-TOR Blue Jays Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units
Why This Pick?
The pitching matchup here is seemingly one-sided, friends. 4 of Chris Bassitt’s (3.88 ERA) last 5 starts have resulted in a Blue Jays win, but his ERA on the road (5.66) is pretty similar to Eflin’s. That said, I fully expect the visitors to put at least 5 runs on the board here. Baltimore starter Zach Eflin’s (5.78 ERA) last 4 straight starts have resulted in a loss for the Orioles. To boot, 3 of those 4 losses saw their opponents bag at least 7 runs – and to be frank, those opponents didn’t have offenses nearly as solid as the Blue Jays’ current batting lineup. With Toronto having scored at least 5 runs in their last 5 straight wins over the Orioles, my money’s on the Jays to bag at least 5 (again) today.
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