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July 7, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays (Premium) ⚾️

July 7, 2025

Today's Picks

-TOR Blue Jays Team Total Over 4.5 (-130) | 0.25 Units

-TEX Rangers -1.5 (+125) | 0.5 Units

-TEX Rangers v LA Angels Under 7.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks v SD Padres Over 8.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

TOR Blue Jays v CHI White Sox: You know I don’t love a -130 return, but this should hit. White Sox starter Sean Burke (4.03 ERA) has given up at least 5 runs over his last 5 starts in each of his losses, and I fully expect a Toronto win here. That said, I’m avoiding the RL bet simply because Chicago, terrible as they are, can be sneaky at home. I’ll take the Jays to bag at least 5 runs.

TEX Rangers v LA Angels: Starter Jacob deGrom (2.13 ERA) is just too good, friends. The Rangers have won all 5 of deGrom’s last starts, and 4 of those 5 starts were wins by at least 4 runs. Don’t get me wrong – Yusei Kikuchi (2.81 ERA) is no slouch, but Texas has won 9 of their last 10 games against the Angels, and 8 of those victories were by at least 2 runs. I’ll sprinkle the Under to hit, but I’ve also gotta go with the data and the plus money here and take the Rangers to cover the RL.

ARI Diamondbacks v SD Padres: Padres starter Yu Darvish is making his season debut this evening after returning from the IL, and as most are when they return from a long absence, I expect him to be a little rusty. In addition, Arizona is putting Zac Gallen (5.45 ERA) on the mound, and 4 of his last 5 starts have seen final scores of at least 10 runs. Take the Over to cash here.

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Today's Player Props

-COL Rockies v BOS Red Sox: Trevor Story Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.15 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v CHI White Sox: Jose Berrios Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-115) | 0.15 Units

-TEX Rangers v LA Angels: Jacob deGrom 8+ Strikeouts (+128) | 0.15 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v CHI White Sox: Vladimir Guerrero Jr Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Parlays

Parlay (+734) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays ML (-165)

-ARI Diamondbacks Team Total Over 3.5 (-140)

-PHI Phillies ML (-135)

-TEX Rangers ML (-135)

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July 7, 2025: Belle's Picks ⚾️

July 7, 2025

-TOR Blue Jays Team Total Over 4.5 (-130) | 0.25 Units

-TEX Rangers -1.5 (+125) | 0.5 Units

-TEX Rangers v LA Angels Under 7.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks v SD Padres Over 8.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

TOR Blue Jays v CHI White Sox: You know I don’t love a -130 return, but this should hit. White Sox starter Sean Burke (4.03 ERA) has given up at least 5 runs over his last 5 starts in each of his losses, and I fully expect a Toronto win here. That said, I’m avoiding the RL bet simply because Chicago, terrible as they are, can be sneaky at home. I’ll take the Jays to bag at least 5 runs.

TEX Rangers v LA Angels: Starter Jacob deGrom (2.13 ERA) is just too good, friends. The Rangers have won all 5 of deGrom’s last starts, and 4 of those 5 starts were wins by at least 4 runs. Don’t get me wrong – Yusei Kikuchi (2.81 ERA) is no slouch, but Texas has won 9 of their last 10 games against the Angels, and 8 of those victories were by at least 2 runs. I’ll sprinkle the Under to hit, but I’ve also gotta go with the data and the plus money here and take the Rangers to cover the RL.

ARI Diamondbacks v SD Padres: Padres starter Yu Darvish is making his season debut this evening after returning from the IL, and as most are when they return from a long absence, I expect him to be a little rusty. In addition, Arizona is putting Zac Gallen (5.45 ERA) on the mound, and 4 of his last 5 starts have seen final scores of at least 10 runs. Take the Over to cash here.

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July 7, 2025: Belle's Pick of the Day ⚾️

July 7, 2025

-TEX Rangers -1.5 (+125) | 0.5 Units

Why This Pick?

Starter Jacob deGrom (2.13 ERA) is just too good, friends. The Rangers have won all 5 of deGrom’s last starts, and 4 of those 5 starts were wins by at least 4 runs. Don’t get me wrong – Yusei Kikuchi (2.81 ERA) is no slouch, but Texas has won 9 of their last 10 games against the Angels, and 8 of those victories were by at least 2 runs. I know it's a bold pick, but I’ve gotta go with the data & the plus money here and take the Rangers to cover the RL.

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July 6, 2025: Profitable Day, Friends! Post-game Recap (+ Nightcap) ☕️😌

July 6, 2025

Today was a good one, friends – picks came out profitable! 👊🏽 We hit 3/5 Picks (one of which, was POTD) & 2/4 Player Props. For those curious, here's what we had:

 

Picks 3/5

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (-115) ✅

-STL Cardinals v CHI Cubs Over 7.5 (+100) ✅

-CHI Cubs Team Total Over 4.5 (+110) ✅

-LA Angels v TOR Blue Jays Over 9.0 (-115) ❌

-DET Tigers v CLE Guardians Under 7.5 (-115) ❌

 

Player Props (2/4)

-CIN Reds v PHI Phillies: Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) ✅

-NY Yankees v NY Mets: Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) ✅

-CIN Reds v PHI Phillies: Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) ❌

-NY Yankees v NY Mets: Max Fried Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+100) ❌

 

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I have to say, I'm thrilled that both plus money picks hit this evening – shoutout to the Cubs for coming through for us. 

