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July 14, 2025: All-Star Break, No Games – Belle's Day Off & 50% Off! ⚾️😌

July 14, 2025

Happy Monday, friends! 

A quick post to remind everyone that there are NO BASEBALL GAMES today until Friday, which means that Picks, Props & Parlays will return on Friday, July 18!

That said, in typical "Belle's Day Off" fashion, I'm running a fun 50% off promo incase anyone would like to upgrade their tier during the All-Star Break 👊🏼

🌟 Simply use promo code ALLSTAR50 at checkout to get 50% off your first month of ANY TIER.

Until Friday, you'll find me in the Discord doing some NBA Summer League live betting, and perhaps dropping some fun wagers on the Home Run Derby 😉

Cheers all!

X

Belle

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July 13, 2025: Clean Sweep, Friends — 4/4!🧹🙌

July 13, 2025

Unbelievable day, friends – we hit 4/4 picks! I love a good sweep 🧹😉 We also hit 2/3 of our Player Props 👏🏽 A massive congratulations to everyone that tailed today, and for those curious, here's what we had:

 

Picks (4/4)

-MIA Marlins Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) ✅

-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles Over 9.0 (-110) ✅

-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers Over 8.0 (-105) ✅

-STL Cardinals Team Total Over 4.5 (-105) ✅

 

Player Props (2/3)

-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles: Eury Perez Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-125) ✅

-LA Dodgers v SF Giants: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 7+ Strikeouts (+145) ✅

-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers: Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs (+265) ❌

 

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I'm absolutely stoked that Yamamoto Yoshinobu hit 7 strikeouts for a whopping +145 return!

 

Today's parlay was done dirty by the Minnesota Twins – it was the only leg that lost. I can't even believe it, ha ha! Oh well – we came out of this day insanely profitable, I suppose I'll let it slide. 💰😌

 

Betting fam, we're on a serious heater. 🔥 BUT, that heater is taking a break – an All-Star Break to be specific!

 

Please note that MLB games will not be taking place from Mon-Thurs this week. Games (and as a result, picks!) will return on Friday, July 18 👊🏽😊

 

In the meantime, I'll be hosting some live betting sessions & wagers on my Discord server during NBA Summer League! This proved to be a pretty profitable venture last year – I encourage everyone to hop in and join us ;) Of course, I may even place the odd wager or two on the MLB All-Star game...

 

On that note, enjoy the rest of your evening! I'll see you all on Discord over the next few days.

X

Belle

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July 13, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays (Premium) ⚾️

July 13, 2025

Today's Picks

-MIA Marlins Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles Over 9.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers Over 8.0 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals Team Total Over 4.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles: Orioles starter Brandon Young (6.14 ERA) has been the definition of unreliable, friends. Baltimore has lost 4 of Young’s last 5 starts, and their opponents have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of his last 5 outings. To be frank, I won’t be surprised if the Marlins offense gets to the Orioles pitcher early on; Trevor Rogers was a much tougher arm than Brandon Young, and even he couldn’t keep the Miami offense at bay in the second game of this series. My money’s on the Marlins to score at least 5 here. As for the full game total, I’m glad the price tag on this came down. When I looked at this game last night, the Over was sitting at -125 (I don’t love anything priced higher than -120…) and so I ruled it out for ‘Pick of the Day’. That said, at 1.91, I’ll bite – I think this game sees a final score of 6-5. Take the Over to hit, betting fam.

SEA Mariners v DET Tigers: Between Jack Flaherty (4.70 ERA) and Logan Gilbert’s 6.02 Away ERA, I think this total makes its way Over 8 runs. Both games in this series so far have gone well into the double digits, and Detroit will be eager to avoid getting swept. That said, Seattle’s bats have been on fire this last couple games – I wouldn’t be surprised if they cashed this Over themselves. My money’s on yet another high-scoring affair.

