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Nov 21, 2025: Belle's Picks 🏒🏀

November 22, 2025

Today's Picks

-CLE Cavaliers Team Total Under 126.5 Points (-115) | 0.25 Units

-POR Trail Blazers v GS Warriors Over 236.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-MIN Wild v PIT Penguins Under 6.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?


IND Pacers v CLE Cavaliers: The Pacers are the league’s ultimate fade at the moment. Indiana has won a mere 2 games of 15 so far this season – and while the Cavaliers have been fairly disappointing in the spread-covering department at home lately, the Pacers have been a complete disappointment in every sense of the word. That said, the Cavaliers also have a lengthy IL/list of “Questionables” at the time of writing, and despite playing some teams with terrible defenses at home (make no mistake, the Pacers’ defense is terrible…), they haven’t come close to cracking 127 points in their last 4 straight home games. I’ll take Cleveland’s team total to stay Under 126.5.

POR Trail Blazers v GS Warriors: While the Trail Blazers have lost their last 4 straight games, their offense still puts a solid number of points on the board. Portland’s last 5 straight outings have seen final totals of more than 236 (having a brutal defense will do that…), and they’re currently averaging 120.7 PPG. Meanwhile, the Warriors undoubtedly play their best ball at home. I’m on the Over to cash in spades here, friends.

MIN Wild v PIT Penguins: 4 of the Wild’s last 5 outings have seen the Under cash, and the Penguins’ last 3 straight home games haven’t seen totals over 4 goals. Defense should rule this encounter, and neither squad is a high-scoring juggernaut. I’m on the Under to hit, friends.

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Nov 21, 2025: Belle's Pick of the Day 🛎️

November 22, 2025

-POR Trail Blazers v GS Warriors Over 236.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

Why This Pick?

While the Trail Blazers have lost their last 4 straight games, their offense still puts a solid number of points on the board. Portland’s last 5 straight outings have seen final totals of more than 236 (having a brutal defense will do that…), and they’re currently averaging 120.7 PPG. Meanwhile, the Warriors undoubtedly play their best ball at home. I’m on the Over to cash in spades here, friends.

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Nov 21, 2025: Breaking the POTD Curse (Over Coffee) ☕️😂

November 21, 2025

Let’s all take a minute before picks go out this morning to sage the November air, shall we? And then perhaps a second moment to agree that the Detroit Red Wings are sooooo banned 😂😮‍💨☕️

 

Seriously, the Red Wings getting shut out at home against the NY Islanders was not even a remote possibility in my mind. Hell, I can’t even be mad at the Islanders for not cashing last night’s Over wager – they did more than their fair share of the work. 

 

Overall, this month has been pretty good on the paid tiers! But holy, do we ever need to turn this Pick of the Day ship around. A few of you in the Discord have floated some comical ideas to try and break the “POTD Curse”, including but not limited to:

 

  • Switching the Pick of the Day after it’s announced 
  • Taking out the words, “of the Day” from each post 😂
  • Changing the number of units on it to being the same as our other picks so that the “sports cursing powers that be” can’t tell the difference 🤔

 

I think it’s safe to say the superstitions are getting to all of us 😅

 

But having said that, play today’s Pick of the Day light if you are tailing, friends! I’ll be reducing it from half a unit to a simple quarter unit until things turn around.

 

🌟🛒 A reminder: if you’re looking to upgrade your tier until the POTD slump is over (and based on my DMs, that seems to be the majority of you...) don’t forget to use promo code BLACKFRIDAYBELLE to get 60% off! Honestly, Black Friday couldn’t have come at a better time (lol). The 60% off code applies to:

 

  • All annual tier subscriptions
  • The first month of any tier subscription
  • ‘A Lifetime of Belle’ purchases

 

Alright friends, enjoy your coffee! Let’s get this show on the road. I’ll have picks out the door shortly 😊

 

X

Belle

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Nov 20, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays (Premium) 🏀🏈🏒

