astros have cashed the Over in all 3 games of this series so far; with the Astros having won 3/4, Baltimore will be eager to avoid a sweep. Today, they come to the mound with a substantial pitching advantage (Trevor Rogers, 1.41 ERA). Meanwhile, Spencer Arrighetti’s (6.94 ERA) last 4 straight starts have resulted in a loss for the Astros, and in all of those losses, Houston’s opponents managed to get at least 6 runs on the board. My money’s on the Orioles to follow suit today and put at least 5 in the bag.

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WAS Nationals v PHI Phillies: This is a high-scoring affair in my mind, friends. I don’t know if you’ve noticed, but Phillies starter Ranger Suarez (3.25 ERA) has been melting far earlier than usual lately. I know Philly will have little to no issue getting runs past Washington starter Jake Irvin (5.30 ERA), but Suarez has allowed 13 runs in just his last 3 starts. The Nationals might take advantage of the starter’s rough patch and get more than a few on the board here. My money’s on the Over to cash.

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BOS Red Sox v NY Yankees: I think this total falls just on the other side of 9, friends. These two squads have cashed the Over in 2 of the 3 games in this series so far, and after watching a number of careless plays by the NY defense in yesterday’s encounter, it’s not hard to see why. Yankees pitcher Carlos Rodon (3.24 ERA) has been more than solid as of late, but 3 of his last 4 outings have seen high totals. In addition, Boston has put 19 runs on the board in just their last 3 games. I’ll take the Over here.

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Today's Player Props

-TOR Blue Jays v MIA Marlins: Kevin Gausman Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+120) | 0.15 Units

-HOU Astros v BAL Orioles: Colton Cowser Over 1.5 Total Bases (+145) | 0.15 Units

-HOU Astros v BAL Orioles: Gunner Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110) | 0.15 Units

-KC Royals v DET Tigers: Kerry Carpenter Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+503) | 0.20 Units

-BOS Red Sox +1.5 (-155)

-CIN Reds ML (+100)

-CHI Cubs v LA Angels Over 9.5 (-125)

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Today's Picks

-BAL Orioles Team Total Over 4.5 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-BAL Orioles ML (-130) | 0.25 Units

-WAS Nationals v PHI Phillies Over 9.0 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-BOS Red Sox v NY Yankees Over 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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HOU Astros v BAL Orioles: The Orioles and the Astros have cashed the Over in all 3 games of this series so far; with the Astros having won 3/4, Baltimore will be eager to avoid a sweep. Today, they come to the mound with a substantial pitching advantage (Trevor Rogers, 1.41 ERA). Meanwhile, Spencer Arrighetti’s (6.94 ERA) last 4 straight starts have resulted in a loss for the Astros, and in all of those losses, Houston’s opponents managed to get at least 6 runs on the board. My money’s on the Orioles to follow suit today and put at least 5 in the bag.

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WAS Nationals v PHI Phillies: This is a high-scoring affair in my mind, friends. I don’t know if you’ve noticed, but Phillies starter Ranger Suarez (3.25 ERA) has been melting far earlier than usual lately. I know Philly will have little to no issue getting runs past Washington starter Jake Irvin (5.30 ERA), but Suarez has allowed 13 runs in just his last 3 starts. The Nationals might take advantage of the starter’s rough patch and get more than a few on the board here. My money’s on the Over to cash.

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BOS Red Sox v NY Yankees: I think this total falls just on the other side of 9, friends. These two squads have cashed the Over in 2 of the 3 games in this series so far, and after watching a number of careless plays by the NY defense in yesterday’s encounter, it’s not hard to see why. Yankees pitcher Carlos Rodon (3.24 ERA) has been more than solid as of late, but 3 of his last 4 outings have seen high totals. In addition, Boston has put 19 runs on the board in just their last 3 games. I’ll take the Over here.

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Today's Player Props

-TOR Blue Jays v MIA Marlins: Kevin Gausman Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+120) | 0.15 Units

-HOU Astros v BAL Orioles: Colton Cowser Over 1.5 Total Bases (+145) | 0.15 Units

-HOU Astros v BAL Orioles: Gunner Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110) | 0.15 Units

-KC Royals v DET Tigers: Kerry Carpenter Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+503) | 0.20 Units

-BOS Red Sox +1.5 (-155)

-CIN Reds ML (+100)

-CHI Cubs v LA Angels Over 9.5 (-125)

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