Why These Picks?
-TOR Blue Jays Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units
-ARI Diamondbacks v DET Tiger Over 9.0 (-115) (alternate total) | 0.25 Units
-LA Dodgers -1.5 (+105) | 0.25 Units
-MIA Marlins ML (-105) | 0.25 Units
Why These Picks?
TOR Blue Jays v BAL Orioles: The pitching matchup here is seemingly one-sided, friends. 4 of Chris Bassitt’s (3.88 ERA) last 5 starts have resulted in a Blue Jays win, but his ERA on the road (5.66) is pretty similar to Eflin’s. That said, I fully expect the visitors to put at least 5 runs on the board here. Baltimore starter Zach Eflin’s (5.78 ERA) last 4 straight starts have resulted in a loss for the Orioles. To boot, 3 of those 4 losses saw their opponents bag at least 7 runs – and to be frank, those opponents didn’t have offenses nearly as solid as the Blue Jays’ current batting lineup. With Toronto having scored at least 5 runs in their last 5 straight wins over the Orioles, my money’s on the Jays to bag at least 5 today.
ARI Diamondbacks v DET Tigers: Between Tigers starter Troy Melton (10.80 ERA) and Diamondbacks starter Eduardo Rodriguez, I can’t imagine that this game sees a total of less than 9. To be fair, Melton has only had one start so far this season, but it wasn’t a good one at 6 ERs. So long as the Diamondbacks batting lineup doesn’t decide to no-show for a third game in a row, I say this encounter easily sees 10. FYI, I’ve gone with an alternate of 9.0 instead of 8.5 at the lesser return (I’ll happily risk a ‘Push’ here for a bit more money).
LA Dodgers v CIN Reds: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (2.55 ERA) is a far better arm than Chase Burns (6.65 ERA), friends. To be frank, this is not the kind of game the Dodgers can be dropping. Assuming LA's offense turns up, this should be a solid win for them. My money's on the Dodgers to cover the RL.
MIA Marlins v STL Cardinals: If the Marlins can go toe-to-toe with the Brewers in Milwaukee, they can undoubtedly beat the Cardinals with Andre Pallante (4.91 ERA) on the mound. Pallante’s last 5 straight starts have resulted in a loss for St. Louis – 3 of which were total shutouts. Miami has been playing far too well for me not to go for the upset, and I think starter Edward Cabrera (3.48 ERA) can keep the Cardinals at bay long enough for his team to secure a victory. Give me the Marlins to win.
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Today's Player Props
-LA Dodgers v CIN Reds: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 7+ Strikeouts (+130) | 0.20 Units
-TEX Rangers v LA Angels: Jacob deGrom 8+ Strikeouts (+120) | 0.15 Units
-TOR Blue Jays v BAL Orioles: Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) | 0.15 Units
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Today's Parlay(s):
Parlay (+641) | 0.20 Units
-TB Rays v NY Yankees Over 8.5 (-110)
-LA Dodgers ML (-160)
-TEX Rangers ML (-205)
-TOR Blue Jays v BAL Orioles Over 8.0 (alternate total) (-165)
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