Today's Picks

-NY Knicks -8.5 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-POR Trail Blazers v CLE Cavaliers Under 239.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-BUF Sabres v PHI Flyers Over 6.0 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-PHI Flyers ML (+110) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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BUF Sabres v PHI Flyers: Neither of tonight’s goaltenders (confirmed or otherwise…) are phenomenal, but I really like Philly in this spot. Having won 5 of their last 7 games, this underdog pick comes down to two things: the Flyers play much better defense than the Sabres, and they’ve pulled off some very respectable upsets at home (including wins over the Winnipeg Jets & the Carolina Hurricanes). I think this game will see plenty of goals – the last 8 straight meetings between these two have seen at least 6, but I’m also sprinkling Philly to come out of this one with a win.

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POR Trail Blazers v CLE Cavaliers: With the Trail Blazers on the road and on a back-to-back, I think this encounter has a real good chance of being a low-scoring one. In addition, the Cavaliers’ last 6 straight home games have fallen well below 239 – and if you’ve watched a Cleveland home game lately, you know that they’ve been taking their sweet time “getting in the game” so to speak on their own court. My money’s on the Under tonight.

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CHA Hornets v NY Knicks: 8-1 ATS over their last 9 games at home, and 10-1 Straight Up on their own court is a tough stat to bet against, friends. I know the Knicks are on a back-to-back here, but the Hornets are in abysmal shape. Charlotte has won 6 games all season, their injury list is getting lengthy, and New York smoked them just last week by 28 points. In short: I think it would take an NBA Holiday miracle for the Hornets to keep this one close. I’m on New York to cover in spades.

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Today's Player Props

-BUF Sabres v PHI Flyers: Owen Tippett Over 2.5 Shots On Goal (-105) | 0.20 Units

-MIA Heat v DAL Mavericks: Tyler Herro Over 22.5 Points (-110) | 0.20 Units

-BKN Nets v CHI Bulls: Nikola Vucevic Over 13.5 Assists & Rebounds (-115) | 0.20 Units

-BKN Nets v CHI Bulls: Josh Giddey Over 39.5 Points, Assists & Rebounds (-120) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Picks

-NY Knicks -8.5 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-POR Trail Blazers v CLE Cavaliers Under 239.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-BUF Sabres v PHI Flyers Over 6.0 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-PHI Flyers ML (+110) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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BUF Sabres v PHI Flyers: Neither of tonight’s goaltenders (confirmed or otherwise…) are phenomenal, but I really like Philly in this spot. Having won 5 of their last 7 games, this underdog pick comes down to two things: the Flyers play much better defense than the Sabres, and they’ve pulled off some very respectable upsets at home (including wins over the Winnipeg Jets & the Carolina Hurricanes). I think this game will see plenty of goals – the last 8 straight meetings between these two have seen at least 6, but I’m also sprinkling Philly to come out of this one with a win.

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POR Trail Blazers v CLE Cavaliers: With the Trail Blazers on the road and on a back-to-back, I think this encounter has a real good chance of being a low-scoring one. In addition, the Cavaliers’ last 6 straight home games have fallen well below 239 – and if you’ve watched a Cleveland home game lately, you know that they’ve been taking their sweet time “getting in the game” so to speak on their own court. My money’s on the Under tonight.

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CHA Hornets v NY Knicks: 8-1 ATS over their last 9 games at home, and 10-1 Straight Up on their own court is a tough stat to bet against, friends. I know the Knicks are on a back-to-back here, but the Hornets are in abysmal shape. Charlotte has won 6 games all season, their injury list is getting lengthy, and New York smoked them just last week by 28 points. In short: I think it would take an NBA Holiday miracle for the Hornets to keep this one close. I’m on New York to cover in spades.

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-NY Knicks -8.5 (-110) | 0.5 Units

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Why This Pick?