 

Pick of the Day hit! 🎉 Bryson Stott saved the day with a HR in the bottom of the 8th inning, and the game finished 3-1 for Philly.

 

Unfortunately today's parlay was a miss – the last leg that needed to cash was Kansas City and Arizona to go Over 9.5, but the Diamondbacks decided to sleep in today (and right through the game, apparently... 😅) The Royals won 4-0. 

 

Overall? Not the most dramatic day, but profitable is profitable — and I’ll take green every time. 💸

 

That's all for tonight, betting fam – enjoy the rest of your evening! And as always, I'll see you all bright and early to take on the books!

 

X

Belle

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July 6, 2025: Pick of the Day Hits 🎉💰

July 6, 2025

Today’s Pick of the Day is a hit, friends! For those curious, here’s what we had:

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (-115) ✅

Oh man, that last minute homer was a godsend!! Hahaha! A big congrats to everyone that tailed today ☺️ Enjoy your win betting fam, and on to the next we go…

X

Belle

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July 6, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays (Premium) ⚾️

July 7, 2025

Today's Picks

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-LA Angels v TOR Blue Jays Over 9.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-DET Tigers v CLE Guardians Under 7.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals v CHI Cubs Over 7.5 (+100) | 0.25 Units

-CHI Cubs Team Total Over 4.5 (+110) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

PHI Phillies v CIN Reds: The Phillies undoubtedly hold the pitching advantage in this encounter, friends. Starter Zack Wheeler (2.27 ERA) is the definition of an Ace, having allowed a mere 2 ERs over his last 5 outings. On the other side, Cincinnati starter Chase Burns has only had 2 starts this season – and his last outing against the Boston Red Sox was a bit of a train wreck at 7 Hits allowed and 5 ERs. I have a feeling Philly’s offense is going to overwhelm Burns, and I have no doubt that Wheeler can hold his own here. I’m on Philly to cover the RL.

LA Angels v TOR Blue Jays: There was a time when these two names would automatically equate to a low-scoring affair, but not this season. Both Tyler Anderson (4.12 ERA) and Kevin Gausman (4.18 ERA) have been a mess on the mound. Anderson has allowed 14 ERs over his last 5 outings; his last start was probably his best all year, but that had more to do with the slumping Braves offense if you ask me. On the other side, Toronto’s Gausman has allowed 16 ERs over his last 5 starts. Unless both of these guys manage to embody their former Ace, I say this encounter goes to at least 9.

DET Tigers v CLE Guardians: 4 of the last 5 encounters between these two squads have seen 7 runs or less. And, with Tarik Skubal (2.15 ERA) and Gavin Williams (3.86 ERA) on the mound today, I don't think this game makes it to 7. Don't get me wrong, Skubal is far and away the better arm – but I think Williams will be able to hold the Tigers to a low-scoring game. To be frank, I won't be surprised if the Guardians nearly get shutout here (score prediction 5-1). I'm on the Under to cash.

STL Cardinals v CHI Cubs: Cardinals starter Erick Fedde (4.56 ERA) has allowed 7 ERs in his last two outings – I think there's a 99% chance the Cubs offense runs right over him (lol). Comically, one of those two outings was against Chicago and St. Louis was shutout 8-0. That said, I think the Cardinals will put a few on the board here, so I'll happily take the Over here for plus money, as well as Chicago to go Over on their Team Total.

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Today's Player Props

-CIN Reds v PHI Phillies: Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.15 Units

-CIN Reds v PHI Phillies: Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) | 0.15 Units

-NY Yankees v NY Mets: Max Fried Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+100) | 0.15 Units

-NY Yankees v NY Mets: Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Parlays

Parlay (+472) | 0.20 Units

-BOS Red Sox Team Total Over 4.5 (-150)

-DET Tigers -1.5 (-125)

-KC Royals v ARI Diamondbacks Over 9.5 (-110)

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July 6, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays ⚾️

July 6, 2025

Today's Picks

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-LA Angels v TOR Blue Jays Over 9.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-DET Tigers v CLE Guardians Under 7.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals v CHI Cubs Over 7.5 (+100) | 0.25 Units

-CHI Cubs Team Total Over 4.5 (+110) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

PHI Phillies v CIN Reds: The Phillies undoubtedly hold the pitching advantage in this encounter, friends. Starter Zack Wheeler (2.27 ERA) is the definition of an Ace, having allowed a mere 2 ERs over his last 5 outings. On the other side, Cincinnati starter Chase Burns has only had 2 starts this season – and his last outing against the Boston Red Sox was a bit of a train wreck at 7 Hits allowed and 5 ERs. I have a feeling Philly’s offense is going to overwhelm Burns, and I have no doubt that Wheeler can hold his own here. I’m on Philly to cover the RL.

