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July 8, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays ⚾️

July 8, 2025

Today's Picks

-TB Rays v DET Tigers Over 8.0 (-105) | 0.5 Units

-TB Rays Team Total Over 3.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

-TOR Blue Jays -1.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-ATL Braves v The Athletics Over 10.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

TB Rays v DET Tigers: Seeing Jack Flaherty’s (4.84 ERA) name on this game makes it a high-scoring encounter for me, friends. The Tigers have lost 4 of Flaherty’s last 5 starts, and he’s given up 21 runs in his last 4 outings.  In addition, Tampa Bay starter Ryan Pepiot’s last 3 outings have seen sky-high totals. Between these two offenses & their respective starters, Over 8.0 should cash with ease, betting fam. And hell, the Rays Team Total seems like a steal of a deal today – I’ll toss in Tampa to bag Over 3.5 runs as well.

TOR Blue Jays v CHI White Sox: The White Sox have last Aaron Civale’s last 5 starts – 4 of the 5 were lost by at least 2 runs. Given how formidable the Blue Jays offense is right now, I have a feeling Chicago will log another loss by 2 this evening (if not more). I’m on Toronto to cover the RL.

ATL Braves v The Athletics: The Over should cash in spades here – and sports book knows it. The Braves offense hasn’t been great lately, but the line is set at a staggering 10.5. Didier Fuentes’ (9.00 ERA) last two starts saw totals of at least 10 runs, and he’s currently sporting an Away ERA of 10.80 (?!) On the other side, starter Jeffrey Springs (4.07 ERA) has allowed 23 hits over his last 5 starts, and at least a homer in 4 of his last 5 outings. If the Braves offense decides to turn up, I have no doubt it’ll be here. Take the Over to cash.

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Today's Player Props

-WAS Nationals v STL Cardinals: Sonny Gray Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-115) | 0.20 Units

-CLE Guardians v HOU Astros: Hunter Brown 8+ Strikeouts (+130) | 0.20 Units (*This guy has made at least 8Ks in 4 of his last 5 starts...insane)

-PHI Phillies v SF Giants: Robbie Ray Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+100) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlays

Parlay (+705) | 0.20 Units

-TB Rays +1.5 (-200)

-HOU Astros ML (-200)

-PIT Pirates v KC Royals Over 7.5 (-120) 

-PHI Phillies v SF Giants Over 8.5 (-105) (I still don't trust Taijuan Walker...and he's been demoted to an RP, so this is likely a bullpen game for Philly)

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July 8, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays (Premium) ⚾️

July 8, 2025

Today's Picks

-TB Rays v DET Tigers Over 8.0 (-105) | 0.5 Units

-TB Rays Team Total Over 3.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

-TOR Blue Jays -1.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-ATL Braves v The Athletics Over 10.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

TB Rays v DET Tigers: Seeing Jack Flaherty’s (4.84 ERA) name on this game makes it a high-scoring encounter for me, friends. The Tigers have lost 4 of Flaherty’s last 5 starts, and he’s given up 21 runs in his last 4 outings.  In addition, Tampa Bay starter Ryan Pepiot’s last 3 outings have seen sky-high totals. Between these two offenses & their respective starters, Over 8.0 should cash with ease, betting fam. And hell, the Rays Team Total seems like a steal of a deal today – I’ll toss in Tampa to bag Over 3.5 runs as well.

TOR Blue Jays v CHI White Sox: The White Sox have last Aaron Civale’s last 5 starts – 4 of the 5 were lost by at least 2 runs. Given how formidable the Blue Jays offense is right now, I have a feeling Chicago will log another loss by 2 this evening (if not more). I’m on Toronto to cover the RL.

ATL Braves v The Athletics: The Over should cash in spades here – and sports book knows it. The Braves offense hasn’t been great lately, but the line is set at a staggering 10.5. Didier Fuentes’ (9.00 ERA) last two starts saw totals of at least 10 runs, and he’s currently sporting an Away ERA of 10.80 (?!) On the other side, starter Jeffrey Springs (4.07 ERA) has allowed 23 hits over his last 5 starts, and at least a homer in 4 of his last 5 outings. If the Braves offense decides to turn up, I have no doubt it’ll be here. Take the Over to cash.

