Today's Picks
-BOS Red Sox -1.5 (+135) | 0.25 Units
-The Athletics v BOS Red Sox Under 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units
-ATL Braves -1.5 (-105) (GAME 2) | 0.25 Units
-MIL Brewers -1.5 (-125) | 0.25 Units
-ARI Diamondbacks Over 9.0 (-115) | 0.5 Units
Why These Picks?
The Athletics v BOS Red Sox: I'm going after plus money here, friends. Starting Pitcher Connelly Early (0.00 ERA) was flawless in his season debut and last start against the As; I wouldn't be surprised to see him pull an encore at Fenway. In addition, 4 of As starter Jeffrey Springs' (4.28 ERA) last 5 starts have all resulted in an As loss by at least 3 runs. I'm on Boston to win by at least 2 for a nice return of +135, as well as on the Under to cash.
ATL Braves v WAS Nationals: I’m a big fan of Chris Sale (2.52 ERA). If you think the Braves win this matchup, the RL is a pretty safe bet. 3 of Sale’s last 5 starts have resulted in a Braves win, and all of those wins were by at least 3 runs. On the other side, MacKenzie Gore (4.14 ERA) is far from being Washington’s worst starter, but all 3 losses in his last 5 starts were by at least 4 runs. In addition, I just have 0% faith in the Nationals bullpen’s ability to keep an offense off the board. My money’s on Atlanta to cover the RL.
LA Angels v MIL Brewers: The Brewers should win by at least 2 here. While starter Freddy Peralta (2.69 ERA) had a rough outing against the Rangers his last time out allowing 5 runs, he allowed 0 runs in all starts prior to that. To boot, Milwaukee's offense is just far superior to the Angels batting lineup. I'm on the home team to cover the RL.
SF Giants v ARI Diamondbacks: It looks like the Giants will play a bullpen game this evening, friends. And comically, all of Eduardo Rodriguez’s (4.98 ERA) last 5 starts have seen the Diamondbacks put at least 5 runs in the bag (even in a loss!) While Rodriguez’s last outing against San Francisco was solid, he tends to be worse at home than he is on the road, and the Giants seem pretty eager to lock down that last Wild Card spot. I expect Arizona to put up runs in the first 5 innings, and the Giants to excel once the home squad’s bullpen takes over. Lastly, the last 5 straight SF bullpen games have seen the Over cash, so that’s where I’ll put my money today. I’m on Over 9 to hit.
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Today's Player Props
-The Athletics v BOS Red Sox: Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Total Bases (+125) | 0.20 Units
-PHI Phillies v LA Dodgers: Shohei Ohtani Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-130) | 0.20 Units
-LA Angels v MIL Brewers: Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105) | 0.20 Units
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Today's Parlays
Parlay (+438) | 0.20 Units
-ATL Braves ML (-185) (Game 2)
-ARI Diamondbacks Team Total Over 4.5 (-115)
-CLE Guardians v DET Tigers Over 8.0 (-115)
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