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July 21, 2025: Belle's Picks ⚾️

July 21, 2025

Today's Picks

-NY Yankees v TOR Blue Jays Over 8.0 (-115)

-NY Mets -1.5 (+110) | 0.25 Units

-NY Mets Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-MIL Brewers ML (+105) | 0.25 Units

-MIL Brewers v SEA Mariners Over 7.0 (-105) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

NY Yankees v TOR Blue Jays: Given that the last 4 straight encounters between these two squads cashed the Over with ease, I’m willing to bet the same happens here (for a couple of reasons…). Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman’s (4.19 ERA) last outing against the Yankees saw a final total of 17 runs (Toronto claimed the victory), but Gausman has allowed 18 hits over his last 3 outings, and has been relatively shaky for the first half of this season. On the other side, Carlos Rodon’s (3.08 ERA) last 5 straight starts have all seen a final total of at least 9 runs. 8.0 is just too low a total for these two offenses and for both starters, betting fam – take the Over to cash.

LA Angels v NY Mets: Angels starter Tyler Anderson (4.34 ERA) has been rough on the road – and the Mets undoubtedly have the pitching advantage in Kodai Senga (1.39 ERA). I fully expect this to be a healthy win for the home squad. I’m on New York to bag at least 5 runs and to cover the RL.

MIL Brewers v SEA Mariners: I’ve gotta go with the Brewers here, friends. Milwaukee just swept the Dodgers for the second Time this season, and have won their last 10 straight games. In addition, 4 of their last 5 outings have seen the Over cash. On the other side, the Mariners have seen high scoring affairs in 7 of their last 8 outings – regardless of who’s on the mound today (George Kirby, 4.50 ERA & Brandon Woodruff, 2.61 ERA…), both of today’s offenses have been too good to see a final total under 7.0. My money’s on the Brewers to pull off the upset, and on the Over to cash.

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July 21, 2025: Belle's Pick of the Day 🛎️

July 20, 2025

-NY Yankees v TOR Blue Jays Over 8.0 (-115) | 0.5 Units

Why This Pick?

Given that the last 4 straight encounters between these two squads cashed the Over with ease, I’m willing to bet the same happens here (for a couple of reasons…). Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman’s (4.19 ERA) last outing against the Yankees saw a final total of 17 runs (Toronto claimed the victory), but Gausman has allowed 18 hits over his last 3 outings, and has been relatively shaky for the first half of this season. On the other side, Carlos Rodon’s (3.08 ERA) last 5 straight starts have all seen a final total of at least 9 runs. 8.0 is just too low a total for these two offenses and for both starters, betting fam – take the Over to cash.

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July 20, 2025: Prop Sweep, Pick of the Day Hits 🎉🧹

July 22, 2025

Today was a good day, friends – both of our Player Props hit (2/2, we got the sweep! 🧹and picks came out of the evening at 1-1-1. For those curious, here's what we had:

 

Player Props (2/2)

-SF Giants v TOR Blue Jays: Jose Berrios Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-125) ✅

-DET Tigers v TEX Rangers: Tarik Skubal Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-135) ✅

 

Picks (1-1-1)

-ARI Diamondbacks Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) ✅

-CHI White Sox v PIT Pirates Over 9.0 (-105) 🟨

-DET Tigers -1.5 (-105) ❌

 

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I have to say...I can't believe that the White Sox swept the Pirates (in Pittsburgh, no less!) It feels like Chicago came out of the All-Star Break as a brand new team?! I guess we'll see if they revert back to their old ways over the next series. For those planning on betting White Sox for the next bit for plus money, I'd temper your expectations 😂 

 

Unfortunately today's parlay was a miss (Pirates ML took down today's parlay...) But thanks to the Player Prop sweep, Pick of the Day hitting, and the "push" on the Tigers RL...we still walked out of this day decent 😌

 

Alright friends, that's all I've got for tonight! Enjoy the rest of your evening, and as always, I'll see you all bright and early to conquer the books.

