Today's Picks
-TB Rays v BAL Orioles Over 9.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units
-LA Dodgers ML (-105) | 0.5 Units
-LA Dodgers v KC Royals Over 9.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units
-TOR Blue Jays ML (-110) | 0.25 Units
-MIA Marlins v ARI Diamondbacks Over 9.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units
Why These Picks?
TB Rays v BAL Orioles: This game total should go to the moon for the 3rd day in a row, friends. Both Taj Bradley (4.57 ERA) and Dean Kremer (4.60 ERA) are – for lack of a better term – incredibly mediocre. To boot, the offenses for both teams are having little to no issue bagging runs; Baltimore put 25 runs on the board in the first 2 encounters of this series, while Tampa Bay has thrown 19 runs into the mix. Neither squad is showing any signs of slowing down, and I don’t trust either pitcher to keep these batting lineups in check. Take the Over to cash.
LA Dodgers v KC Royals: To be frank, I just don’t think Kansas City starter Kris Bubic (2.18 ERA) is going to be able to keep the Dodgers offense at bay. Bubic had a couple of nice starts in late May/early June, but he’s allowed 23 hits in his last 3 outings. I have no doubt that with a stat like that, the Dodgers will be able to turn contact into runs. On the other side, LA starter Justin Wrobleski (4.90 ERA) has allowed 13 hits and just 4 runs over his last 3 starts; Bubic has a more attractive ERA, but Wrobleski has been playing the better game recently. Lastly, if I’m being honest – the Royals haven’t exactly inspired confidence having lost 6 of their last 7 games. I’ll take the Dodgers to win this series for a nice price and the Over to hit.
Update, 8:30AM PST: This was originally posted as 'Pick of the Day' on my site last night when Wrobleski was scheduled to pitch – it's looking like Lou Trivino will get the start and the Dodgers will run a bullpen game as of now.
TOR Blue Jays v BOS Red Sox: Eric Lauer (2.21 ERA) – I love this guy lately. Lauer is a Relief Pitcher for the Blue Jays, but he’s so good the team has been starting him and letting him pitch a full 5 innings as of late. To be frank, I hope they make this man a part of the regular starting rotation. Lauer has allowed a mere 1 run in each of his last 2 starts, and 4 runs over his last 5 starts. Toronto has the better arm on the mound today –I simply can’t get behind Walker Buehler (6.29 ERA). Take the Blue Jays to win.
MIA Marlins v ARI Diamondbacks: I can’t resist an Over pick when I see Eduardo Rodriguez’s (5.40 ERA) name on the mound – and while he’s been a bit better lately, Arizona’s pitching staff overall has been a mess. In addition, both offenses have been on fire in this series – the first two games had no less than 15 runs. My money’s on another high-scoring affair this evening, friends.
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Today's Player Props
TOR Blue Jays v BOS Red Sox: Eric Lauer Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-120) | 0.20 Units
TOR Blue Jays v BOS Red Sox: George Springer Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) | 0.15 Units
TB Rays v BAL Orioles: Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) | 0.15 Units
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Today's Parlay(s)
Parlay (+575) | 0.20 Units
CHI Cubs v HOU Astros Over 8.0 (+100)
MIA Marlins Team Total Over 3.5 (-130)
DET Tigers Team Total Over 4.5 (-110)
Parlay (+219) | 0.20 Units
-WAS Nationals Team Total Over 4.5 (-120)
-TOR Blue Jays Team Total Over 4.5 (-135)
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