November 20, 2025

Today's Picks

-NY Islanders v DET Red Wings Over 6.0 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-BUF Bills v HOU Texans Over 44.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-PHI 76ers v MIL Bucks Under 224.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-LA Kings v SJ Sharks Over 5.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

NY Islanders v DET Red Wings: This game should have a big total, friends. The Islanders smoked the Red Wings just last month 7-2, and that was with Cam Tabot (2.71 GAA) goaltending. In addition, John Gibson’s (3.31 GAA) last 4 straight starts have seen final totals of at least 7 goals. Despite being the underdog, NY will get to him early in my opinion. That said, both offenses have been efficient recently, I expect them both to contribute fairly early on – take the Over to cash.

BUF Bills v HOU Texans: The spread on this game felt "trappy" as all hell, so I decided to steer clear of it all together. That said, that trap equates to a high-scoring game for me, because neither of these teams’ defenses has been efficient lately. I’ll be shocked if there isn’t a barrage of scoring in this encounter, especially given that Houston is far better offensively on their own field (…having put at least 26 points on the board in 3 of their last 4 home games). I’m on the Over to cash.

PHI 76ers v MIL Bucks: This match up has the potential to be the lowest scoring affair of the day. With Giannis Antetokounmpo out, and the 76ers putting 112 points or less on the board in their last 5 straight games, I’ll be surprised if this meeting cracks 220. I’m on the Under here.

LA Kings v SJ Sharks: The last 4 straight meetings between these two squads have cashed the Over, friends. While both of tonight’s goaltenders are capable, I’m convinced the Sharks get some strange offense super powers from their own ice. San Jose is 5-1 in their last 6 home games! To boot, the Kings are at the end of a road trip, Drew Doughty is out, and no Darcy Kuemper in net… There are just too many variables that point to a higher-scoring affair (and a potential Sharks upset?!) The biggest in my opinion being Forsberg’s tendency to be wildly inconsistent. That said, 4 of his 6 starts have seen at least 6 goals. I’m on the Over, friends.

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Today's Player Props

-BUF Bills v HOU Texans: James Cook Anytime TD (-125) | 0.20 Units

-BUF Bills v HOU Texans: Nico Collins Anytime TD (+125) | 0.20 Units

-BUF Bills v HOU Texans: James Cook Over 73.5 Rushing Yards (-115) | 0.20 Units

-BUF Bills v HOU Texans: Davis Mills Over 214.5 Passing Yards (-110) | 0.20 Units

-LA Kings v SJ Sharks: Macklin Celebrini Anytime Goal Scorer (+170) | 0.20 Units

-LA Kings v SJ Sharks: Adrian Kempe Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+120) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+488) | 0.20 Units

-SJ Sharks +1.5 (-165)

-OTT Senators v ANA Ducks Over 6.5 (+100)

-NJ Devils v FLA Panthers Under 6.0 (-120) 

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Nov 20, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays 🏀🏈🏒

November 20, 2025

Today's Picks

-NY Islanders v DET Red Wings Over 6.0 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-BUF Bills v HOU Texans Over 44.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-PHI 76ers v MIL Bucks Under 224.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-LA Kings v SJ Sharks Over 5.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

NY Islanders v DET Red Wings: This game should have a big total, friends. The Islanders smoked the Red Wings just last month 7-2, and that was with Cam Tabot (2.71 GAA) goaltending. In addition, John Gibson’s (3.31 GAA) last 4 straight starts have seen final totals of at least 7 goals. Despite being the underdog, NY will get to him early in my opinion. That said, both offenses have been efficient recently, I expect them both to contribute fairly early on – take the Over to cash.

BUF Bills v HOU Texans: The spread on this game felt "trappy" as all hell, so I decided to steer clear of it all together. That said, that trap equates to a high-scoring game for me, because neither of these teams’ defenses has been efficient lately. I’ll be shocked if there isn’t a barrage of scoring in this encounter, especially given that Houston is far better offensively on their own field (…having put at least 26 points on the board in 3 of their last 4 home games). I’m on the Over to cash.