ATL Braves v STL Cardinals: The Cardinals have a substantial advantage on the mound today with Sonny Gray (3.51 ERA) who pitches even better at home than he does on the road. On the other side, Atlanta has called up Daniel Davis, who has had 14 starts in Triple-A but will make just his second appearance for the Braves this season today. I expect the St. Louis offense to have the upper hand in this game – I say they bag at least 5 runs this evening.

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Today's Player Props

-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles: Eury Perez Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-125) | 0.15 Units

-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers: Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs (+265) | 0.15 Units (bold, I know...)

-LA Dodgers v SF Giants: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 7+ Strikeouts (+145) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Parlay

Parlay (+608) | 0.20 Units

-MIN Twins ML (-150)

-STL Cardinals ML (-170)

-SEA Mariners Team Total Over 3.5 (-150)

-TB Rays v BOS Red Sox Under 9.0 (-165) (alternate total)

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July 13, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays ⚾️

July 13, 2025

Today's Picks

-MIA Marlins Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles Over 9.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers Over 8.0 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals Team Total Over 4.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles: Orioles starter Brandon Young (6.14 ERA) has been the definition of unreliable, friends. Baltimore has lost 4 of Young’s last 5 starts, and their opponents have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of his last 5 outings. To be frank, I won’t be surprised if the Marlins offense gets to the Orioles pitcher early on; Trevor Rogers was a much tougher arm than Brandon Young, and even he couldn’t keep the Miami offense at bay in the second game of this series. My money’s on the Marlins to score at least 5 here. As for the full game total, I’m glad the price tag on this came down. When I looked at this game last night, the Over was sitting at -125 (I don’t love anything priced higher than -120…) and so I ruled it out for ‘Pick of the Day’. That said, at 1.91, I’ll bite – I think this game sees a final score of 6-5. Take the Over to hit, betting fam.

SEA Mariners v DET Tigers: Between Jack Flaherty (4.70 ERA) and Logan Gilbert’s 6.02 Away ERA, I think this total makes its way Over 8 runs. Both games in this series so far have gone well into the double digits, and Detroit will be eager to avoid getting swept. That said, Seattle’s bats have been on fire this last couple games – I wouldn’t be surprised if they cashed this Over themselves. My money’s on yet another high-scoring affair.

ATL Braves v STL Cardinals: The Cardinals have a substantial advantage on the mound today with Sonny Gray (3.51 ERA) who pitches even better at home than he does on the road. On the other side, Atlanta has called up Daniel Davis, who has had 14 starts in Triple-A but will make just his second appearance for the Braves this season today. I expect the St. Louis offense to have the upper hand in this game – I say they bag at least 5 runs this evening.

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Today's Player Props

-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles: Eury Perez Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-125) | 0.15 Units

-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers: Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs (+265) | 0.15 Units (bold, I know...)

-LA Dodgers v SF Giants: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 7+ Strikeouts (+145) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Parlay

Parlay (+608) | 0.20 Units

-MIN Twins ML (-150)

-STL Cardinals ML (-170)

-SEA Mariners Team Total Over 3.5 (-150)

-TB Rays v BOS Red Sox Under 9.0 (-165) (alternate total)

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July 13, 2025: Belle's Picks & Player Props ⚾️

July 13, 2025

Today's Picks

-MIA Marlins Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles Over 9.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers Over 8.0 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals Team Total Over 4.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles: Orioles starter Brandon Young (6.14 ERA) has been the definition of unreliable, friends. Baltimore has lost 4 of Young’s last 5 starts, and their opponents have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of his last 5 outings. To be frank, I won’t be surprised if the Marlins offense gets to the Orioles pitcher early on; Trevor Rogers was a much tougher arm than Brandon Young, and even he couldn’t keep the Miami offense at bay in the second game of this series. My money’s on the Marlins to score at least 5 here. As for the full game total, I’m glad the price tag on this came down. When I looked at this game last night, the Over was sitting at -125 (I don’t love anything priced higher than -120…) and so I ruled it out for ‘Pick of the Day’. That said, at 1.91, I’ll bite – I think this game sees a final score of 6-5. Take the Over to hit, betting fam.

