-TEX Rangers -1.5 (+120) | 0.5 Units

-ATL Braves -1.5 (+100) | 0.25 Units

-SF Giants v ARI Diamondbacks Over 9.0 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-CHI White Sox v LA Dodgers Under 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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BAL Orioles v TEX Rangers: This is a wildly uneven matchup, friends – the Rangers should win this encounter by a landslide. Baltimore starter Brandon Young’s (7.11 ERA) last outing, comically, was against Texas last week – the Orioles were shutout 7-0. With Jacob deGrom (2.08 ERA) having allowed a mere 5 runs over his last 5 starts, I imagine this game’s result will be similar. I won’t overthink this one – I’m on the Rangers to cover the RL.

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LA Angels v ATL Braves: I simply don’t trust Angels starter Tyler Anderson (4.41 ERA) on the road. Anderson is currently sporting a 6.44 ERA away from home, and that’s just not something I can get behind. I don’t love Grant Holmes (3.70 ERA), and the Braves offense has had a rough week – but they should use this encounter to bounce back and run right over Anderson. To boot, the Angels have lost 4 of their last 5 encounters with the Braves by at least 2 runs. I’m on Atlanta to cover the RL today.

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SF Giants v ARI Diamondbacks: I'm convinced  no "Under" is safe with Zac Gallen (5.75 ERA) on the mound. Gallen currently sports a Home ERA of 6.29, and I don't doubt the capability of the Diamondbacks offense despite the issues they've been having with their bullpen. I fully expect both squads to bag at least 5 runs today – I'm on the Over to cash.

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CHI White Sox v LA Dodgers: This might be the craziest pick I make today, but the stats support it. We all know the Dodgers could blow the White Sox out of the water on any given day, but 4 of their last 6 meetings have all stayed under 8 runs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (2.61 ERA) is more than capable of keeping Chicago at bay, and White Sox starter Shane Smith (3.38 ERA) is actually better on the road than he is at home. I'll roll with the Under this evening.

-TEX Rangers -1.5 (+120) | 0.5 Units

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Why This Pick?

This is a wildly uneven matchup, friends – the Rangers should win this encounter by a landslide. Baltimore starter Brandon Young’s (7.11 ERA) last outing, comically, was against Texas last week – the Orioles were shutout 7-0. With Jacob deGrom (2.08 ERA) having allowed a mere 5 runs over his last 5 starts, I imagine this game’s result will be similar. I won’t overthink this one – I’m on the Rangers to cover the RL.

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Time for a post-game recap, friends! A few things to report: Picks went 2 for 3 today — solid overall, though a bummer that the Pick of the Day was the one that missed. For those curious, here’s what we had:

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Picks (2/3)

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (-110) ✅
-PIT Pirates ML (-110) ✅
-STL Cardinals v PIT Pirates Over 8.5 (-120) ❌

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I have to say, I'm absolutely choked about that Cardinals / Pirates total. Pittsburgh bagged SIX RUNS in the 5th inning, bringing the total to 7-0... and no one scored after that. I thought Over 8.5 was easily in the bag – but alas, it's just the way it goes sometimes.

Player Props went 1 for 3, but the one that did hit was a beauty: Zack Wheeler Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+120) ✅ — and he delivered 10 Ks! 🔥

Today's parlay was a miss – but overall, not a bad day. 😌

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Just a heads up, I'll be updating our final June record tomorrow! Though you can rest easy, we finished this month profitable 💰🤩

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On that note, I'm off to bed! As always, I'll see you all bright and early to take on the books again.

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‍July, we're comin' for ya 😉

X

Belle

‍

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‍

Today's Picks

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-PIT Pirates ML (-110) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals v PIT Pirates Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

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Why These Picks?

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SD Padres v PHI Phillies: The Phillies have actually won 8 of their last 10 encounters with the Padres, and 6 of those 8 wins were by at least 2 runs. With San Diego starter Matt Waldron making his season debut this evening after returning from injury, I think the Padres' likelihood of success against such a dominant Phillies offense is a bit of a question mark. That said, even the best San Diego starters have suffered at the hands of Philly. 8/10 wins is a daunting stat, betting fam – my money's on Philly to cover the RL here.