8-1 ATS over their last 9 games at home, and 10-1 Straight Up on their own court is a tough stat to bet against, friends. I know the Knicks are on a back-to-back here, but the Hornets are in abysmal shape. Charlotte has won 6 games all season, their injury list is getting lengthy, and New York smoked them just last week by 28 points. In short: I think it would take an NBA Holiday miracle for the Hornets to keep this one close. I’m on New York to cover in spades.

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Good morning, friends ☕️😌 I’ll keep this morning recap brief (I’ve got picks to send out!), but great news: Prop bettors, you came out of last night real pretty 😉 Player Props cashed 3/4! Picks hit 1/3 – not great, but thankfully the Blackhawks/Golden Knights Over play was also for a full unit, so overall we came out of this day pretty even. For those curious, here’s what we had:

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Player Props (3/4)

-CHI Blackhawks v VGS Golden Knights: Connor Bedard Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-125) ✅

-VAN Canucks v COL Avalanche: Nathan McKinnon Anytime Goal Scorer (-125) ✅

-MIN Timberwolves v NO Pelicans: Anthony Edwards Over 29.5 Points (-110) ✅

‍-CHI Blackhawks v VGS Golden Knights: Jack Eichel Anytime Goal Scorer (+130) ❌

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Picks (1/3)

-CHI Blackhawks v VGS Golden Knights Over 6.0 (-120) ✅

-NY Knicks v BOS Celtics Under 231.0 (-110) ❌

-VAN Canucks v COL Avalanche Over 6.5 (-105) ❌

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In summary: Not an AMAZING day, certainly not the worst! 👊🏽

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Alright everyone, I’ll have today’s picks out shortly!

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X

Belle

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‍

Today's Picks

-NY Knicks v BOS Celtics Under 231.0 (-110) | 1 Unit

-CHI Blackhawks v VGS Golden Knights Over 6.0 (-120) | 1 Unit

-VAN Canucks v COL Avalanche Over 6.5 (-105) | 0.5 Units

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Why These Picks?

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NY Knicks v BOS Celtics: The Knicks offense isn’t nearly as all-encompassing on the road as they are at home. In addition, the last meeting between these two in NY struggled to crack 200 points, the Knicks have cashed the Under in their last 4 straight outings (all 4 saw less than 231…), and Boston has cashed it in 7 of their last 10. I know both of these squads sit in the top 5 offensively speaking (and this might be a bit of a sweat…), but my money’s on the Under to hit.

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CHI Blackhawks v VGS Golden Knights: The last 3 meetings between these two teams saw final totals of at least 8 goals, and 4 of the last 5 encounters cashed the Over with ease. The Blackhawks defense is no where near solid enough to keep Las Vegas at bay, and the Golden Knights have called Carter Hart back to the NHL to goal tend tonight’s game. Take the Over to hit.

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VAN Canucks v COL Avalanche: Plain and simple, the Canucks are just not “it” right now. While Kevin Lankinen is back in net, I expect the Avalanche to make light work of Vancouver here. The Canucks haven’t scored more than 2 goals in 4 of their last 5 games, but I expect Colorado to get at least 5 on the board here. I don’t usually toss score predictions out there, but I have a feeling this encounter ends 5-2 for the Avs. I’ll take the Over to cash for a nice price.

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Today's Player Props

-CHI Blackhawks v VGS Golden Knights: Connor Bedard Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-125) | 0.20 Units

-CHI Blackhawks v VGS Golden Knights: Jack Eichel Anytime Goal Scorer (+130) | 0.20 Units

-VAN Canucks v COL Avalanche: Nathan McKinnon Anytime Goal Scorer (-125) | 0.20 Units

-MIN Timberwolves v NO Pelicans: Anthony Edwards Over 29.5 Points (-110) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+595) | 0.20 Units

-OKC Thunder v GS Warriors Over 223.5 (-110) 

-MEM Grizzlies v SA Spurs Under 232.0 (-110) 

-WAS Wizards v PHI 76ers Over 235.0 (-110)

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Today's Picks

-NY Knicks v BOS Celtics Under 231.0 (-110) | 1 Unit

-CHI Blackhawks v VGS Golden Knights Over 6.0 (-120) | 1 Unit

-VAN Canucks v COL Avalanche Over 6.5 (-105) | 0.5 Units

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Why These Picks?

