Today's Picks
-ARI Diamondbacks v TOR Blue Jays Over 8.5 (-120) | 1 Unit
-CIN Reds Team Total Over 4.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units
-CIN Reds ML (-125) | 0.25 Units
-SD Padres v LA Dodgers Over 9.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units
-EDM Oilers v FLA Panthers Over 6.5 (+100) | 0.25 Units
Why These Picks?
ARI Diamondbacks v TOR Blue Jays: With Brandon Pfaadt (5.50 ERA) on the mound for this encounter, I can’t imagine this game seeing less than 9 runs. 4 of Pfaadt’s last 5 outings have seen no less than 13 runs, and the Blue Jays offense was piping hot up until their run-in with the Phillies. I fully expect Toronto to take advantage of this opportunity and run up a score. And, while Chris Bassitt (3.70 ERA) is a perfect 5-0 at home so far this season, the Diamondbacks have put 30 runs on the board over their last 5 games. In short: Arizona is more than capable of getting some runs past him. I’m on the Over to cash here, friends.
MIN Twins v CIN Reds: The pitching advantage in this game is just too good to ignore – Andrew Abbott (1.87 ERA) is far and away the better arm here. With Twins starter David Festa (4.76 ERA) somehow sporting an Away ERA of 19.64, I’ll happily take my chances with Cincinnati to win at home. In addition, the Twins have lost their last 4 straight outings, allowing their opponents to get a whopping 31 runs past them (wth?) With Festa on the mound, I won’t be surprised if the Reds cash the full total by themselves. That said, let’s shield ourselves a bit just incase the Twins can’t get past Andrew Abbott and go for Cinci’s Team Total (Over) to cash.
SD Padres v LA Dodgers: It appears as though the Dodgers are running a bullpen game tonight, friends – and Relief Pitcher Matt Sauer will be kicking us off. The ML for this game is priced a little too strange in my opinion – Padres starter Randy Vasquez (3.57 ERA) isn't so bad that San Diego should be priced at +180 vs the Dodgers bullpen. To be frank, I think San Diego will put more runs than usual on the board tonight thanks to Dodgers RPs driving this boat, and LA should have little issue with Vasquez. I'm on the Over to cash (and I think it cashes early...)
EDM Oilers v FLA Panthers: Every single game in this series so far has cashed the Over – as I mentioned before, I’ll be running this slip until it stops paying us (lol).
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Today's Player Props
-MIN Twins v CIN Reds: Andrew Abbott Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-115) | 0.20 Units
-NY Mets v ATL Braves: David Peterson Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+132) | 0.15 Units
-SD Padres v LA Dodgers: Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105) | 0.20 Units
-EDM Oilers v FLA Panthers: Brad Marchand Over 0.5 Points (-115) | 0.15 Units
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Today's Parlays
Parlay (+486) | 0.20 Units
KC Royals v TEX Rangers Under 8.5 (-115)
NY Yankees v LA Angels Under 10.0 (-165) (alternate total)
TOR Blue Jays Team Total Over 4.5 (-105)