 

X

Belle

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July 20, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays (Premium) ⚾️

July 20, 2025

Today's Picks

-CHI White Sox v PIT Pirates Over 9.0 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-DET Tigers -1.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

CHI White Sox v PIT Pirates: I don’t love Andrew Heaney (4.59 ERA), but the Pirates should be able to put a solid number of runs on the board (and avoid a sweep…) with Aaron Civale (5.34 ERA) pitching for the White Sox today. Chicago has lost Civale’s last 5 straight starts, and 4 of the 5 were all losses by more than two runs. On the other side, Pittsburgh has lost 4 of Heaney’s last 5 starts – but those same 4 games all saw the Over cash in spades. Between today’s two arms, I say this encounter easily equates to a high-scoring affair. Take the Over to hit.

STL Cardinals v ARI Diamondbacks: While St. Louis starter Miles Mikolas (4.94 ERA) had a solid last outing, he allowed a staggering 14 runs across his two starts prior to facing the Nationals on July 10th. Having allowed 19 hits over his last 3 games, Arizona’s offense should have no issue getting at least 5 runs past Mikolas. The Diamondbacks have actually bagged at least 5 runs in their last 5 straight games. My money’s on Arizona to cash their Team Total Over with ease this afternoon.

DET Tigers v TEX Rangers: It appears as though the Tigers will be facing the Rangers bullpen this afternoon. In addition, Detroit undoubtedly has the pitching advantage with Ace starter Tarik Skubal on the mound. I won’t overthink this one, friends – give me the Tigers to cover the RL on the road.

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Today's Player Props

-SF Giants v TOR Blue Jays: Jose Berrios Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-125) | 0.15 Units

-DET Tigers v TEX Rangers: Tarik Skubal Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-135) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s)

Parlay (+548) | 0.20 Units

-PIT Pirates ML (-135)

-NY Yankees v ATL Braves Over 10.5 (-105)

-STL Cardinals v ARI Diamondbacks Over 9.0 (-105)

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July 20, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays ⚾️

July 20, 2025

Today's Picks

-CHI White Sox v PIT Pirates Over 9.0 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-DET Tigers -1.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

CHI White Sox v PIT Pirates: I don’t love Andrew Heaney (4.59 ERA), but the Pirates should be able to put a solid number of runs on the board (and avoid a sweep…) with Aaron Civale (5.34 ERA) pitching for the White Sox today. Chicago has lost Civale’s last 5 straight starts, and 4 of the 5 were all losses by more than two runs. On the other side, Pittsburgh has lost 4 of Heaney’s last 5 starts – but those same 4 games all saw the Over cash in spades. Between today’s two arms, I say this encounter easily equates to a high-scoring affair. Take the Over to hit.

STL Cardinals v ARI Diamondbacks: While St. Louis starter Miles Mikolas (4.94 ERA) had a solid last outing, he allowed a staggering 14 runs across his two starts prior to facing the Nationals on July 10th. Having allowed 19 hits over his last 3 games, Arizona’s offense should have no issue getting at least 5 runs past Mikolas. The Diamondbacks have actually bagged at least 5 runs in their last 5 straight games. My money’s on Arizona to cash their Team Total Over with ease this afternoon.

DET Tigers v TEX Rangers: It appears as though the Tigers will be facing the Rangers bullpen this afternoon. In addition, Detroit undoubtedly has the pitching advantage with Ace starter Tarik Skubal on the mound. I won’t overthink this one, friends – give me the Tigers to cover the RL on the road.

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Today's Player Props

-SF Giants v TOR Blue Jays: Jose Berrios Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-125) | 0.15 Units

-DET Tigers v TEX Rangers: Tarik Skubal Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-135) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s)

Parlay (+548) | 0.20 Units

-PIT Pirates ML (-135)

-NY Yankees v ATL Braves Over 10.5 (-105)

-STL Cardinals v ARI Diamondbacks Over 9.0 (-105)

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July 20, 2025: Belle's Picks & Player Props ⚾️

July 20, 2025

Today's Picks

-CHI White Sox v PIT Pirates Over 9.0 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-DET Tigers -1.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

CHI White Sox v PIT Pirates: I don’t love Andrew Heaney (4.59 ERA), but the Pirates should be able to put a solid number of runs on the board (and avoid a sweep…) with Aaron Civale (5.34 ERA) pitching for the White Sox today. Chicago has lost Civale’s last 5 straight starts, and 4 of the 5 were all losses by more than two runs. On the other side, Pittsburgh has lost 4 of Heaney’s last 5 starts – but those same 4 games all saw the Over cash in spades. Between today’s two arms, I say this encounter easily equates to a high-scoring affair. Take the Over to hit.