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STL Cardinals v PIT Pirates: Andrew Heaney (4.48 ERA) might be the Pirates' most unreliable starter. Having allowed 14 ERs over just his last 2 outings, a high-scoring affair seems promising. Not only is the Pittsburgh squad great at home, but their offense has bagged a whopping 40 runs over their last 3 games. On the other side, the Cardinals enter this encounter fresh off of sweeping the CLE Guardians and putting 21 runs in the bag over the 3-game series. To be frank, neither Heaney or St. Louis starter Erick Fedde (4.11 ERA) are great on the mound lately – but the Pirates have been a solid bet at home. My money’s on the Over to cash here and on a Pittsburgh victory, friends.

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Today's Player Props

-SD Padres v PHI Phillies: Zack Wheeler Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+120) | 0.15 Units

-SD Padres v PHI Phillies: Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.15 Units

-STL Cardinals v PIT Pirates: Isiah Kinear-Falefa 2+ Total Bases (+175) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Parlays

Parlay (+471) | 0.20 Units

-PHI Phillies Team Total Over 4.5 (-150) 

-TB Rays Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) 

-SF Giants v ARI Diamondbacks Over 8.0 (-120)

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Premium Parlay (+811) | 0.20 Units

-SEA Mariners Team Total Over 3.5 (-140)

-TB Rays ML (-170)

-CIN Reds v BOS Red Sox Under 7.5 (-105) 

-SF Giants v ARI Diamondbacks: Logan Webb Over 5.5 Total Strikeouts (-140)

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Today's Picks

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-PIT Pirates ML (-110) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals v PIT Pirates Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

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Why These Picks?

‍

SD Padres v PHI Phillies: The Phillies have actually won 8 of their last 10 encounters with the Padres, and 6 of those 8 wins were by at least 2 runs. With San Diego starter Matt Waldron making his season debut this evening after returning from injury, I think the Padres' likelihood of success against such a dominant Phillies offense is a bit of a question mark. That said, even the best San Diego starters have suffered at the hands of Philly. 8/10 wins is a daunting stat, betting fam – my money's on Philly to cover the RL here.

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STL Cardinals v PIT Pirates: Andrew Heaney (4.48 ERA) might be the Pirates' most unreliable starter. Having allowed 14 ERs over just his last 2 outings, a high-scoring affair seems promising. Not only is the Pittsburgh squad great at home, but their offense has bagged a whopping 40 runs over their last 3 games. On the other side, the Cardinals enter this encounter fresh off of sweeping the CLE Guardians and putting 21 runs in the bag over the 3-game series. To be frank, neither Heaney or St. Louis starter Erick Fedde (4.11 ERA) are great on the mound lately – but the Pirates have been a solid bet at home. My money’s on the Over to cash here and on a Pittsburgh victory, friends.

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Today's Player Props

-SD Padres v PHI Phillies: Zack Wheeler Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+120) | 0.15 Units

-SD Padres v PHI Phillies: Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.15 Units

-STL Cardinals v PIT Pirates: Isiah Kinear-Falefa 2+ Total Bases (+175) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Parlays

Parlay (+471) | 0.20 Units

-PHI Phillies Team Total Over 4.5 (-150) 

-TB Rays Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) 

-SF Giants v ARI Diamondbacks Over 8.0 (-120)

Today's Picks

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-PIT Pirates ML (-110) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals v PIT Pirates Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

‍

Why These Picks?

‍

SD Padres v PHI Phillies: The Phillies have actually won 8 of their last 10 encounters with the Padres, and 6 of those 8 wins were by at least 2 runs. With San Diego starter Matt Waldron making his season debut this evening after returning from injury, I think the Padres' likelihood of success against such a dominant Phillies offense is a bit of a question mark. That said, even the best San Diego starters have suffered at the hands of Philly. 8/10 wins is a daunting stat, betting fam – my money's on Philly to cover the RL here.

‍

STL Cardinals v PIT Pirates: Andrew Heaney (4.48 ERA) might be the Pirates' most unreliable starter. Having allowed 14 ERs over just his last 2 outings, a high-scoring affair seems promising. Not only is the Pittsburgh squad great at home, but their offense has bagged a whopping 40 runs over their last 3 games. On the other side, the Cardinals enter this encounter fresh off of sweeping the CLE Guardians and putting 21 runs in the bag over the 3-game series. To be frank, neither Heaney or St. Louis starter Erick Fedde (4.11 ERA) are great on the mound lately – but the Pirates have been a solid bet at home. My money’s on the Over to cash here and on a Pittsburgh victory, friends.

