Today's Picks
-TB Rays v HOU Astros Over 8.0 (-120) | 0.5 Units
-The Athletics v TOR Blue Jays Over 8.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units
-WAS Nationals v SEA Mariners Over 7.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units
-WAS Nationals ML (+105) | 0.25 Units
Why These Picks?
TB Rays v HOU Astros: This should be a high-scoring affair, friends. Neither one of today’s pitchers has inspired confidence lately. Taking a look at Rays starter Shane Baz’s stats (4.94 ERA), the man has allowed 22 runs on just 34 hits this month – in short, dude’s having a rough go. On the other side, the Astros will start Ryan Gusto (4.58 ERA) who allowed 2 Home Runs over just 4 hits in his last outing?! Between these two on the mound and the capable offenses on each side, I’m on the Over to cash here
The Athletics v TOR Blue Jays: This pick really comes down to one thing. To be honest, I love Jacob Lopez (2.57 ERA) on the mound. Despite being 0-2, the man has had a number of great starts only to get let down by the bullpen in each game. Lopez has only actually allowed 5 runs in his last 5 outings – and yet the Athletics managed to lose all 5 of those games. In my opinion, Berrios (4.22 ERA) is the lesser pitcher in this equation – I think the As will get a few runs past him. But ultimately, once Lopez makes his exit, I fear for the fate of the As. I imagine the Blue Jays will take over and drive up a total. To be clear: I don't love the Jays' bullpen right now either; if Hoffman sees the mound, I expect an even higher scoring game (lol). I say this game hits at least 9 runs due to what will likely transpire in the later innings.
WAS Nationals v SEA Mariners: The Mariners got absolutely stomped yesterday. And while Emerson Hancock (5.95 ERA) isn't George Kirby, I still think the Nationals will bag more than a few runs off of him today. I know Seattle is going to be hellbent on rectifying that shutout, but Gore has been a much better pitcher than Hancock lately. That said, I don't think either of today's pitchers have the chops to keep this game Under 7.5 (4 of Hancock's last 5 outings have seen totals of 8 or more). I'm on the Over to cash again, and I'll take my chances with the Nationals to pull off another win.
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Today's Parlay(s):
Parlay (+533) | 0.20 Units
ATL Braves v PHI Phillies Under 7.5 (Game 2) (-120)
IND Pacers +4.0 (-105)
The Athletics Team Total Over 3.5 (-130)
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Today's Player Props
IND Pacers v NY Knicks: Jalen Brunson Over 30.5 Points (-115) | 0.20 Units
IND Pacers v NY Knicks: Tyrese Haliburton: Over 21.5 Points (-115) | 0.20 Units
IND Pacers v NY Knicks: Pascal Siakam Over 8.5 Assists & Rebounds (-130) | 0.15 Units