STL Cardinals v ARI Diamondbacks: While St. Louis starter Miles Mikolas (4.94 ERA) had a solid last outing, he allowed a staggering 14 runs across his two starts prior to facing the Nationals on July 10th. Having allowed 19 hits over his last 3 games, Arizona’s offense should have no issue getting at least 5 runs past Mikolas. The Diamondbacks have actually bagged at least 5 runs in their last 5 straight games. My money’s on Arizona to cash their Team Total Over with ease this afternoon.

DET Tigers v TEX Rangers: It appears as though the Tigers will be facing the Rangers bullpen this afternoon. In addition, Detroit undoubtedly has the pitching advantage with Ace starter Tarik Skubal on the mound. I won’t overthink this one, friends – give me the Tigers to cover the RL on the road.

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Today's Player Props

-SF Giants v TOR Blue Jays: Jose Berrios Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-125) | 0.15 Units

-DET Tigers v TEX Rangers: Tarik Skubal Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-135) | 0.20 Units

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July 20, 2025: Belle's Picks ⚾️

July 20, 2025

Today's Picks

-CHI White Sox v PIT Pirates Over 9.0 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-DET Tigers -1.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

CHI White Sox v PIT Pirates: I don’t love Andrew Heaney (4.59 ERA), but the Pirates should be able to put a solid number of runs on the board (and avoid a sweep…) with Aaron Civale (5.34 ERA) pitching for the White Sox today. Chicago has lost Civale’s last 5 straight starts, and 4 of the 5 were all losses by more than two runs. On the other side, Pittsburgh has lost 4 of Heaney’s last 5 starts – but those same 4 games all saw the Over cash in spades. Between today’s two arms, I say this encounter easily equates to a high-scoring affair. Take the Over to hit.

STL Cardinals v ARI Diamondbacks: While St. Louis starter Miles Mikolas (4.94 ERA) had a solid last outing, he allowed a staggering 14 runs across his two starts prior to facing the Nationals on July 10th. Having allowed 19 hits over his last 3 games, Arizona’s offense should have no issue getting at least 5 runs past Mikolas. The Diamondbacks have actually bagged at least 5 runs in their last 5 straight games. My money’s on Arizona to cash their Team Total Over with ease this afternoon.

DET Tigers v TEX Rangers: It appears as though the Tigers will be facing the Rangers bullpen this afternoon. In addition, Detroit undoubtedly has the pitching advantage with Ace starter Tarik Skubal on the mound. I won’t overthink this one, friends – give me the Tigers to cover the RL on the road.

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July 20, 2025: Belle’s Pick of the Day 🛎️

July 20, 2025

-ARI Diamondbacks Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

Why This Pick?

While St. Louis starter Miles Mikolas (4.94 ERA) had a solid last outing, he allowed a staggering 14 runs across his two starts prior to facing the Nationals on July 10th. Having allowed 19 hits over his last 3 games, Arizona’s offense should have no issue getting at least 5 runs past Mikolas. The Diamondbacks have actually bagged at least 5 runs in their last 5 straight games. My money’s on Arizona to cash their Team Total Over with ease this afternoon.

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July 19, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays (Premium) ⚾️

July 19, 2025

Today's Picks

-MIA Marlins ML (+115) | 0.25 Units

-SD Padres v WAS Nationals Over 9.0 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-LA Angels v PHI Phillies Over 9.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-KC Royals v MIA Marlins Over 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

KC Royals v MIA Marlins: This should be another high-scoring encounter. Marlins starter Cal Quantrill (5.62 ERA) is, despite his ERA, one of Miami’s better pitchers in my opinion. 4 of his last 5 starts have resulted in a win for the Marlins, but he’s allowed far too many hits (16 over his last 3 outings) recently for me to think this game will stay Under 8.5. On the other side, Royals starter Michael Wacha’s last 4 starts have resulted in a loss for Kansas City. This is bold, but I’m going to bet on a Miami upset here in addition to the Over to cash.

