-PHI Phillies v MIL Brewers Over 9.0 (-105) | 0.5 Units

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Why This Pick?

This pick comes down to two things for me, friends. Both squads are incredibly capable offensively, and to be frank, I just don’t trust Aaron Nola (6.47 ERA) not to melt out there. Nola’s last 4 straight outings have seen the Over cash in spades, while Brewers starter Jose Quintana (3.69 ERA) let the Diamondbacks bag 6 runs off him in his last start at home. I think it’s going to be very difficult for this encounter to stay under 9 – my money’s on the Over to cash.

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Let's go! This was a profitable night, friends – picks hit 3/4 & Pick of the Day cashed 👏🏽💸 A big congratulations to everyone that tailed tonight's slate. For those curious, here's what we had:

Picks (3/4) 

-TOR Blue Jays v CIN Reds Over 8.5 (-120) ✅

-BOS Red Sox Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) ✅

-BOS Red Sox -1.5 (-125) ✅

-ATL Braves v CHI Cubs Over 8.5 (-115) ❌

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A couple of highlights and one low point...

1. I don't think Pick of the Day could have gone any better – sweat-free is an understatement! We secured the bag before the 2nd inning finished ;)

2. I thought for sure that Braves/Cubs Over was going to cash and we'd get the sweep! The Cubs scored 4 runs in the 3rd inning, and then did literally NOTHING for the rest of the game 🤯 Unbelievable – that one should've been easy money. But I won't dwell... 

3. F*** yeah, Boston! The Red Sox cashed Over 4.5 runs and covered the RL – no notes! 😂👊🏽

I think that's all for this evening, friends. Oh, and for those that don't already know: I launched a podcast this week! And I can't shut up about it. Give it a listen on Spotify, I’ll be posting a new episode every Monday morning ☀️☕️.

Okay NOW I'm done. As always, I'll see you all bright and early to conquer the books.

X

Belle

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‍

Today's Picks

-TOR Blue Jays v CIN Reds Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

-BOS Red Sox Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-BOS Red Sox -1.5 (-125) | 0.25 Units

-ATL Braves v CHI Cubs Over 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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TOR Blue Jays v CIN Reds: The last 5 straight encounters between these two squads have cashed the Over, friends. 4 of Toronto starter Jose Berrios’ (3.95 ERA) last 5 starts have seen at least 13 runs (?!) In addition, with the Blue Jays bullpen struggling the way that it is, I have no doubt that Cincinnati will be able to put a number of late-inning runs on the board. Give me the Over to hit this evening.

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CLE Guardians v BOS Red Sox: The Red Sox have bagged at least 5 runs in their last 3 encounters with the Guardians. With Cleveland starter Slade Cecconi (4.41 ERA) having allowed a staggering 20 hits over just his last 3 outings, I think Boston’s offense will quickly run up a score. In addition, with Garrett Crochet (2.40 ERA) on the mound at home, I can’t see the Guardians getting much on the board. My money’s both on the Red Sox to cover the RL & on the Red Sox to score at least 5 here.

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ATL Braves v CHI Cubs: Both of these offenses are just hitting the ball way too well for me to back the Under, betting fam. While starter Joey Wentz (4.92 ERA) is a part of the Braves bullpen, the man has pitched up to a full 6 innings. How quickly Atlanta changes things up will fully depend on his performance – but all of Wentz's last 5 starts have seen at least 8 runs. Take the Over to cash.

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Today's Player Props

-TOR Blue Jays v CIN Reds: Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v CIN Reds: Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v CIN Reds: Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120) | 0.20 Units

-CLE Guardians v BOS Red Sox: Garrett Crochet Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-165) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+554) | 0.20 Units

-CHI Cubs Team Total Over 4.5 (-115)

-TOR Blue Jays Team Total Over 4.5 (-120)

-SEA Mariners v TB Rays Under 7.5 (-110)

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Today's Picks

-TOR Blue Jays v CIN Reds Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

-BOS Red Sox Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-BOS Red Sox -1.5 (-125) | 0.25 Units

-ATL Braves v CHI Cubs Over 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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TOR Blue Jays v CIN Reds: The last 5 straight encounters between these two squads have cashed the Over, friends. 4 of Toronto starter Jose Berrios’ (3.95 ERA) last 5 starts have seen at least 13 runs (?!) In addition, with the Blue Jays bullpen struggling the way that it is, I have no doubt that Cincinnati will be able to put a number of late-inning runs on the board. Give me the Over to hit this evening.

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CLE Guardians v BOS Red Sox: The Red Sox have bagged at least 5 runs in their last 3 encounters with the Guardians. With Cleveland starter Slade Cecconi (4.41 ERA) having allowed a staggering 20 hits over just his last 3 outings, I think Boston’s offense will quickly run up a score. In addition, with Garrett Crochet (2.40 ERA) on the mound at home, I can’t see the Guardians getting much on the board. My money’s both on the Red Sox to cover the RL & on the Red Sox to score at least 5 here.

