Today's Picks

-SD Padres Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-SD Padres v WAS Nationals Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-KC Royals ML (-125) | 0.25 Units

-MIN Twins v COL Rockies Over 11.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals v ARI Diamondbacks Over 8.5 (-120) | 1 Unit

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Why These Picks?
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SD Padres v WAS Nationals: Michael Soroka’s last 5 straight outings have resulted in a loss for the Nationals, and all 5 of those outings also saw at least 9 runs. Comically, Soroka only really had one terrible outing in which he allowed 7 runs, but the rest is the handy work of the Washington bullpen. This is bold, but I’m rolling 2 picks off of this game. Take the overall total to go Over 8.5, as well as the Padres Team Total Over to hit.

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KC Royals v MIA Marlins: I think you all already now I don’t love a -125 return, but the Royals should bag this win in spades. Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara (7.22 ERA) has allowed 18 ERs over his last 3 outings, and at least 5 runs in each of those same 3 trips to the mound. Kansas City starter Seth Lugo (2.67 ERA) is undoubtedly the better arm – in this case, I’m surprised the ML is so reasonably priced. Take the Royals to claim victory on the road.

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MIN Twins v COL Rockies: Kyle Freeland’s (5.44 ERA) last 4 straight outings have gone seen a final total of at least 11 runs, friends. To boot, I fully expect Colorado to sneak some runs past Chris Paddack (4.95 ERA) who has allowed 11 ERs over his last 3 outings. Add in the usual magic of Coors Field altitude, and I think we’ve got ourselves a game that sees at least 12 on the board. I’m on the Over here, betting fam.

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STL Cardinals v ARI Diamondbacks: Between Pfaadt (5.16 ERA) & Pallante, this total should see a total of at least 10. 4 of Pfaadt’s last 5 games have seen at least 9 runs, while Pallante (4.49 ERA)  has allowed a staggering 16 hits and 9 runs over his last 3 outings. I won’t lie to you – this was an easy pick for me, friends. Take the over to cash with confidence here.

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