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Today's Player Props

-WAS Nationals v STL Cardinals: Sonny Gray Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-115) | 0.20 Units

-CLE Guardians v HOU Astros: Hunter Brown 8+ Strikeouts (+130) | 0.20 Units (*This guy has made at least 8Ks in 4 of his last 5 starts...insane)

-PHI Phillies v SF Giants: Robbie Ray Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+100) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlays

Parlay (+705) | 0.20 Units

-TB Rays +1.5 (-200)

-HOU Astros ML (-200)

-PIT Pirates v KC Royals Over 7.5 (-120) 

-PHI Phillies v SF Giants Over 8.5 (-105) (I still don't trust Taijuan Walker...and he's been demoted to an RP, so this is likely a bullpen game for Philly)

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July 8, 2025: Belle's Picks & Player Props ⚾️

July 8, 2025

Today's Picks

-TB Rays v DET Tigers Over 8.0 (-105) | 0.5 Units

-TB Rays Team Total Over 3.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

-TOR Blue Jays -1.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-ATL Braves v The Athletics Over 10.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

TB Rays v DET Tigers: Seeing Jack Flaherty’s (4.84 ERA) name on this game makes it a high-scoring encounter for me, friends. The Tigers have lost 4 of Flaherty’s last 5 starts, and he’s given up 21 runs in his last 4 outings.  In addition, Tampa Bay starter Ryan Pepiot’s last 3 outings have seen sky-high totals. Between these two offenses & their respective starters, Over 8.0 should cash with ease, betting fam. And hell, the Rays Team Total seems like a steal of a deal today – I’ll toss in Tampa to bag Over 3.5 runs as well.

TOR Blue Jays v CHI White Sox: The White Sox have last Aaron Civale’s last 5 starts – 4 of the 5 were lost by at least 2 runs. Given how formidable the Blue Jays offense is right now, I have a feeling Chicago will log another loss by 2 this evening (if not more). I’m on Toronto to cover the RL.

ATL Braves v The Athletics: The Over should cash in spades here – and sports book knows it. The Braves offense hasn’t been great lately, but the line is set at a staggering 10.5. Didier Fuentes’ (9.00 ERA) last two starts saw totals of at least 10 runs, and he’s currently sporting an Away ERA of 10.80 (?!) On the other side, starter Jeffrey Springs (4.07 ERA) has allowed 23 hits over his last 5 starts, and at least a homer in 4 of his last 5 outings. If the Braves offense decides to turn up, I have no doubt it’ll be here. Take the Over to cash.

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Today's Player Props

-WAS Nationals v STL Cardinals: Sonny Gray Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-115) | 0.20 Units

-CLE Guardians v HOU Astros: Hunter Brown 8+ Strikeouts (+130) | 0.20 Units (*This guy has made at least 8Ks in 4 of his last 5 starts...insane)

-PHI Phillies v SF Giants: Robbie Ray Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+100) | 0.20 Units

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July 8, 2025: Belle's Picks ⚾️

July 8, 2025

-TB Rays v DET Tigers Over 8.0 (-105) | 0.5 Units

-TB Rays Team Total Over 3.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

-TOR Blue Jays -1.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-ATL Braves v The Athletics Over 10.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

TB Rays v DET Tigers: Seeing Jack Flaherty’s (4.84 ERA) name on this game makes it a high-scoring encounter for me, friends. The Tigers have lost 4 of Flaherty’s last 5 starts, and he’s given up 21 runs in his last 4 outings.  In addition, Tampa Bay starter Ryan Pepiot’s last 3 outings have seen sky-high totals. Between these two offenses & their respective starters, Over 8.0 should cash with ease, betting fam. And hell, the Rays Team Total seems like a steal of a deal today – I’ll toss in Tampa to bag Over 3.5 runs as well.

TOR Blue Jays v CHI White Sox: The White Sox have last Aaron Civale’s last 5 starts – 4 of the 5 were lost by at least 2 runs. Given how formidable the Blue Jays offense is right now, I have a feeling Chicago will log another loss by 2 this evening (if not more). I’m on Toronto to cover the RL.

ATL Braves v The Athletics: The Over should cash in spades here – and sports book knows it. The Braves offense hasn’t been great lately, but the line is set at a staggering 10.5. Didier Fuentes’ (9.00 ERA) last two starts saw totals of at least 10 runs, and he’s currently sporting an Away ERA of 10.80 (?!) On the other side, starter Jeffrey Springs (4.07 ERA) has allowed 23 hits over his last 5 starts, and at least a homer in 4 of his last 5 outings. If the Braves offense decides to turn up, I have no doubt it’ll be here. Take the Over to cash.

July 8, 2025: Belle’s Pick of the Day 🛎️

July 8, 2025

-TB Rays v DET Tigers Over 8.0 (-105) | 0.5 Units

Why This Pick?

Seeing Jack Flaherty’s (4.84 ERA) name on this game makes it a high-scoring encounter for me, friends. The Tigers have lost 4 of Flaherty’s last 5 starts, and he’s given up 21 runs in his last 4 outings.  In addition, Tampa Bay starter Ryan Pepiot’s last 3 outings have seen sky-high totals. Between these two offenses & their respective starters, Over 8.0 should cash with ease, betting fam.

