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Aug 27, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays ⚾️

August 27, 2025

Today's Picks

-BOS Red Sox Team Total Over 4.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-MIL Brewers Team Total Over 4.5 (+100) | 0.25 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks v MIL Brewers Over 8.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-KC Royals ML (-120) | 0.5 Units

Why These Picks?

BOS Red Sox v BAL Orioles: It looks like the Orioles are playing a bullpen game today, friends. I’ll just come right out and say it: I’m not a fan of Baltimore’s bullpen (lol). The visitors should have no problem putting runs on the board here, but I like the -120 return on the team total far more than I like the -140 on Boston’s ML today. That said, my money’s on the Red Sox to put at least 5 on the board this afternoon.

ARI Diamondbacks v MIL Brewers: Ryne Nelson’s (3.63 ERA) last 5 straight starts have seen the Over cash, and to be frank, the Brewers’ offense is far too formidable for me to want to bet on a low scoring affair regardless of who’s on the mound these days. In addition, Quinn Priester’s (3.44 ERA) last 5 straight starts have earned Milwaukee a win. I’m making two wagers here – I’m on the Brewers to score at least 5 for plus money, as well as on the overall game total to see at least 9 runs.

KC Royals v CHI White Sox: White Sox starter Aaron Civale (5.02 ERA) faced Kansas City just a couple of weeks ago – the end result? Chicago lost by 2. In this encounter, Civale is outgunned by starter Ryan Bergert (2.79 ERA) in my opinion. Bergert hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in any of his last 5 outings, while Civale has allowed a whopping 16 runs on 21 hits in just his last 3 starts. Give me Kansas City to lock down a victory and win the series.

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Today's Player Props

WAS Nationals v NY Yankees: Max Fried Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-125) | 0.20 Units

COL Rockies v HOU Astros: Framber Valdez 8+ Strikeouts (+145) | 0.15 Units

KC Royals v CHI White Sox: Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Total Bases (+135) | 0.15 Units

KC Royals v CHI White Sox: Kyle Isbel Over 0.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+457) | 0.20 Units

-BOS Red Sox ML (-140)

-MIL Brewers ML (-150)

-KC Royals v CHI White Sox Under 8.5 (-105) 

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Aug 27, 2025: Belle's Picks & Player Props ⚾️

August 27, 2025

Today's Picks

-BOS Red Sox Team Total Over 4.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-MIL Brewers Team Total Over 4.5 (+100) | 0.25 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks v MIL Brewers Over 8.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-KC Royals ML (-120) | 0.5 Units

Why These Picks?

BOS Red Sox v BAL Orioles: It looks like the Orioles are playing a bullpen game today, friends. I’ll just come right out and say it: I’m not a fan of Baltimore’s bullpen (lol). The visitors should have no problem putting runs on the board here, but I like the -120 return on the team total far more than I like the -140 on Boston’s ML today. That said, my money’s on the Red Sox to put at least 5 on the board this afternoon.

ARI Diamondbacks v MIL Brewers: Ryne Nelson’s (3.63 ERA) last 5 straight starts have seen the Over cash, and to be frank, the Brewers’ offense is far too formidable for me to want to bet on a low scoring affair regardless of who’s on the mound these days. In addition, Quinn Priester’s (3.44 ERA) last 5 straight starts have earned Milwaukee a win. I’m making two wagers here – I’m on the Brewers to score at least 5 for plus money, as well as on the overall game total to see at least 9 runs.

KC Royals v CHI White Sox: White Sox starter Aaron Civale (5.02 ERA) faced Kansas City just a couple of weeks ago – the end result? Chicago lost by 2. In this encounter, Civale is outgunned by starter Ryan Bergert (2.79 ERA) in my opinion. Bergert hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in any of his last 5 outings, while Civale has allowed a whopping 16 runs on 21 hits in just his last 3 starts. Give me Kansas City to lock down a victory and win the series.