SEA Mariners v DET Tigers: Between Jack Flaherty (4.70 ERA) and Logan Gilbert’s 6.02 Away ERA, I think this total makes its way Over 8 runs. Both games in this series so far have gone well into the double digits, and Detroit will be eager to avoid getting swept. That said, Seattle’s bats have been on fire this last couple games – I wouldn’t be surprised if they cashed this Over themselves. My money’s on yet another high-scoring affair.

ATL Braves v STL Cardinals: The Cardinals have a substantial advantage on the mound today with Sonny Gray (3.51 ERA) who pitches even better at home than he does on the road. On the other side, Atlanta has called up Daniel Davis, who has had 14 starts in Triple-A but will make just his second appearance for the Braves this season today. I expect the St. Louis offense to have the upper hand in this game – I say they bag at least 5 runs this evening.

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Today's Player Props

-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles: Eury Perez Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-125) | 0.15 Units

-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers: Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs (+265) | 0.15 Units (bold, I know...)

-LA Dodgers v SF Giants: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 7+ Strikeouts (+145) | 0.15 Units

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July 13, 2025: Belle's Picks ⚾️

July 13, 2025

-MIA Marlins Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles Over 9.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers Over 8.0 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals Team Total Over 4.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles: Orioles starter Brandon Young (6.14 ERA) has been the definition of unreliable, friends. Baltimore has lost 4 of Young’s last 5 starts, and their opponents have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of his last 5 outings. To be frank, I won’t be surprised if the Marlins offense gets to the Orioles pitcher early on; Trevor Rogers was a much tougher arm than Brandon Young, and even he couldn’t keep the Miami offense at bay in the second game of this series. My money’s on the Marlins to score at least 5 here. As for the full game total, I’m glad the price tag on this came down. When I looked at this game last night, the Over was sitting at -125 (I don’t love anything priced higher than -120…) and so I ruled it out for ‘Pick of the Day’. That said, at 1.91, I’ll bite – I think this game sees a final score of 6-5. Take the Over to hit, betting fam.

SEA Mariners v DET Tigers: Between Jack Flaherty (4.70 ERA) and Logan Gilbert’s 6.02 Away ERA, I think this total makes its way Over 8 runs. Both games in this series so far have gone well into the double digits, and Detroit will be eager to avoid getting swept. That said, Seattle’s bats have been on fire this last couple games – I wouldn’t be surprised if they cashed this Over themselves. My money’s on yet another high-scoring affair.

ATL Braves v STL Cardinals: The Cardinals have a substantial advantage on the mound today with Sonny Gray (3.51 ERA) who pitches even better at home than he does on the road. On the other side, Atlanta has called up Daniel Davis, who has had 14 starts in Triple-A but will make just his second appearance for the Braves this season today. I expect the St. Louis offense to have the upper hand in this game – I say they bag at least 5 runs this evening.

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July 13, 2025: Belle's Pick of the Day 🛎️

July 12, 2025

-MIA Marlins Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

Why This Pick?

Orioles starter Brandon Young (6.14 ERA) has been the definition of unreliable, friends. Baltimore has lost 4 of Young’s last 5 starts, and their opponents have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of his last 5 outings. To be frank, I won’t be surprised if the Marlins offense gets to the Orioles pitcher early on; Trevor Rogers was a much tougher arm than Brandon Young, and even he couldn’t keep the Miami offense at bay in the second game of this series. My money’s on the Marlins to score at least 5 here.

