Today's Picks
-PHI Phillies -1.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units
-LA Angels v TOR Blue Jays Over 9.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units
-DET Tigers v CLE Guardians Under 7.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units
-STL Cardinals v CHI Cubs Over 7.5 (+100) | 0.25 Units
-CHI Cubs Team Total Over 4.5 (+110) | 0.25 Units
Why These Picks?
PHI Phillies v CIN Reds: The Phillies undoubtedly hold the pitching advantage in this encounter, friends. Starter Zack Wheeler (2.27 ERA) is the definition of an Ace, having allowed a mere 2 ERs over his last 5 outings. On the other side, Cincinnati starter Chase Burns has only had 2 starts this season – and his last outing against the Boston Red Sox was a bit of a train wreck at 7 Hits allowed and 5 ERs. I have a feeling Philly’s offense is going to overwhelm Burns, and I have no doubt that Wheeler can hold his own here. I’m on Philly to cover the RL.
LA Angels v TOR Blue Jays: There was a time when these two names would automatically equate to a low-scoring affair, but not this season. Both Tyler Anderson (4.12 ERA) and Kevin Gausman (4.18 ERA) have been a mess on the mound. Anderson has allowed 14 ERs over his last 5 outings; his last start was probably his best all year, but that had more to do with the slumping Braves offense if you ask me. On the other side, Toronto’s Gausman has allowed 16 ERs over his last 5 starts. Unless both of these guys manage to embody their former Ace, I say this encounter goes to at least 9.
DET Tigers v CLE Guardians: 4 of the last 5 encounters between these two squads have seen 7 runs or less. And, with Tarik Skubal (2.15 ERA) and Gavin Williams (3.86 ERA) on the mound today, I don't think this game makes it to 7. Don't get me wrong, Skubal is far and away the better arm – but I think Williams will be able to hold the Tigers to a low-scoring game. To be frank, I won't be surprised if the Guardians nearly get shutout here (score prediction 5-1). I'm on the Under to cash.
STL Cardinals v CHI Cubs: Cardinals starter Erick Fedde (4.56 ERA) has allowed 7 ERs in his last two outings – I think there's a 99% chance the Cubs offense runs right over him (lol). Comically, one of those two outings was against Chicago and St. Louis was shutout 8-0. That said, I think the Cardinals will put a few on the board here, so I'll happily take the Over here for plus money, as well as Chicago to go Over on their Team Total.
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Today's Player Props
-CIN Reds v PHI Phillies: Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.15 Units
-CIN Reds v PHI Phillies: Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) | 0.15 Units
-NY Yankees v NY Mets: Max Fried Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+100) | 0.15 Units
-NY Yankees v NY Mets: Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.15 Units
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Today's Parlays
Parlay (+472) | 0.20 Units
-BOS Red Sox Team Total Over 4.5 (-150)
-DET Tigers -1.5 (-125)
-KC Royals v ARI Diamondbacks Over 9.5 (-110)
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