PHI 76ers v MIL Bucks: This match up has the potential to be the lowest scoring affair of the day. With Giannis Antetokounmpo out, and the 76ers putting 112 points or less on the board in their last 5 straight games, I’ll be surprised if this meeting cracks 220. I’m on the Under here.

LA Kings v SJ Sharks: The last 4 straight meetings between these two squads have cashed the Over, friends. While both of tonight’s goaltenders are capable, I’m convinced the Sharks get some strange offense super powers from their own ice. San Jose is 5-1 in their last 6 home games! To boot, the Kings are at the end of a road trip, Drew Doughty is out, and no Darcy Kuemper in net… There are just too many variables that point to a higher-scoring affair (and a potential Sharks upset?!) The biggest in my opinion being Forsberg’s tendency to be wildly inconsistent. That said, 4 of his 6 starts have seen at least 6 goals. I’m on the Over, friends.

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Today's Player Props

-BUF Bills v HOU Texans: James Cook Anytime TD (-125) | 0.20 Units

-BUF Bills v HOU Texans: Nico Collins Anytime TD (+125) | 0.20 Units

-BUF Bills v HOU Texans: James Cook Over 73.5 Rushing Yards (-115) | 0.20 Units

-BUF Bills v HOU Texans: Davis Mills Over 214.5 Passing Yards (-110) | 0.20 Units

-LA Kings v SJ Sharks: Macklin Celebrini Anytime Goal Scorer (+170) | 0.20 Units

-LA Kings v SJ Sharks: Adrian Kempe Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+120) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+488) | 0.20 Units

-SJ Sharks +1.5 (-165)

-OTT Senators v ANA Ducks Over 6.5 (+100)

-NJ Devils v FLA Panthers Under 6.0 (-120) 

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Nov 20, 2025: Belle's Picks & Player Props 🏀🏈🏒

November 20, 2025

Today's Picks

-NY Islanders v DET Red Wings Over 6.0 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-BUF Bills v HOU Texans Over 44.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-PHI 76ers v MIL Bucks Under 224.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-LA Kings v SJ Sharks Over 5.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

NY Islanders v DET Red Wings: This game should have a big total, friends. The Islanders smoked the Red Wings just last month 7-2, and that was with Cam Tabot (2.71 GAA) goaltending. In addition, John Gibson’s (3.31 GAA) last 4 straight starts have seen final totals of at least 7 goals. Despite being the underdog, NY will get to him early in my opinion. That said, both offenses have been efficient recently, I expect them both to contribute fairly early on – take the Over to cash.

BUF Bills v HOU Texans: The spread on this game felt "trappy" as all hell, so I decided to steer clear of it all together. That said, that trap equates to a high-scoring game for me, because neither of these teams’ defenses has been efficient lately. I’ll be shocked if there isn’t a barrage of scoring in this encounter, especially given that Houston is far better offensively on their own field (…having put at least 26 points on the board in 3 of their last 4 home games). I’m on the Over to cash.

PHI 76ers v MIL Bucks: This match up has the potential to be the lowest scoring affair of the day. With Giannis Antetokounmpo out, and the 76ers putting 112 points or less on the board in their last 5 straight games, I’ll be surprised if this meeting cracks 220. I’m on the Under here.

LA Kings v SJ Sharks: The last 4 straight meetings between these two squads have cashed the Over, friends. While both of tonight’s goaltenders are capable, I’m convinced the Sharks get some strange offense super powers from their own ice. San Jose is 5-1 in their last 6 home games! To boot, the Kings are at the end of a road trip, Drew Doughty is out, and no Darcy Kuemper in net… There are just too many variables that point to a higher-scoring affair (and a potential Sharks upset?!) The biggest in my opinion being Forsberg’s tendency to be wildly inconsistent. That said, 4 of his 6 starts have seen at least 6 goals. I’m on the Over, friends.