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Today's Player Props

WAS Nationals v NY Yankees: Max Fried Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-125) | 0.20 Units

COL Rockies v HOU Astros: Framber Valdez 8+ Strikeouts (+145) | 0.15 Units

KC Royals v CHI White Sox: Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Total Bases (+135) | 0.15 Units

KC Royals v CHI White Sox: Kyle Isbel Over 0.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.20 Units

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Aug 27, 2025: Belle's Picks ⚾️

August 27, 2025

Today's Picks

-BOS Red Sox Team Total Over 4.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-MIL Brewers Team Total Over 4.5 (+100) | 0.25 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks v MIL Brewers Over 8.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-KC Royals ML (-120) | 0.5 Units

Why These Picks?

BOS Red Sox v BAL Orioles: It looks like the Orioles are playing a bullpen game today, friends. I’ll just come right out and say it: I’m not a fan of Baltimore’s bullpen (lol). The visitors should have no problem putting runs on the board here, but I like the -120 return on the team total far more than I like the -140 on Boston’s ML today. That said, my money’s on the Red Sox to put at least 5 on the board this afternoon.

ARI Diamondbacks v MIL Brewers: Ryne Nelson’s (3.63 ERA) last 5 straight starts have seen the Over cash, and to be frank, the Brewers’ offense is far too formidable for me to want to bet on a low scoring affair regardless of who’s on the mound these days. In addition, Quinn Priester’s (3.44 ERA) last 5 straight starts have earned Milwaukee a win. I’m making two wagers here – I’m on the Brewers to score at least 5 for plus money, as well as on the overall game total to see at least 9 runs.

KC Royals v CHI White Sox: White Sox starter Aaron Civale (5.02 ERA) faced Kansas City just a couple of weeks ago – the end result? Chicago lost by 2. In this encounter, Civale is outgunned by starter Ryan Bergert (2.79 ERA) in my opinion. Bergert hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in any of his last 5 outings, while Civale has allowed a whopping 16 runs on 21 hits in just his last 3 starts. Give me Kansas City to lock down a victory and win the series.

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Aug 26, 2025: Picks Hit 3/4 💰😍 Post-Game Recap (+ Nightcap) ☕️

August 30, 2025

Now that's more like it, friends – picks hit 3/4 today! And, I played two of today's picks with a half unit on them, so it's really like we hit 'Pick of the Day' twice 😌👊🏽 And my gosh, did we ever earn those wins after last night's insanity. A big congratulations to everyone that tailed – and for those curious, here's what we had: 

 

Picks (3/4)

-BOS Red Sox ML (-110) ✅

-PIT Pirates v STL Cardinals Over 8.0 (-115) ✅

-MIN Twins v TOR Blue Jays Over 8.5 (-120) ✅

-HOU Astros Team Total Over 5.5 (+130) ❌

 

I have to say, I'm not sure what happened to Houston tonight – getting smoked by the Rockies is a special brand of embarrassment 😵‍💫 Though having said that, baseball math dictates that as a result of tonight's bed shitting (let's just call it what it was...), the Astros will likely show up in spades tomorrow – at least, one would think 😂

 

Thankfully, my two biggest plays this evening were the Pirates/Cardinals Over and the Twins/Blue Jays Over! And speaking of the Jays, their bullpen ever a mess this evening. Jeff Hoffman giving up 2 homers in the 9th was rough for Toronto fans, but pure magic for anyone who had Over 8.5 to cash 😁

 

Overall we had a profitable night, betting fam – I couldn't be more thrilled.

 

Just a heads up, tomorrow's Pick of the Day is already up and out! I have a feeling that line will move drastically by morning, so I locked it in earlier than usual. 😌

 

That's all for tonight, everyone! Enjoy your wins, and as always, I'll see you all bright and early to conquer the books.

 

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Belle

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Aug 27, 2025: Belle's Pick of the Day 🛎️

August 30, 2025

-KC Royals ML (-120) | 0.5 Units

Why This Pick?

White Sox starter Aaron Civale (5.02 ERA) faced Kansas City just a couple of weeks ago – the end result? Chicago lost by 2. In this encounter, Civale is outgunned by starter Ryan Bergert (2.79 ERA) in my opinion. Bergert hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in any of his last 5 outings, while Civale has allowed a whopping 16 runs on 21 hits across his last 3 starts. Give me Kansas City to lock down a victory and win the series.

