-MIA Marlins ML (+115) | 0.25 Units
-SD Padres v WAS Nationals Over 9.0 (-115) | 0.5 Units
-LA Angels v PHI Phillies Over 9.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units
-KC Royals v MIA Marlins Over 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units
Why These Picks?
KC Royals v MIA Marlins: This should be another high-scoring encounter. Marlins starter Cal Quantrill (5.62 ERA) is, despite his ERA, one of Miami’s better pitchers in my opinion. 4 of his last 5 starts have resulted in a win for the Marlins, but he’s allowed far too many hits (16 over his last 3 outings) recently for me to think this game will stay Under 8.5. On the other side, Royals starter Michael Wacha’s last 4 starts have resulted in a loss for Kansas City. This is bold, but I’m going to bet on a Miami upset here in addition to the Over to cash.
LA Angels v PHI Phillies: This pick comes down to one thing – and that’s the simple fact that I still, after all this time, don’t trust Taijuan Walker (3.55 ERA)! It really doesn’t make any sense, the man has only allowed 4 earned runs over his last 5 outings. That said, 4 of his last 5 outings have also ended with totals of at least 10 runs (?!) A result of Philly’s lukewarm bullpen and their fire offense, no doubt – but I stand by my gut feelings, betting fam. Whether it’s a result of the Phillies popping off against starter Yusei Kikuchi (3.11 ERA), or the Angels taking advantage of a classic Walker meltdown….my money’s on the Over to cash.
SD Padres v WAS Nationals: Yu Darvish (6.48 ERA) v Mitchell Parker (5.12 ERA) only equates to a high-scoring affair in my mind, friends. Parker’s last 4 straight outings have seen final totals of at least 11 runs, and while Darvish has only had two outings so far this season, both of his starts saw final totals of 9. I expect the Washington offense to pop off a bit here, and the San Diego batting lineup should have little to no issue with Parker. Take the Over to hit.
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Today's Player Props
-SF Giants v TOR Blue Jays: Eric Lauer 6+ Strikeouts (+145) | 0.15 Units
-CHI White Sox v PIT Pirates: Mike Burrows Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+110) | 0.15 Units
-SD Padres v WAS Nationals: Manny Machado Over 1.5 Total Bases (-130) | 0.20 Units
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