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Today's Player Props

-BUF Bills v HOU Texans: James Cook Anytime TD (-125) | 0.20 Units

-BUF Bills v HOU Texans: Nico Collins Anytime TD (+125) | 0.20 Units

-BUF Bills v HOU Texans: James Cook Over 73.5 Rushing Yards (-115) | 0.20 Units

-BUF Bills v HOU Texans: Davis Mills Over 214.5 Passing Yards (-110) | 0.20 Units

-LA Kings v SJ Sharks: Macklin Celebrini Anytime Goal Scorer (+170) | 0.20 Units

-LA Kings v SJ Sharks: Adrian Kempe Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+120) | 0.20 Units

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Nov 20, 2025: Belle's Picks 🏀🏈🏒

November 20, 2025

Today's Picks

-NY Islanders v DET Red Wings Over 6.0 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-BUF Bills v HOU Texans Over 44.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-PHI 76ers v MIL Bucks Under 224.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-LA Kings v SJ Sharks Over 5.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

NY Islanders v DET Red Wings: This game should have a big total, friends. The Islanders smoked the Red Wings just last month 7-2, and that was with Cam Tabot (2.71 GAA) goaltending. In addition, John Gibson’s (3.31 GAA) last 4 straight starts have seen final totals of at least 7 goals. Despite being the underdog, NY will get to him early in my opinion. That said, both offenses have been efficient recently, I expect them both to contribute fairly early on – take the Over to cash.

BUF Bills v HOU Texans: The spread on this game felt "trappy" as all hell, so I decided to steer clear of it all together. That said, that trap equates to a high-scoring game for me, because neither of these teams’ defenses has been efficient lately. I’ll be shocked if there isn’t a barrage of scoring in this encounter, especially given that Houston is far better offensively on their own field (…having put at least 26 points on the board in 3 of their last 4 home games). I’m on the Over to cash.

PHI 76ers v MIL Bucks: This match up has the potential to be the lowest scoring affair of the day. With Giannis Antetokounmpo out, and the 76ers putting 112 points or less on the board in their last 5 straight games, I’ll be surprised if this meeting cracks 220. I’m on the Under here.

LA Kings v SJ Sharks: The last 4 straight meetings between these two squads have cashed the Over, friends. While both of tonight’s goaltenders are capable, I’m convinced the Sharks get some strange offense super powers from their own ice. San Jose is 5-1 in their last 6 home games! To boot, the Kings are at the end of a road trip, Drew Doughty is out, and no Darcy Kuemper in net… There are just too many variables that point to a higher-scoring affair (and a potential Sharks upset?!) The biggest in my opinion being Forsberg’s tendency to be wildly inconsistent. That said, 4 of his 6 starts have seen at least 6 goals. I’m on the Over, friends.

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Nov 20, 2025: Belle's Pick of the Day 🛎️

November 22, 2025

Alright everyone: I know I said the break was going to be two days... lol but there's something on the board I really like this afternoon 😉. That said, Pick of the Day is back! Make a coffee, play lightly as we ease back into it, and let's get this dub 👊🏽

-NY Islanders v DET Red Wings Over 6.0 (-110) | 0.5 Units

Why This Pick?

This game should have a big total, friends. The Islanders smoked the Red Wings just last month 7-2, and that was with Cam Tabot (2.71 GAA) goaltending. In addition, John Gibson’s (3.31 GAA) last 4 straight starts have seen final totals of at least 7 goals. Despite being the underdog, NY will get to him early in my opinion. That said, both offenses have been efficient recently, I expect them both to contribute fairly early on – take the Over to cash.

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Nov 19, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays (Premium) 🏀🏒

November 22, 2025

Today's Picks

-NY Knicks -5.5 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-HOU Rockets -1.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-HOU Rockets v CLE Cavaliers Over 234.0 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-BOS Bruins v ANA Ducks Over 6.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

NY Knicks v DAL Mavericks: Whether the Knicks come into this game with Brunson or not, there’s no amount of money that could make me wager on the Mavericks at this point in time. While New York hasn’t been at their best on the road, Dallas has been abysmal without their two best players. In addition, -5.5 is incredibly reasonable for just about any team against the Mavericks in their current form, and if Brunson does decide to play, -5.5 is a steal of a deal. I’m on the Knicks to cover.