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NY Knicks v BOS Celtics: The Knicks offense isn’t nearly as all-encompassing on the road as they are at home. In addition, the last meeting between these two in NY struggled to crack 200 points, the Knicks have cashed the Under in their last 4 straight outings (all 4 saw less than 231…), and Boston has cashed it in 7 of their last 10. I know both of these squads sit in the top 5 offensively speaking (and this might be a bit of a sweat…), but my money’s on the Under to hit.

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CHI Blackhawks v VGS Golden Knights: The last 3 meetings between these two teams saw final totals of at least 8 goals, and 4 of the last 5 encounters cashed the Over with ease. The Blackhawks defense is no where near solid enough to keep Las Vegas at bay, and the Golden Knights have called Carter Hart back to the NHL to goal tend tonight’s game. Take the Over to hit.

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VAN Canucks v COL Avalanche: Plain and simple, the Canucks are just not “it” right now. While Kevin Lankinen is back in net, I expect the Avalanche to make light work of Vancouver here. The Canucks haven’t scored more than 2 goals in 4 of their last 5 games, but I expect Colorado to get at least 5 on the board here. I don’t usually toss score predictions out there, but I have a feeling this encounter ends 5-2 for the Avs. I’ll take the Over to cash for a nice price.

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Today's Player Props

-CHI Blackhawks v VGS Golden Knights: Connor Bedard Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-125) | 0.20 Units

-CHI Blackhawks v VGS Golden Knights: Jack Eichel Anytime Goal Scorer (+130) | 0.20 Units

-VAN Canucks v COL Avalanche: Nathan McKinnon Anytime Goal Scorer (-125) | 0.20 Units

-MIN Timberwolves v NO Pelicans: Anthony Edwards Over 29.5 Points (-110) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+595) | 0.20 Units

-OKC Thunder v GS Warriors Over 223.5 (-110) 

-MEM Grizzlies v SA Spurs Under 232.0 (-110) 

-WAS Wizards v PHI 76ers Over 235.0 (-110)

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Today's Picks

-NY Knicks v BOS Celtics Under 231.0 (-110) | 1 Unit

-CHI Blackhawks v VGS Golden Knights Over 6.0 (-120) | 1 Unit

-VAN Canucks v COL Avalanche Over 6.5 (-105) | 0.5 Units

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Why These Picks?

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NY Knicks v BOS Celtics: The Knicks offense isn’t nearly as all-encompassing on the road as they are at home. In addition, the last meeting between these two in NY struggled to crack 200 points, the Knicks have cashed the Under in their last 4 straight outings (all 4 saw less than 231…), and Boston has cashed it in 7 of their last 10. I know both of these squads sit in the top 5 offensively speaking (and this might be a bit of a sweat…), but my money’s on the Under to hit.

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CHI Blackhawks v VGS Golden Knights: The last 3 meetings between these two teams saw final totals of at least 8 goals, and 4 of the last 5 encounters cashed the Over with ease. The Blackhawks defense is no where near solid enough to keep Las Vegas at bay, and the Golden Knights have called Carter Hart back to the NHL to goal tend tonight’s game. Take the Over to hit.

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VAN Canucks v COL Avalanche: Plain and simple, the Canucks are just not “it” right now. While Kevin Lankinen is back in net, I expect the Avalanche to make light work of Vancouver here. The Canucks haven’t scored more than 2 goals in 4 of their last 5 games, but I expect Colorado to get at least 5 on the board here. I don’t usually toss score predictions out there, but I have a feeling this encounter ends 5-2 for the Avs. I’ll take the Over to cash for a nice price.

