Today's Picks
-CHI Cubs -1.5 (+110) | 0.25 Units
-CHI Cubs Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units
-CIN Reds v PIT Pirates Over 7.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units
-TOR Blue Jays v LA Dodgers Over 9.0 (+100) | 0.25 Units
Why These Picks?
CHI Cubs v STL Cardinals: St. Louis Starter Michael McGreevy (5.08 ERA) has allowed 11 runs in just his last two starts, friends. On the other side, Cubs starter Matthew Boyd (2.34 ERA) is an impressive 11-4, and has allowed 5 runs across his last 5 starts. Boyd notably got blown up by the Milwaukee Brewers on July 28th, but has allowed 0 runs in 4 of his last 5 outings. The Over has cashed in 4 of McGreevy’s last 5 starts – but to be frank, I don’t think the Cardinals will get much past Boyd today. If the Over cashes it will likely be the Cubs’ doing. I know the Chicago offense has been a bit shaky lately, but this is the perfect spot for them to turn up. My money’s on the visitors to cover the RL & put at least 5 on the board.
CIN Reds v PIT Pirates: This might be the strangest line on the board today – a trap? Maybe – but to be honest, I understand why it is where it is. For starters, I can’t imagine either of these pitchers keeping this game Under 7.5. The Reds offense can be dangerous when they want to be, and I have no doubt they give Pittsburgh starter Mitch Keller (3.89 ERA) a run for his money. Keller has allowed 8 runs in just his last two starts – and oddly, while Chase Burns’ (6.04 ERA) last 5 outings have resulted in a loss for the Reds, not a single one made it Over 7 runs. Having said that, the Pirates offense is undoubtedly at their best at home. A gamble for sure, I wouldn’t blame you for sitting this one out – but one that might pay off early. I’m on the Over to hit.
TOR Blue Jays v LA Dodgers: This game either lands right on 9 runs, or goes Over in my opinion. The Blue Jays offense is hitting the ball far too well right now for me to take the Under. To boot, the Jays have seen the Over cash in 8 of their last 10 games – and I have no doubt the Dodgers put enough on the board to push this total to or past 9. I'll take a stab at the Over for plus money.
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Today's Player Props
-LA Angels v DET Tigers: Tarik Skubal 10+ Strikeouts (+130) | 0.20 Units
-LA Angels v DET Tigers: Kerry Carpenter Over 1.5 Total Bases (+125) | 0.15 Units
-CHI Cubs v STL Cardinals: Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105) | 0.15 Units
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Today's Parlay(s):
Parlay (+669) | 0.20 Units
-TOR Blue Jays +1.5 (-170)
-MIA Marlins v ATL Braves Over 8.0 (-115)
-The Athletics v BAL Orioles Over 9.0 (alternate total) (-180)
-CHI Cubs ML (-150)
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