Dec 15, 2025: Belle's Picks & Player Props 🏈🏀🏒

Today's Picks

-PIT Steelers -3.0 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-MIA Heat -6.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-HOU Rockets v DEN Nuggets Under 237.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-WIN Jets 3-Way ML (+120) | 0.25 Units

‍

Why These Picks?

‍

MIA Dolphins v PIT Steelers: The Dolphins are notoriously terrible in cold weather. If this game were happening in Miami I’d have a much different take, but it’s 14°F (-10.0°C) in Pittsburgh today and I don’t doubt that the Steelers will play the better game because of it. I came across a hilarious (and slightly tragic) stat this morning: QB Tua Tagovailoa is 0–7 in games played below 40°F –  tonight we’ll be well under that threshold. I know the Dolphins have been able to string together some nice wins, this spot favors the Steelers in every way that matters, friends. My money’s on Pittsburgh to cover.

‍

TOR Raptors v MIA Heat: The Raptors have been brutally lacklustre having lost 6 of their last 7 games, and 5 of those 6 losses have been by at least 7 points. Of course, Miami hasn’t been so hot over the last couple of weeks either having lost 5 of their last 6, but they tend to be a lot tougher at home than they are on the road. Toronto is also still without RJ Barrett – I know the Raptors will have a bounce back moment, but I don’t think this is it. I’m on the Heat to cover here.

‍

HOU Rockets v DEN Nuggets: 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams have stayed under 237 points. As much as I like both of these squads offensively, Houston’s defense is formidable, and the Nuggets are still without Aaron Gordon and Christian Braun. To be frank, I think it would be tough for this encounter to see anything close to 240 – I’m on the Under to hit.

‍

OTT Senators v WIN Jets: I love the Jets to bag a win at home and with Hellebuyck in net. If you're not in the mood to sweat OT potential (I get it, Ottawa has yet to confirm their goaltender...), the regular ol' Moneyline is available at a reasonable -130. But, given that the Senators have lost 4 of their last 5 games against far lesser squads, I'm going after the juicy plus money. Yes, the Jets have lost 3 of their last 4, but Eric Comrie was in goal for all of those losses. Give me Winnipeg and Hellebuyck to bag a win in regulation.

‍

---

‍

Today's Player Props

-TOR Raptors v MIA Heat: Immanuel Quickley Over 17.5 Points (-115) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Raptors v MIA Heat: Norman Powell Over 21.5 Points (-120) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Raptors v MIA Heat: Davion Mitchell Over 10.5 Rebounds & Assists (-115) | 0.20 Units

-DAL Mavericks v UTA Jazz: Cooper Flagg Over 18.5 Points (-125) | 0.20 Units

-MIA Dolphins v PIT Steelers: Jaylen Warren Anytime TD (-105) | 0.20 Units

-MIA Dolphins v PIT Steelers: De'Von Achane Over 81.5 Rushing Yards (-110) | 0.20 Units

‍

---