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Today's Player Props

-SD Padres v PHI Phillies: Zack Wheeler Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+120) | 0.15 Units

-SD Padres v PHI Phillies: Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.15 Units

-STL Cardinals v PIT Pirates: Isiah Kinear-Falefa 2+ Total Bases (+175) | 0.15 Units

Today's Picks

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-PIT Pirates ML (-110) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals v PIT Pirates Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

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Why These Picks?

‍

SD Padres v PHI Phillies: The Phillies have actually won 8 of their last 10 encounters with the Padres, and 6 of those 8 wins were by at least 2 runs. With San Diego starter Matt Waldron making his season debut this evening after returning from injury, I think the Padres' likelihood of success against such a dominant Phillies offense is a bit of a question mark. That said, even the best San Diego starters have suffered at the hands of Philly. 8/10 wins is a daunting stat, betting fam – my money's on Philly to cover the RL here.

‍

STL Cardinals v PIT Pirates: Andrew Heaney (4.48 ERA) might be the Pirates' most unreliable starter. Having allowed 14 ERs over just his last 2 outings, a high-scoring affair seems promising. Not only is the Pittsburgh squad great at home, but their offense has bagged a whopping 40 runs over their last 3 games. On the other side, the Cardinals enter this encounter fresh off of sweeping the CLE Guardians and putting 21 runs in the bag over the 3-game series. To be frank, neither Heaney or St. Louis starter Erick Fedde (4.11 ERA) are great on the mound lately – but the Pirates have been a solid bet at home. My money’s on the Over to cash here and on a Pittsburgh victory, friends.

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-STL Cardinals v PIT Pirates Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

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Why This Pick?

Andrew Heaney (4.48 ERA) might be the Pirates' most unreliable starter. Having allowed 14 ERs over just his last 2 outings, a high-scoring affair seems promising. Not only is the Pittsburgh squad great at home, but their offense has bagged a whopping 40 runs over their last 3 games. On the other side, the Cardinals enter this encounter fresh off of sweeping the CLE Guardians and putting 21 runs in the bag over the 3-game series. My money’s on the Over to cash here, friends.

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‍

Today was a good one, friends — lots of wins to report! We hit 3 of our 5 single picks, including our Pick of the Day, which means the picks came away profitable overall. We also cashed our “mini” VIP Parlay, adding a nice little bag to cap off the night 💰 For those curious, here's what we had:

Single Picks (3/5) 

-LA Dodgers ML (-105) ✅

-TOR Blue Jays ML (-110) ✅

-MIA Marlins v ARI Diamondbacks Over 9.0 (-110) ✅

-TB Rays v BAL Orioles Over 9.5 (-120) ❌

-LA Dodgers v KC Royals Over 9.5 (-115) ❌

VIP Parlay (+219) 🎉

-WAS Nationals Team Total Over 4.5 (-120) ✅

-TOR Blue Jays Team Total Over 4.5 (-135) ✅

VIP Parlay (+575) ❌

-CHI Cubs v HOU Astros Over 8.0 (+100) 

-MIA Marlins Team Total Over 3.5 (-130)  

-DET Tigers Team Total Over 4.5 (-110) 

I ended up putting out two parlays today — and in hindsight, I’m so glad I did. The smaller one not only covered the bigger one’s loss but kept the VIP tier firmly profitable overall for the afternoon 🙌

Big shoutout to the Dodgers for locking in that ML — thrilled we grabbed it at such a great price. LA was no question today’s 'Pick of the Day'. To my Free Tier friends: let’s keep this winning thing going, shall we? 😉

Props were a letdown tonight — I’m choked. Eric Lauer was pulled at 4 Ks (we needed over 4.5), and to be fair… he had every chance. The Red Sox just kept finding hits with 2 strikes — it was driving me mental 😵‍💫 Hopefully props bounce back tomorrow. They’ve been solidly green this month, so we can afford a misstep or two.

That’s all for tonight, betting fam! We’re closing out the month strong — sitting well into the green 💸

As always, I'll see you all bright and early to do it all again!

X

Belle

P.S. Want access to all my picks, props, and parlays? Free Tier users get one pick per day, but the full slate goes out to paid subscribers every morning. Upgrade anytime from your account page.

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Today’s Pick of the Day is a hit, friends! A huge congratulations to everyone that tailed this evening, and for those curious, here’s what we had:

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-LA Dodgers ML (-105) ✅

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I’m so glad we were able to get this ML at such a good price, betting fam. Enjoy your victory, and on to the next we go ;)

X

Belle

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