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July 12, 2025: 3/4 Picks Landed – Another Profitable Day! ✅😌

July 12, 2025

Another day in the green, friends! I love a good end of the day recap that ends with profit (and coffee, of course ☕️). How'd we do? Picks hit 3/4, and Player Props hit 1/2! I'm thrilled – we also had a couple of plus money picks on today's board. Here's what we had:

Picks (3/4)

-ATL Braves v STL Cardinals Over 9.5 (+100)

-ATL Braves Team Total Over 4.5 (-115)

-MIL Brewers Team Total Over 5.5 (+110)

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (+115) ❌

Player Props (1/2)

ATL Braves v STL Cardinals: Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120)

PHI Phillies v SD Padres: Zack Wheeler Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+110) ❌

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Unfortunately today's parlay was a miss – our beloved Brewers only won by a single run (instead of covering the RL...) but I'll let it slide, since they managed to cash the Team Total for plus money in our single picks 😉

'Pick of the Day' cashed for plus money – LFG! And as a result, our $50K Challenge wager also hit this afternoon. For those of you that don't know, I'm currently running a "$50K Challenge" ladder in my Discord server! Day 3 commences tomorrow – I'd highly recommend joining in on the fun. Here's to hoping I make it to Day 12 without a loss 😂🍻

One last fun note: I'll be launching my Podcast, Your Bettor Half, next week! I wanted to launch it earlier this month, but I got ridiculously sick and I completely lost my voice there for a couple of weeks. 😮‍💨 I'll send more information out once I drop the first episode!

Alright friends, that's all I've got for this evening. As always, I'll see you all bright and early tomorrow to take on the books ;)

X

Belle

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July 12, 2025: Today's Pick of the Day Hits 💰🤑

July 12, 2025

Today's Pick of the Day hits, friends! A huge congrats to everyone that tailed today – and for those curious, here's what we had:

-ATL Braves v STL Cardinals Over 9.5 (+100) ✅

Guys, I love a plus money POTD hit! Sean Murphy came in SO clutch with that homer (I also had the Braves Team Total Over 4.5 to cash, lol...). Enjoy your victory, betting fam – and on to the next we go ;)

X

Belle

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July 12, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays (Premium) ⚾️

July 12, 2025

Today's Picks

-ATL Braves v STL Cardinals Over 9.5 (+100) | 0.5 Units

-ATL Braves Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-MIL Brewers Team Total Over 5.5 (+110) | 0.25 Units

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (+115) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

ATL Braves v STL Cardinals: Cardinals starter Erick Fedde (4.79 ERA) has been rough, friends – and he’s even worse at home. Fedde has allowed 17 runs in his last 3 outings on 20 hits – this is a crazy statistic! As long as the Atlanta offense makes contact, we should have a high-scoring game. The Braves don’t have a pitcher listed at the time of writing, but to be frank it doesn’t matter. If Atlanta rolls with a bullpen game the way I suspect they might, this final score should land on the moon (lol). If not, there isn’t anyone on the Braves starting roster that I think will keep St. Louis off the board enough to make this a low scoring affair. Take the Over to cash.


WAS Nationals v MIL Brewers: I’m running this one back for plus money, friends. Milwaukee vs the Nationals bullpen? Bet. This pick requires little explanation in my opinion – give me the Brewers offense to run up a total.


PHI Phillies v SD Padres: Phillies starter Zack Wheeler is undoubtedly one of the best arms in MLB. 4 of Wheeler’s last 5 outings were victories, and all 4 wins were by at least 2 runs. I suppose the question I’m asking myself here isn’t “Do I think the Phillies will win by 2?” It’s, “Do I think the Phillies will win?” If the answer is yes, it only makes sense to wager they’ll cover the RL given Wheeler’s recent game history. To boot, Yu Darvish is still finding his rhythm after a return from the IL – I’m on Philly to cover the RL.

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Today's Player Props

PHI Phillies v SD Padres: Zack Wheeler Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+110) | 0.20 Units

ATL Braves v STL Cardinals: Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlays

Parlay (+411) | 0.20 Units

MIL Brewers -1.5 (-130) 

PHI Phillies (-165)

ARI Diamondbacks v LA Angels Over 8.5 (-120)

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