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July 7, 2025: Ball 4. Bases Loaded. Bet Dead. Me: 😮‍💨🥃

July 7, 2025

I was about to go to bed, friends – I really was. But I mistakenly forced myself to watch the end of the TEX Rangers/LA Angels game. After all, it was 'Pick of the Day' – I couldn't tap out for the last inning! In retrospect of course, I wish I had. 😂

 

What happened? Bottom of the 9th, Angels AB, 2 on base. The Rangers decide to intentionally walk the LA hitter to first, loading the bases. And then the unthinkable happened – ball 4 walked the winning run in. 

 

That has to be the worst way to lose a baseball game...truly. I'm still stunned, to be honest. I know, I know... "that's the way it goes sometimes". 

 

I suppose I'll move on with the rest of tonight's recap – picks went 2/4 tonight, friends! Not the worst but certainly not the best. Player Props also had a rough go this evening – I feel like the sports betting "powers that be" are trying to get even (as they should, we've had a great couple of weeks lol... 😉)

 

In short: Let's walk it off, betting fam – tomorrow's a new day!

 

I'll see you all bright and early to beat the books...

 

X

Belle

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🔥 Want all of my picks, props & parlays?
👉 Upgrade your tier anytime under My Account

‍🎓 Ready to level up your game?
📚 Check out Belle’s Online Betting Course

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Buy Belle a Coffee

July 7, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays ⚾️

July 7, 2025

Today's Picks

-TOR Blue Jays Team Total Over 4.5 (-130) | 0.25 Units

-TEX Rangers -1.5 (+125) | 0.5 Units

-TEX Rangers v LA Angels Under 7.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks v SD Padres Over 8.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

TOR Blue Jays v CHI White Sox: You know I don’t love a -130 return, but this should hit. White Sox starter Sean Burke (4.03 ERA) has given up at least 5 runs over his last 5 starts in each of his losses, and I fully expect a Toronto win here. That said, I’m avoiding the RL bet simply because Chicago, terrible as they are, can be sneaky at home. I’ll take the Jays to bag at least 5 runs.

TEX Rangers v LA Angels: Starter Jacob deGrom (2.13 ERA) is just too good, friends. The Rangers have won all 5 of deGrom’s last starts, and 4 of those 5 starts were wins by at least 4 runs. Don’t get me wrong – Yusei Kikuchi (2.81 ERA) is no slouch, but Texas has won 9 of their last 10 games against the Angels, and 8 of those victories were by at least 2 runs. I’ll sprinkle the Under to hit, but I’ve also gotta go with the data and the plus money here and take the Rangers to cover the RL.

ARI Diamondbacks v SD Padres: Padres starter Yu Darvish is making his season debut this evening after returning from the IL, and as most are when they return from a long absence, I expect him to be a little rusty. In addition, Arizona is putting Zac Gallen (5.45 ERA) on the mound, and 4 of his last 5 starts have seen final scores of at least 10 runs. Take the Over to cash here.

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Today's Player Props

-COL Rockies v BOS Red Sox: Trevor Story Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.15 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v CHI White Sox: Jose Berrios Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-115) | 0.15 Units

-TEX Rangers v LA Angels: Jacob deGrom 8+ Strikeouts (+128) | 0.15 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v CHI White Sox: Vladimir Guerrero Jr Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Parlays

Parlay (+734) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays ML (-165)

-ARI Diamondbacks Team Total Over 3.5 (-140)

-PHI Phillies ML (-135)

-TEX Rangers ML (-135)

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July 7, 2025: Belle's Picks & Player Props ⚾️

July 7, 2025

Today's Picks

-TOR Blue Jays Team Total Over 4.5 (-130) | 0.25 Units

-TEX Rangers -1.5 (+125) | 0.5 Units

-TEX Rangers v LA Angels Under 7.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks v SD Padres Over 8.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

TOR Blue Jays v CHI White Sox: You know I don’t love a -130 return, but this should hit. White Sox starter Sean Burke (4.03 ERA) has given up at least 5 runs over his last 5 starts in each of his losses, and I fully expect a Toronto win here. That said, I’m avoiding the RL bet simply because Chicago, terrible as they are, can be sneaky at home. I’ll take the Jays to bag at least 5 runs.

TEX Rangers v LA Angels: Starter Jacob deGrom (2.13 ERA) is just too good, friends. The Rangers have won all 5 of deGrom’s last starts, and 4 of those 5 starts were wins by at least 4 runs. Don’t get me wrong – Yusei Kikuchi (2.81 ERA) is no slouch, but Texas has won 9 of their last 10 games against the Angels, and 8 of those victories were by at least 2 runs. I’ll sprinkle the Under to hit, but I’ve also gotta go with the data and the plus money here and take the Rangers to cover the RL.