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ATL Braves v CHI Cubs: Both of these offenses are just hitting the ball way too well for me to back the Under, betting fam. While starter Joey Wentz (4.92 ERA) is a part of the Braves bullpen, the man has pitched up to a full 6 innings. How quickly Atlanta changes things up will fully depend on his performance – but all of Wentz's last 5 starts have seen at least 8 runs. Take the Over to cash.

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Today's Player Props

-TOR Blue Jays v CIN Reds: Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v CIN Reds: Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v CIN Reds: Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120) | 0.20 Units

-CLE Guardians v BOS Red Sox: Garrett Crochet Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-165) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Picks

-TOR Blue Jays v CIN Reds Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

-BOS Red Sox Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-BOS Red Sox -1.5 (-125) | 0.25 Units

-ATL Braves v CHI Cubs Over 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

‍

TOR Blue Jays v CIN Reds: The last 5 straight encounters between these two squads have cashed the Over, friends. 4 of Toronto starter Jose Berrios’ (3.95 ERA) last 5 starts have seen at least 13 runs (?!) In addition, with the Blue Jays bullpen struggling the way that it is, I have no doubt that Cincinnati will be able to put a number of late-inning runs on the board. Give me the Over to hit this evening.

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CLE Guardians v BOS Red Sox: The Red Sox have bagged at least 5 runs in their last 3 encounters with the Guardians. With Cleveland starter Slade Cecconi (4.41 ERA) having allowed a staggering 20 hits over just his last 3 outings, I think Boston’s offense will quickly run up a score. In addition, with Garrett Crochet (2.40 ERA) on the mound at home, I can’t see the Guardians getting much on the board. My money’s both on the Red Sox to cover the RL & on the Red Sox to score at least 5 here.

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ATL Braves v CHI Cubs: Both of these offenses are just hitting the ball way too well for me to back the Under, betting fam. While starter Joey Wentz (4.92 ERA) is a part of the Braves bullpen, the man has pitched up to a full 6 innings. How quickly Atlanta changes things up will fully depend on his performance – but all of Wentz's last 5 starts have seen at least 8 runs. Take the Over to cash.

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-TOR Blue Jays v CIN Reds Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

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Why This Pick?

The last 5 straight encounters between these two squads have cashed the Over, friends. 4 of Toronto starter Jose Berrios’ (3.95 ERA) last 5 starts have seen at least 13 runs (?!) In addition, with the Blue Jays bullpen struggling the way that it is, I have no doubt that Cincinnati will be able to put a number of late-inning runs on the board. Give me the Over to hit this evening.

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‍

Friends, I had a good betting day yesterday (Picks 3/4!) However, if you’ve followed me for a while now (or hell, even for a few months…) you probably know that while I love that I hit 3/4 of my picks yesterday…I hate that the ONLY pick we didn’t cash on was Pick of the Day. For those curious, here’s what else I had last night:

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Picks (3/4)

-CHI White Sox v MIN Twins Over 9.5 (+100) ✅

-CHI Cubs ML (-120) ✅

-ATL Braves v CHI Cubs Over 7.5 (-110) ✅

-BAL Orioles v SD Padres Over 7.5 (-110) ❌

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The part that really kills me is that the Orioles and the Padres put 4 runs on the board early! 8 runs was looking inevitable until the 8th inning. Finishing 1 shy = pain 😂 But alas, today’s a new day.

As an aside: I launched a podcast yesterday! Friends, I’m a 10/10 excited. Give it a listen on Spotify, I’ll be posting a new episode every Monday morning ☀️☕️.

With that said, I'll have today's Pick of the Day out shortly, betting fam!

X

Belle

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🔥 Want all of my picks, props & parlays?
👉 Upgrade your tier anytime under ‘My Account’

‍🎓 Ready to level up your game?
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☕ Buy Belle a Coffee

‍

Today's Picks

-CHI White Sox v MIN Twins Over 9.5 (+100) | 0.25 Units

-CHI Cubs ML (-120) | 0.25 Units

-ATL Braves v CHI Cubs Over 7.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-BAL Orioles v SD Padres Over 7.5 (-110) | 0.5 Units

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Why These Picks?

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CHI White Sox v MIN Twins: I know the White Sox aren't anything to write home about on the road, but with Bailey Ober (5.14 ERA) out there on the mound for Minnesota, I can't resist an Over for plus money. In addition, it looks like the White Sox will be playing a bullpen game, so the Twins should get their fair share of runs on the board. I'll wager on a high-scoring affair today.

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ATL Braves v CHI Cubs: There’s far too much potential for both of these offenses to light up each other’s pitchers. To boot, I think this is a real nice price for the Cubs to bag a win at home. Braves starter Spencer Strider (4.95 ERA) is a mere 5-12, and has allowed 16 runs over his last 3 starts. On the other side, Chicago starter Colin Rea (4.23 ERA) sits at 10-6 and has allowed 9 runs over his last 3 outings. My money’s on the Cubs to bag a home win and on the Over to cash.

