Today's Picks

-The Athletics v PIT Pirates Over 8.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-TEX Rangers ML (-120) | 0.25 Units

-PHI Phillies v ARI Diamondbacks Over 9.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks ML (-125) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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The Athletics v PIT Pirates: It’s tough for me to bet on a low score with Mitch Keller’s (4.13 ERA) name on the schedule – so I won’t (lol). Between Keller and Luis Severino (4.82 ERA), this total should see at least 9. Severino has allowed 8 runs on 10 hits in just his last 2 starts – it makes no sense to put money on an Under with a statistic like that in the wings. In addition, the As have won 6 of their last 7 games, and haven’t had much issue putting runs in the bag over the last week. I don’t trust either pitcher and both bullpens leave a ton to be desired – I’ll happily take the Over to cash.

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MIA Marlins v TEX Rangers: This is a very reasonable price for the Rangers to win outright at home. Starter Tyler Mahle (2.34 ERA) is a very respectable 6-3 – and while Janson Junk is equal in this W/L regard, he’s carrying around a 4.48 ERA. Granted, Junk is a perfect 4-0 on the road, hence, the “reasonable price”. But having won 4 of their last 5 encounters with the Marlins, I’ll take Texas to bag the victory at home.

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PHI Phillies v ARI Diamondbacks: This is actually one of my favourite matchups in MLB, and it tends to be a high-scoring one. These two squads have cashed the Over in 4 of their last 5 meetings, and Taijuan Walker (4.17 ERA) has allowed 13 runs over his last 3 starts. Of today's two pitchers, Ryne Nelson (3.34 ERA) has far and away been the more reliable party. I say this game sees a total of at least 10 and the Diamondbacks snag a home win.

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Today's Player Props

-TOR Blue Jays v KC Royals: Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v KC Royals: Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Total Bases (+125) | 0.20 Units

-CHI Cubs v CIN Reds: Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.20 Units

-Tulsa v Oklahoma State: Terrill Davis Anytime TD (+100) | 0.20 Units (*NCAAF)

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