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Aug 26, 2025: Pick of the Day Hits! 🤩💰

August 26, 2025

Today’s Pick of the Day is a hit, friends! A big congratulations to everyone that tailed – and for those curious, here’s what we had:

-PIT Pirates v STL Cardinals Over 8.0 (-115) ✅

This one felt like free money, betting fam. And, if I may say, holy did we ever deserve it 😉 Enjoy your victory everyone, and on to the next we go!

X

Belle

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Aug 26, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays ⚾️

August 26, 2025

Today's Picks

-BOS Red Sox ML (-110) | 0.25 Units

-PIT Pirates v STL Cardinals Over 8.0 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-MIN Twins v TOR Blue Jays Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

-HOU Astros Team Total Over 5.5 (+130) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

BOS Red Sox v BAL Orioles: Red Sox starter Lucas Giolito (3.72 ERA) is an impressive 8-2 this season (I can hardly believe it!) Meanwhile, Kyle Bradish is returning to start after more than a year off. Between looking to hold on to their playoff spot and coming to this encounter with both an advantage on the mound and in their offense, I’ve gotta roll with Boston to claim victory.

MIN Twins v TOR Blue Jays: 4 of Toronto starter Chris Bassitt’s (4.18 ERA) last 5 outings have cashed the Over with ease, friends. Having allowed 16 hits over his last 3 outings, I won’t be surprised to see Minnesota get a few runs on the board here. That said, Bailey Ober’s (5.05 ERA) last 5 straight starts have earned the Twins a loss. Pitting the Blue Jays powerhouse batting lineup against a starter with an ERA over 5.00? I won’t be surprised if they go ahead and cash the Over all by themselves (again…) today. My money’s on this encounter to see at least 9 runs.

PIT Pirates v STL Cardinals: I’ll be honest – I can’t imagine a universe where this game total doesn’t find itself on the moon, as neither of these pitchers can reliably keep runs off the board. 4 of Mitch Keller’s (4.34 ERA) last 5 starts have seen a score of at least 10 runs, and St. Louis starter Andre Pallante (5.17 ERA) has allowed a staggering 21 hits over his last 3 outings. Take the Over to cash.

COL Rockies v HOU Astros: Colorado starter Tanner Gordon (7.11 ERA) has had some ROUGH outings, betting fam. With the Astros at home here, I fully expect them to run all over the Rockies who are an abysmal 13-43 on the road. I’m grabbing an alternate team total and wagering that Houston puts at least 6 runs on the board today.

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Today's Player Props

-COL Rockies v HOU Astros: Christian Walker Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110) | 0.25 Units

-COL Rockies v HOU Astros: Hunter Brown Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-135) | 0.20 Units

-COL Rockies v HOU Astros: Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105) | 0.15 Units

-PIT Pirates v STL Cardinals: Nolan Gorman Over 0.5 Total Bases (-125) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s): 

Parlay (+467) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays Team Total Over 4.5 (-130)

-WAS Nationals v NY Yankees Over 9.0 (-115)

-CHI Cubs ML (-140)

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Aug 26, 2025: Belle's Picks & Player Props ⚾️

August 26, 2025

Today's Picks

-BOS Red Sox ML (-110) | 0.25 Units

-PIT Pirates v STL Cardinals Over 8.0 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-MIN Twins v TOR Blue Jays Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

-HOU Astros Team Total Over 5.5 (+130) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

BOS Red Sox v BAL Orioles: Red Sox starter Lucas Giolito (3.72 ERA) is an impressive 8-2 this season (I can hardly believe it!) Meanwhile, Kyle Bradish is returning to start after more than a year off. Between looking to hold on to their playoff spot and coming to this encounter with both an advantage on the mound and in their offense, I’ve gotta roll with Boston to claim victory.

