Today's Picks
-TOR Blue Jays Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units
-TB Rays v CHI White Sox Over 8.0 (+100) | 0.25 Units
-COL Rockies v SD Padres Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units
-SD Padres -1.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units
Why These Picks?
TB Rays v CHI White Sox: I'm running it back, everyone. 3 of Shane Smith's (3.95 ERA) last 4 starts have seen at least 8 runs, and it looks like the Rays are running a bullpen game (again!) Tampa will start Relief Pitcher Ian Seymour (2.98 ERA), and while he's no slouch and is completely capable of pitching 5 innings – none of his last 5 starts have seen less than a total of 8. I'll take a stab at the Over here, friends.
HOU Astros v TOR Blue Jays: Not one of Kevin Gausman’s (3.63 ERA) last 5 starts have seen more than 8 runs, but Astros starter Cristian Javier (4.43 ERA) is a bit of a question mark in terms of reliability – particularly on the road where he carries an ERA of 13.50. While Javier has managed to lock down wins for the team in 3 of his last 5 outings, 4 of his last 5 starts have seen opponents score at least 6 runs. For all of these reasons, my money’s on the Blue Jays to put at least 5 in the bag here.
COL Rockies v SD Padres: I saw both Vasquez and McBrown listed and immediately thought this game total could land on the moon. Not only has the Over cashed in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two, but McCade Brown comes into this encounter with a whopping 12.54 ERA and no wins to his name. Comically, this same pitching matchup occurred last week in Colorado and saw a collective 18-run total. I know we’re not at hitter-friendly Coors Field this evening, but I do think these two squads bag at least half that. To be frank, the Padres just have too big an edge for this game not to see a big total, and I don’t trust Vasquez to keep the Rockies off the board. I’m on the Over to cash, and I'll toss a sprinkle on the home team to cover the RL.
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Today's Player Props
-WAS Commanders v GB Packers: Jayden Daniels Anytime TD (+165) | 0.20 Units
-WAS Commanders v GB Packers: Jayden Daniels Over 46.5 Rushing Yards (-110) | 0.20 Units
-WAS Commanders v GB Packers: Josh Jacobs Over 78.5 Rushing Yards (-115) | 0.20 Units
-WAS Commanders v GB Packers: Jayden Reed Anytime TD (+190) | 0.20 Units
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Today's Parlay(s):
Parlay (+533) | 0.20 Units
-GB Packers -3.0 (-120)
-TOR Blue Jays ML (-165)
-SD Padres Team Total Over 5.5 (+115)
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