-MIA Marlins Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units
-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles Over 9.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units
-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers Over 8.0 (-105) | 0.25 Units
-STL Cardinals Team Total Over 4.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units
Why These Picks?
MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles: Orioles starter Brandon Young (6.14 ERA) has been the definition of unreliable, friends. Baltimore has lost 4 of Young’s last 5 starts, and their opponents have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of his last 5 outings. To be frank, I won’t be surprised if the Marlins offense gets to the Orioles pitcher early on; Trevor Rogers was a much tougher arm than Brandon Young, and even he couldn’t keep the Miami offense at bay in the second game of this series. My money’s on the Marlins to score at least 5 here. As for the full game total, I’m glad the price tag on this came down. When I looked at this game last night, the Over was sitting at -125 (I don’t love anything priced higher than -120…) and so I ruled it out for ‘Pick of the Day’. That said, at 1.91, I’ll bite – I think this game sees a final score of 6-5. Take the Over to hit, betting fam.
SEA Mariners v DET Tigers: Between Jack Flaherty (4.70 ERA) and Logan Gilbert’s 6.02 Away ERA, I think this total makes its way Over 8 runs. Both games in this series so far have gone well into the double digits, and Detroit will be eager to avoid getting swept. That said, Seattle’s bats have been on fire this last couple games – I wouldn’t be surprised if they cashed this Over themselves. My money’s on yet another high-scoring affair.
ATL Braves v STL Cardinals: The Cardinals have a substantial advantage on the mound today with Sonny Gray (3.51 ERA) who pitches even better at home than he does on the road. On the other side, Atlanta has called up Daniel Davis, who has had 14 starts in Triple-A but will make just his second appearance for the Braves this season today. I expect the St. Louis offense to have the upper hand in this game – I say they bag at least 5 runs this evening.