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Today's Player Props

-CHI Blackhawks v VGS Golden Knights: Connor Bedard Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-125) | 0.20 Units

-CHI Blackhawks v VGS Golden Knights: Jack Eichel Anytime Goal Scorer (+130) | 0.20 Units

-VAN Canucks v COL Avalanche: Nathan McKinnon Anytime Goal Scorer (-125) | 0.20 Units

-MIN Timberwolves v NO Pelicans: Anthony Edwards Over 29.5 Points (-110) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Picks

-NY Knicks v BOS Celtics Under 231.0 (-110) | 1 Unit

-CHI Blackhawks v VGS Golden Knights Over 6.0 (-120) | 1 Unit

-VAN Canucks v COL Avalanche Over 6.5 (-105) | 0.5 Units

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Why These Picks?

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NY Knicks v BOS Celtics: The Knicks offense isn’t nearly as all-encompassing on the road as they are at home. In addition, the last meeting between these two in NY struggled to crack 200 points, the Knicks have cashed the Under in their last 4 straight outings (all 4 saw less than 231…), and Boston has cashed it in 7 of their last 10. I know both of these squads sit in the top 5 offensively speaking (and this might be a bit of a sweat…), but my money’s on the Under to hit.

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CHI Blackhawks v VGS Golden Knights: The last 3 meetings between these two teams saw final totals of at least 8 goals, and 4 of the last 5 encounters cashed the Over with ease. The Blackhawks defense is no where near solid enough to keep Las Vegas at bay, and the Golden Knights have called Carter Hart back to the NHL to goal tend tonight’s game. Take the Over to hit.

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VAN Canucks v COL Avalanche: Plain and simple, the Canucks are just not “it” right now. While Kevin Lankinen is back in net, I expect the Avalanche to make light work of Vancouver here. The Canucks haven’t scored more than 2 goals in 4 of their last 5 games, but I expect Colorado to get at least 5 on the board here. I don’t usually toss score predictions out there, but I have a feeling this encounter ends 5-2 for the Avs. I’ll take the Over to cash for a nice price.

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-NY Knicks v BOS Celtics Under 231.0 (-110) | 1 Unit

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Why This Pick?

The Knicks offense isn’t nearly as all-encompassing on the road as they are at home. In addition, the last meeting between these two in NY struggled to crack 200 points, the Knicks have cashed the Under in their last 4 straight outings (all 4 saw less than 231…), and Boston has cashed it in 7 of their last 10. I know both of these squads sit in the top 5 offensively speaking (and this might be a bit of a sweat…), but my money’s on the Under to hit.

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👉 Upgrade your tier anytime under ‘My Account’

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Hey friends,

Happy Monday ☕️😌 I think I speak for all of us when I say: I’m so glad December is finally here.

I wanted to kick off the month with a little reflection. November was… a month. Comically, I looked back at my spreadsheet from last year, and wouldn’t you know it — November was the only "Belle's Picks" month that didn’t turn a profit in 2024. I’ll have updated spreadsheets and a trough of fun stats out later this week, but honestly? November being a tough sports betting month might be a thing. If Year 3 is also chaos, we’re calling it a tradition 😂

For those of you who subscribed in November — thank you for sticking it out. It was a roller coaster, but I appreciate you trusting the process and trusting me. Even when sports decides to light itself on fire for a few weeks, this community always bounces back in spades 😊

Pick of the Day felt the brunt of November’s wild energy. To my “freemium” family: I’ll do my best to get you back in the green and finish December nice and cozy 😉

Before I go, I have to mention that Broncos/Commanders game. As choked as I was that Denver didn’t cover, the game itself was insane. And I’m still salty about that PI call after Washington fully "dropped the ball" on 4th down in OT. Unreal. Lastly, going for that 2-pt conversion was BOLD… but at 3-8, I guess you’ve got nothing to lose 😂

Alright everyone — that’s all for now. Today's email takeaways:

1. Updated spreadsheets + fun stats are coming this week, and

2. Let’s leave November in the rear-view mirror and make December our cash cow.

Cheers,

X

Belle

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🔥 Want all of my picks, props & parlays?
👉 Upgrade your tier anytime under ‘My Account’

‍🎓 Ready to level up your game?
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☕ Buy Belle a Coffee

‍