MIN Twins v TOR Blue Jays: 4 of Toronto starter Chris Bassitt’s (4.18 ERA) last 5 outings have cashed the Over with ease, friends. Having allowed 16 hits over his last 3 outings, I won’t be surprised to see Minnesota get a few runs on the board here. That said, Bailey Ober’s (5.05 ERA) last 5 straight starts have earned the Twins a loss. Pitting the Blue Jays powerhouse batting lineup against a starter with an ERA over 5.00? I won’t be surprised if they go ahead and cash the Over all by themselves (again…) today. My money’s on this encounter to see at least 9 runs.

PIT Pirates v STL Cardinals: I’ll be honest – I can’t imagine a universe where this game total doesn’t find itself on the moon, as neither of these pitchers can reliably keep runs off the board. 4 of Mitch Keller’s (4.34 ERA) last 5 starts have seen a score of at least 10 runs, and St. Louis starter Andre Pallante (5.17 ERA) has allowed a staggering 21 hits over his last 3 outings. Take the Over to cash.

COL Rockies v HOU Astros: Colorado starter Tanner Gordon (7.11 ERA) has had some ROUGH outings, betting fam. With the Astros at home here, I fully expect them to run all over the Rockies who are an abysmal 13-43 on the road. I’m grabbing an alternate team total and wagering that Houston puts at least 6 runs on the board today.

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Today's Player Props

-COL Rockies v HOU Astros: Christian Walker Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110) | 0.25 Units

-COL Rockies v HOU Astros: Hunter Brown Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-135) | 0.20 Units

-COL Rockies v HOU Astros: Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105) | 0.15 Units

-PIT Pirates v STL Cardinals: Nolan Gorman Over 0.5 Total Bases (-125) | 0.20 Units

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Aug 26, 2025: Belle's Picks ⚾️

August 26, 2025

Today's Picks

-BOS Red Sox ML (-110) | 0.25 Units

-PIT Pirates v STL Cardinals Over 8.0 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-MIN Twins v TOR Blue Jays Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

-HOU Astros Team Total Over 5.5 (+130) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

BOS Red Sox v BAL Orioles: Red Sox starter Lucas Giolito (3.72 ERA) is an impressive 8-2 this season (I can hardly believe it!) Meanwhile, Kyle Bradish is returning to start after more than a year off. Between looking to hold on to their playoff spot and coming to this encounter with both an advantage on the mound and in their offense, I’ve gotta roll with Boston to claim victory.

MIN Twins v TOR Blue Jays: 4 of Toronto starter Chris Bassitt’s (4.18 ERA) last 5 outings have cashed the Over with ease, friends. Having allowed 16 hits over his last 3 outings, I won’t be surprised to see Minnesota get a few runs on the board here. That said, Bailey Ober’s (5.05 ERA) last 5 straight starts have earned the Twins a loss. Pitting the Blue Jays powerhouse batting lineup against a starter with an ERA over 5.00? I won’t be surprised if they go ahead and cash the Over all by themselves (again…) today. My money’s on this encounter to see at least 9 runs.

PIT Pirates v STL Cardinals: I’ll be honest – I can’t imagine a universe where this game total doesn’t find itself on the moon, as neither of these pitchers can reliably keep runs off the board. 4 of Mitch Keller’s (4.34 ERA) last 5 starts have seen a score of at least 10 runs, and St. Louis starter Andre Pallante (5.17 ERA) has allowed a staggering 21 hits over his last 3 outings. Take the Over to cash.

COL Rockies v HOU Astros: Colorado starter Tanner Gordon (7.11 ERA) has had some ROUGH outings, betting fam. With the Astros at home here, I fully expect them to run all over the Rockies who are an abysmal 13-43 on the road. I’m grabbing an alternate team total and wagering that Houston puts at least 6 runs on the board today.

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Aug 26, 2025: Belle's Prop of the Day 🧢

August 26, 2025

-Christian Walker Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110) | 0.25 Units

(COL Rockies v HOU Astros)

Why This Prop?

Christian Walker has actually hit a Home Run in 3 of his last 5 games, and has snagged at least 1 base in 4 of those last 5. To be frank, I don’t expect Walker will have any issue bagging a double against starter Tanner Gordon. The Astros have yet to release their starting lineup, but assuming Walker is in it, this is the play.

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