Today's Picks
-WAS Nationals v MIA Marlins Over 9.0 (-115) | 0.5 Units
-HOU Astros v TOR Blue Jays Over 8.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units
-CHI White Sox ML (+115) | 0.25 Units
-MIN Twins v LA Angels Over 9.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units
Why These Picks?
WAS Nationals v MIA Marlins: I spend a lot of my time questioning the capabilities of both these offenses – but with Mitchell Parker (6.68 ERA) and Adam Mazur (5.74 ERA) on the mound, I think both teams put at least 4 runs on the board here. In fact, I think it would take incredible levels of luck for this game not to see at least a total of 10. Parker is carrying a whopping 6.68 ERA on the road, while Mazur sports a 6.35 ERA at home. Comically, Parker’s last outing against the Marlins just last week saw a total of 15 runs – Washington cashed the Over all by themselves while the Marlins scored 5. I’m on the Over to hit, friends.
HOU Astros v TOR Blue Jays: The Astros will be rolling with a bullpen game today, while the home squad will send starter Shane Bieber (4.15 ERA) to the mound. I must say, Bieber has cooled off since his initial hot start – two of his 3 outings have seen the Over cash, and the Jays bullpen issues certainly don’t bode well for a low-scoring affair. On the other side, while the Astros offense has been a giant question mark over the last few weeks, they’ve managed to put 16 runs on the board over their last 3 games. I’m going to go out on a limb here and say the Over hits this evening.
TB Rays v CHI White Sox: I can’t believe this pick is on my list, but the White Sox are sneaky good at home. In addition, Chicago has won 7 of its last 8 games, and 4 of Yoendrys Gomez’s last 5 starts have resulted in a White Sox win. Meanwhile, the Rays haven’t scored more than 2 runs in each of their last 3 outings. Give me Chicago for plus money.
MIN Twins v LA Angels: This pick is simple for me, betting fam. I don’t love either of today’s starters – Zebby Matthews (4.73 ERA) has been rough away from home, and Kyle Hendricks (4.81 ERA) has allowed 23 runs over his last 4 outings. I’ll happily take the Over to cash.