HOU Rockets v CLE Cavaliers: The Cavaliers have lost their last 3 straight meetings with the Rockets, and to be honest, Cleveland hasn’t been winning games by the large margins we all expected them to at home. E.g. The Grizzlies have been tragic so far this season, and the Cavaliers only managed to beat them by 8 – I expected better. Having said that, Houston has been formidable; and with Garland ruled out for tonight, I expect them to give the home team a run for their money. I’m on the Rockets to cover as well as on the Over to hit.  

BOS Bruins v ANA Ducks: I can’t believe I’m saying this, but the Ducks are 6-1 at home. While the goaltenders for tonight have yet to be confirmed, I think tonight’s game is going to be a bit of a shoot out. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two squads have seen at least 7 goals – and with Anaheim’s offense turning up at home the way they have been, I won’t be surprised by a high-scoring affair. Take the Over to hit for a nice price.

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Today's Player Props

-HOU Rockets v CLE Cavaliers: Alperen Sengun Over 39.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists (-115) | 0.20 Units

-HOU Rockets v CLE Cavaliers: Kevin Durant Over 26.5 Points (-120) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Raptors v PHI 76ers: RJ Barrett Over 18.5 Points (-125) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Raptors v PHI 76ers: Tyrese Maxey Over 30.5 Points (-115) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

VIP Parlay (+409) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Raptors v PHI 76ers Over 234.0 (-110)

-ANA Ducks ML (-180)

-MIN Timberwolves -14.0 (-140) (alternate spread)

Premium Parlay (+812) | 0.20 Units

-HOU Rockets ML (-125)

-MIA Heat -3.5 (alternate spread) (-175)

-SAC Kings v OKC Thunder Over 230.0 (alternate total) (-145)

-NY Knicks v DAL Mavericks Over 230.5 (-110)

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Nov 19, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays 🏀🏒

November 19, 2025

Today's Picks

-NY Knicks -5.5 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-HOU Rockets -1.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-HOU Rockets v CLE Cavaliers Over 234.0 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-BOS Bruins v ANA Ducks Over 6.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

NY Knicks v DAL Mavericks: Whether the Knicks come into this game with Brunson or not, there’s no amount of money that could make me wager on the Mavericks at this point in time. While New York hasn’t been at their best on the road, Dallas has been abysmal without their two best players. In addition, -5.5 is incredibly reasonable for just about any team against the Mavericks in their current form, and if Brunson does decide to play, -5.5 is a steal of a deal. I’m on the Knicks to cover.

HOU Rockets v CLE Cavaliers: The Cavaliers have lost their last 3 straight meetings with the Rockets, and to be honest, Cleveland hasn’t been winning games by the large margins we all expected them to at home. E.g. The Grizzlies have been tragic so far this season, and the Cavaliers only managed to beat them by 8 – I expected better. Having said that, Houston has been formidable; and with Garland ruled out for tonight, I expect them to give the home team a run for their money. I’m on the Rockets to cover as well as on the Over to hit.  

BOS Bruins v ANA Ducks: I can’t believe I’m saying this, but the Ducks are 6-1 at home. While the goaltenders for tonight have yet to be confirmed, I think tonight’s game is going to be a bit of a shoot out. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two squads have seen at least 7 goals – and with Anaheim’s offense turning up at home the way they have been, I won’t be surprised by a high-scoring affair. Take the Over to hit for a nice price.

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Today's Player Props

-HOU Rockets v CLE Cavaliers: Alperen Sengun Over 39.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists (-115) | 0.20 Units

-HOU Rockets v CLE Cavaliers: Kevin Durant Over 26.5 Points (-120) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Raptors v PHI 76ers: RJ Barrett Over 18.5 Points (-125) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Raptors v PHI 76ers: Tyrese Maxey Over 30.5 Points (-115) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+409) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Raptors v PHI 76ers Over 234.0 (-110)

-ANA Ducks ML (-180)

-MIN Timberwolves -14.0 (-140) (alternate spread)

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