Today's Picks
-KC Royals ML (-105) | 0.25 Units
-HOU Astros v NY Yankees Over 9.0 (-105) | 0.25 Units
-MIA Marlins v ATL Braves Over 8.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units
-LA Angels v DET Tigers Over 9.0 (-120) | 0.25 Units
Why These Picks?
KC Royals v MIN Twins: I’ve gotta go with the underdog here – the Royals have a clear advantage in starting pitcher Ryan Bergert (2.83 ERA) this afternoon, and I have a feeling the Twins will turn to their bullpen early with Jose Urena (5.24 ERA) on the mound.
HOU Astros v NY Yankees: This might be an unpopular opinion, but this is a high-scoring game in my mind. Max Fried (2.78 ERA) has allowed 10 runs over his last 3 starts, and the Over has cashed in 4 of his last 5 outings. On the other side, Houston will start Relief Pitcher Jason Alexander (5.97 ERA) who's also seen the Over hit in 4 of his last 5 outings. How soon the Astros turn to the rest of their BP here also makes me lean towards a bigger total (Alexander could pitch anywhere from 3-6 innings...). My money’s on a high-scoring affair.
MIA Marlins v ATL Braves: The Braves will start Joey Wentz (5.34 ERA) who is technically a relief pitcher, but has pitched between 4-6 innings over his last 4 starts. Having said that, the Over has cashed in spades in 4 of his last 5 outings; I think today’s game follows suit. Take the Over to hit.
LA Angels v DET Tigers: All 5 of Casey Mize’s (3.50 ERA) last starts have seen a final score of at least 9 runs. On the other side, 4 of Angels starter Jack Kochanowicz’s (5.85 ERA) last 5 outings have seen the Over cash. I think both offenses put at least 4 runs on the board here; my money’s on the Over.