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BAL Orioles v SD Padres: I’m having a tough time coming to terms with this line, friends. O/U 7.5? The Orioles will start Kyle Bradish (3.00 ERA) today, who’s only taken the mound once this season and the result was a shutout (Boston won 5-0). Meanwhile, 4 of Padres starter Dylan Cease’s (4.82 ERA) last 5 outings have seen at least 8 runs. The San Diego offense has struggled on the road, but their home record is exceptional. Lastly, 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two squads have seen at least 10 runs (?!) I’ve gotta take the Over to hit here, friends.

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Today's Player Props

-ATL Braves v CHI Cubs: Michael Busch Over 1.5 Total Bases (+135) | 0.20 Units

-ATL Braves v CHI Cubs: Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) | 0.20 Units

-BAL Orioles v SD Padres: Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+425) | 0.20 Units

-CHI White Sox Team Total Over 3.5 (-135)

-SD Padres ML (-155)

-SEA Mariners v TB Rays Over 8.5 (-120)

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Today's Picks

-CHI White Sox v MIN Twins Over 9.5 (+100) | 0.25 Units

-CHI Cubs ML (-120) | 0.25 Units

-ATL Braves v CHI Cubs Over 7.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-BAL Orioles v SD Padres Over 7.5 (-110) | 0.5 Units

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Why These Picks?

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CHI White Sox v MIN Twins: I know the White Sox aren't anything to write home about on the road, but with Bailey Ober (5.14 ERA) out there on the mound for Minnesota, I can't resist an Over for plus money. In addition, it looks like the White Sox will be playing a bullpen game, so the Twins should get their fair share of runs on the board. I'll wager on a high-scoring affair today.

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ATL Braves v CHI Cubs: There’s far too much potential for both of these offenses to light up each other’s pitchers. To boot, I think this is a real nice price for the Cubs to bag a win at home. Braves starter Spencer Strider (4.95 ERA) is a mere 5-12, and has allowed 16 runs over his last 3 starts. On the other side, Chicago starter Colin Rea (4.23 ERA) sits at 10-6 and has allowed 9 runs over his last 3 outings. My money’s on the Cubs to bag a home win and on the Over to cash.

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BAL Orioles v SD Padres: I’m having a tough time coming to terms with this line, friends. O/U 7.5? The Orioles will start Kyle Bradish (3.00 ERA) today, who’s only taken the mound once this season and the result was a shutout (Boston won 5-0). Meanwhile, 4 of Padres starter Dylan Cease’s (4.82 ERA) last 5 outings have seen at least 8 runs. The San Diego offense has struggled on the road, but their home record is exceptional. Lastly, 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two squads have seen at least 10 runs (?!) I’ve gotta take the Over to hit here, friends.

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Today's Player Props

-ATL Braves v CHI Cubs: Michael Busch Over 1.5 Total Bases (+135) | 0.20 Units

-ATL Braves v CHI Cubs: Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) | 0.20 Units

-BAL Orioles v SD Padres: Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+425) | 0.20 Units

-CHI White Sox Team Total Over 3.5 (-135)

-SD Padres ML (-155)

-SEA Mariners v TB Rays Over 8.5 (-120)

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Today's Picks

-CHI White Sox v MIN Twins Over 9.5 (+100) | 0.25 Units

-CHI Cubs ML (-120) | 0.25 Units

-ATL Braves v CHI Cubs Over 7.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-BAL Orioles v SD Padres Over 7.5 (-110) | 0.5 Units

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Why These Picks?

‍

CHI White Sox v MIN Twins: I know the White Sox aren't anything to write home about on the road, but with Bailey Ober (5.14 ERA) out there on the mound for Minnesota, I can't resist an Over for plus money. In addition, it looks like the White Sox will be playing a bullpen game, so the Twins should get their fair share of runs on the board. I'll wager on a high-scoring affair today.

‍

ATL Braves v CHI Cubs: There’s far too much potential for both of these offenses to light up each other’s pitchers. To boot, I think this is a real nice price for the Cubs to bag a win at home. Braves starter Spencer Strider (4.95 ERA) is a mere 5-12, and has allowed 16 runs over his last 3 starts. On the other side, Chicago starter Colin Rea (4.23 ERA) sits at 10-6 and has allowed 9 runs over his last 3 outings. My money’s on the Cubs to bag a home win and on the Over to cash.

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BAL Orioles v SD Padres: I’m having a tough time coming to terms with this line, friends. O/U 7.5? The Orioles will start Kyle Bradish (3.00 ERA) today, who’s only taken the mound once this season and the result was a shutout (Boston won 5-0). Meanwhile, 4 of Padres starter Dylan Cease’s (4.82 ERA) last 5 outings have seen at least 8 runs. The San Diego offense has struggled on the road, but their home record is exceptional. Lastly, 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two squads have seen at least 10 runs (?!) I’ve gotta take the Over to hit here, friends.

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Today's Player Props

-ATL Braves v CHI Cubs: Michael Busch Over 1.5 Total Bases (+135) | 0.20 Units

-ATL Braves v CHI Cubs: Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) | 0.20 Units

-BAL Orioles v SD Padres: Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115) | 0.20 Units

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