ARI Diamondbacks v SD Padres: Padres starter Yu Darvish is making his season debut this evening after returning from the IL, and as most are when they return from a long absence, I expect him to be a little rusty. In addition, Arizona is putting Zac Gallen (5.45 ERA) on the mound, and 4 of his last 5 starts have seen final scores of at least 10 runs. Take the Over to cash here.

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Today's Player Props

-COL Rockies v BOS Red Sox: Trevor Story Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.15 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v CHI White Sox: Jose Berrios Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-115) | 0.15 Units

-TEX Rangers v LA Angels: Jacob deGrom 8+ Strikeouts (+128) | 0.15 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v CHI White Sox: Vladimir Guerrero Jr Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) | 0.15 Units

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July 7, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays (Premium) ⚾️

July 7, 2025

Today's Picks

-TOR Blue Jays Team Total Over 4.5 (-130) | 0.25 Units

-TEX Rangers -1.5 (+125) | 0.5 Units

-TEX Rangers v LA Angels Under 7.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks v SD Padres Over 8.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

TOR Blue Jays v CHI White Sox: You know I don’t love a -130 return, but this should hit. White Sox starter Sean Burke (4.03 ERA) has given up at least 5 runs over his last 5 starts in each of his losses, and I fully expect a Toronto win here. That said, I’m avoiding the RL bet simply because Chicago, terrible as they are, can be sneaky at home. I’ll take the Jays to bag at least 5 runs.

TEX Rangers v LA Angels: Starter Jacob deGrom (2.13 ERA) is just too good, friends. The Rangers have won all 5 of deGrom’s last starts, and 4 of those 5 starts were wins by at least 4 runs. Don’t get me wrong – Yusei Kikuchi (2.81 ERA) is no slouch, but Texas has won 9 of their last 10 games against the Angels, and 8 of those victories were by at least 2 runs. I’ll sprinkle the Under to hit, but I’ve also gotta go with the data and the plus money here and take the Rangers to cover the RL.

ARI Diamondbacks v SD Padres: Padres starter Yu Darvish is making his season debut this evening after returning from the IL, and as most are when they return from a long absence, I expect him to be a little rusty. In addition, Arizona is putting Zac Gallen (5.45 ERA) on the mound, and 4 of his last 5 starts have seen final scores of at least 10 runs. Take the Over to cash here.

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Today's Player Props

-COL Rockies v BOS Red Sox: Trevor Story Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.15 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v CHI White Sox: Jose Berrios Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-115) | 0.15 Units

-TEX Rangers v LA Angels: Jacob deGrom 8+ Strikeouts (+128) | 0.15 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v CHI White Sox: Vladimir Guerrero Jr Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Parlays

Parlay (+734) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays ML (-165)

-ARI Diamondbacks Team Total Over 3.5 (-140)

-PHI Phillies ML (-135)

-TEX Rangers ML (-135)

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July 7, 2025: Belle's Picks ⚾️

July 7, 2025

-TOR Blue Jays Team Total Over 4.5 (-130) | 0.25 Units

-TEX Rangers -1.5 (+125) | 0.5 Units

-TEX Rangers v LA Angels Under 7.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks v SD Padres Over 8.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

TOR Blue Jays v CHI White Sox: You know I don’t love a -130 return, but this should hit. White Sox starter Sean Burke (4.03 ERA) has given up at least 5 runs over his last 5 starts in each of his losses, and I fully expect a Toronto win here. That said, I’m avoiding the RL bet simply because Chicago, terrible as they are, can be sneaky at home. I’ll take the Jays to bag at least 5 runs.

TEX Rangers v LA Angels: Starter Jacob deGrom (2.13 ERA) is just too good, friends. The Rangers have won all 5 of deGrom’s last starts, and 4 of those 5 starts were wins by at least 4 runs. Don’t get me wrong – Yusei Kikuchi (2.81 ERA) is no slouch, but Texas has won 9 of their last 10 games against the Angels, and 8 of those victories were by at least 2 runs. I’ll sprinkle the Under to hit, but I’ve also gotta go with the data and the plus money here and take the Rangers to cover the RL.

ARI Diamondbacks v SD Padres: Padres starter Yu Darvish is making his season debut this evening after returning from the IL, and as most are when they return from a long absence, I expect him to be a little rusty. In addition, Arizona is putting Zac Gallen (5.45 ERA) on the mound, and 4 of his last 5 starts have seen final scores of at least 10 runs. Take the Over to cash here.