-TEX Rangers -1.5 (+120) | 0.5 Units
-ATL Braves -1.5 (+100) | 0.25 Units
-SF Giants v ARI Diamondbacks Over 9.0 (-120) | 0.25 Units
-CHI White Sox v LA Dodgers Under 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units
Why These Picks?
BAL Orioles v TEX Rangers: This is a wildly uneven matchup, friends – the Rangers should win this encounter by a landslide. Baltimore starter Brandon Young’s (7.11 ERA) last outing, comically, was against Texas last week – the Orioles were shutout 7-0. With Jacob deGrom (2.08 ERA) having allowed a mere 5 runs over his last 5 starts, I imagine this game’s result will be similar. I won’t overthink this one – I’m on the Rangers to cover the RL.
LA Angels v ATL Braves: I simply don’t trust Angels starter Tyler Anderson (4.41 ERA) on the road. Anderson is currently sporting a 6.44 ERA away from home, and that’s just not something I can get behind. I don’t love Grant Holmes (3.70 ERA), and the Braves offense has had a rough week – but they should use this encounter to bounce back and run right over Anderson. To boot, the Angels have lost 4 of their last 5 encounters with the Braves by at least 2 runs. I’m on Atlanta to cover the RL today.
SF Giants v ARI Diamondbacks: I'm convinced no "Under" is safe with Zac Gallen (5.75 ERA) on the mound. Gallen currently sports a Home ERA of 6.29, and I don't doubt the capability of the Diamondbacks offense despite the issues they've been having with their bullpen. I fully expect both squads to bag at least 5 runs today – I'm on the Over to cash.
CHI White Sox v LA Dodgers: This might be the craziest pick I make today, but the stats support it. We all know the Dodgers could blow the White Sox out of the water on any given day, but 4 of their last 6 meetings have all stayed under 8 runs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (2.61 ERA) is more than capable of keeping Chicago at bay, and White Sox starter Shane Smith (3.38 ERA) is actually better on the road than he is at home. I'll roll with the Under this evening.