LA Angels v PHI Phillies: This pick comes down to one thing – and that’s the simple fact that I still, after all this time, don’t trust Taijuan Walker (3.55 ERA)! It really doesn’t make any sense, the man has only allowed 4 earned runs over his last 5 outings. That said, 4 of his last 5 outings have also ended with totals of at least 10 runs (?!) A result of Philly’s lukewarm bullpen and their fire offense, no doubt – but I stand by my gut feelings, betting fam. Whether it’s a result of the Phillies popping off against starter Yusei Kikuchi (3.11 ERA), or the Angels taking advantage of a classic Walker meltdown….my money’s on the Over to cash.

SD Padres v WAS Nationals: Yu Darvish (6.48 ERA) v Mitchell Parker (5.12 ERA) only equates to a high-scoring affair in my mind, friends. Parker’s last 4 straight outings have seen final totals of at least 11 runs, and while Darvish has only had two outings so far this season, both of his starts saw final totals of 9. I expect the Washington offense to pop off a bit here, and the San Diego batting lineup should have little to no issue with Parker. Take the Over to hit.

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Today's Player Props

-SF Giants v TOR Blue Jays: Eric Lauer 6+ Strikeouts (+145) | 0.15 Units

-CHI White Sox v PIT Pirates: Mike Burrows Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+110) | 0.15 Units

-SD Padres v WAS Nationals: Manny Machado Over 1.5 Total Bases (-130) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s): 

VIP Parlay (+589) | 0.20 Units

-SD Padres Team Total Over 4.5 (-135)

-MIL Brewers ML (+120) 

-CIN Reds v NY Mets Over 8.5 (-125)

Premium Parlay (+804) | 0.20 Units

-MIA Marlins Team Total Over 3.5 (-130)

-CHI Cubs Team Total Over 4.5 (-125)

-NY Yankees Team Total Over 4.5 (-130)

-TOR Blue Jays +1.5 (-165)

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July 19, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays ⚾️

July 22, 2025

Today's Picks

-MIA Marlins ML (+115) | 0.25 Units

-SD Padres v WAS Nationals Over 9.0 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-LA Angels v PHI Phillies Over 9.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-KC Royals v MIA Marlins Over 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

KC Royals v MIA Marlins: This should be another high-scoring encounter. Marlins starter Cal Quantrill (5.62 ERA) is, despite his ERA, one of Miami’s better pitchers in my opinion. 4 of his last 5 starts have resulted in a win for the Marlins, but he’s allowed far too many hits (16 over his last 3 outings) recently for me to think this game will stay Under 8.5. On the other side, Royals starter Michael Wacha’s last 4 starts have resulted in a loss for Kansas City. This is bold, but I’m going to bet on a Miami upset here in addition to the Over to cash.

LA Angels v PHI Phillies: This pick comes down to one thing – and that’s the simple fact that I still, after all this time, don’t trust Taijuan Walker (3.55 ERA)! It really doesn’t make any sense, the man has only allowed 4 earned runs over his last 5 outings. That said, 4 of his last 5 outings have also ended with totals of at least 10 runs (?!) A result of Philly’s lukewarm bullpen and their fire offense, no doubt – but I stand by my gut feelings, betting fam. Whether it’s a result of the Phillies popping off against starter Yusei Kikuchi (3.11 ERA), or the Angels taking advantage of a classic Walker meltdown….my money’s on the Over to cash.

SD Padres v WAS Nationals: Yu Darvish (6.48 ERA) v Mitchell Parker (5.12 ERA) only equates to a high-scoring affair in my mind, friends. Parker’s last 4 straight outings have seen final totals of at least 11 runs, and while Darvish has only had two outings so far this season, both of his starts saw final totals of 9. I expect the Washington offense to pop off a bit here, and the San Diego batting lineup should have little to no issue with Parker. Take the Over to hit.

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Today's Player Props

-SF Giants v TOR Blue Jays: Eric Lauer 6+ Strikeouts (+145) | 0.15 Units

-CHI White Sox v PIT Pirates: Mike Burrows Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+110) | 0.15 Units

-SD Padres v WAS Nationals: Manny Machado Over 1.5 Total Bases (-130) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s): 

Parlay (+589) | 0.20 Units

-SD Padres Team Total Over 4.5 (-135)

-MIL Brewers ML (+120) 

-CIN Reds v NY Mets Over 8.5 (-125)

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