LA Angels v TOR Blue Jays: There was a time when these two names would automatically equate to a low-scoring affair, but not this season. Both Tyler Anderson (4.12 ERA) and Kevin Gausman (4.18 ERA) have been a mess on the mound. Anderson has allowed 14 ERs over his last 5 outings; his last start was probably his best all year, but that had more to do with the slumping Braves offense if you ask me. On the other side, Toronto’s Gausman has allowed 16 ERs over his last 5 starts. Unless both of these guys manage to embody their former Ace, I say this encounter goes to at least 9.

DET Tigers v CLE Guardians: 4 of the last 5 encounters between these two squads have seen 7 runs or less. And, with Tarik Skubal (2.15 ERA) and Gavin Williams (3.86 ERA) on the mound today, I don't think this game makes it to 7. Don't get me wrong, Skubal is far and away the better arm – but I think Williams will be able to hold the Tigers to a low-scoring game. To be frank, I won't be surprised if the Guardians nearly get shutout here (score prediction 5-1). I'm on the Under to cash.

STL Cardinals v CHI Cubs: Cardinals starter Erick Fedde (4.56 ERA) has allowed 7 ERs in his last two outings – I think there's a 99% chance the Cubs offense runs right over him (lol). Comically, one of those two outings was against Chicago and St. Louis was shutout 8-0. That said, I think the Cardinals will put a few on the board here, so I'll happily take the Over here for plus money, as well as Chicago to go Over on their Team Total.

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Today's Player Props

-CIN Reds v PHI Phillies: Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.15 Units

-CIN Reds v PHI Phillies: Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) | 0.15 Units

-NY Yankees v NY Mets: Max Fried Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+100) | 0.15 Units

-NY Yankees v NY Mets: Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Parlays

Parlay (+472) | 0.20 Units

-BOS Red Sox Team Total Over 4.5 (-150)

-DET Tigers -1.5 (-125)

-KC Royals v ARI Diamondbacks Over 9.5 (-110)

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July 6, 2025: Belle's Picks & Player Props ⚾️

July 6, 2025

Today's Picks

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-LA Angels v TOR Blue Jays Over 9.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-DET Tigers v CLE Guardians Under 7.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals v CHI Cubs Over 7.5 (+100) | 0.25 Units

-CHI Cubs Team Total Over 4.5 (+110) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

PHI Phillies v CIN Reds: The Phillies undoubtedly hold the pitching advantage in this encounter, friends. Starter Zack Wheeler (2.27 ERA) is the definition of an Ace, having allowed a mere 2 ERs over his last 5 outings. On the other side, Cincinnati starter Chase Burns has only had 2 starts this season – and his last outing against the Boston Red Sox was a bit of a train wreck at 7 Hits allowed and 5 ERs. I have a feeling Philly’s offense is going to overwhelm Burns, and I have no doubt that Wheeler can hold his own here. I’m on Philly to cover the RL.

LA Angels v TOR Blue Jays: There was a time when these two names would automatically equate to a low-scoring affair, but not this season. Both Tyler Anderson (4.12 ERA) and Kevin Gausman (4.18 ERA) have been a mess on the mound. Anderson has allowed 14 ERs over his last 5 outings; his last start was probably his best all year, but that had more to do with the slumping Braves offense if you ask me. On the other side, Toronto’s Gausman has allowed 16 ERs over his last 5 starts. Unless both of these guys manage to embody their former Ace, I say this encounter goes to at least 9.

DET Tigers v CLE Guardians: 4 of the last 5 encounters between these two squads have seen 7 runs or less. And, with Tarik Skubal (2.15 ERA) and Gavin Williams (3.86 ERA) on the mound today, I don't think this game makes it to 7. Don't get me wrong, Skubal is far and away the better arm – but I think Williams will be able to hold the Tigers to a low-scoring game. To be frank, I won't be surprised if the Guardians nearly get shutout here (score prediction 5-1). I'm on the Under to cash.

STL Cardinals v CHI Cubs: Cardinals starter Erick Fedde (4.56 ERA) has allowed 7 ERs in his last two outings – I think there's a 99% chance the Cubs offense runs right over him (lol). Comically, one of those two outings was against Chicago and St. Louis was shutout 8-0. That said, I think the Cardinals will put a few on the board here, so I'll happily take the Over here for plus money, as well as Chicago to go Over on their Team Total.

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Today's Player Props

-CIN Reds v PHI Phillies: Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.15 Units

-CIN Reds v PHI Phillies: Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) | 0.15 Units

-NY Yankees v NY Mets: Max Fried Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+100) | 0.15 Units

-NY Yankees v NY Mets: Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.15 Units

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July 6, 2025: Belle's Picks ⚾️

July 6, 2025

Today's Picks

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-LA Angels v TOR Blue Jays Over 9.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-DET Tigers v CLE Guardians Under 7.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals v CHI Cubs Over 7.5 (+100) | 0.25 Units

-CHI Cubs Team Total Over 4.5 (+110) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

PHI Phillies v CIN Reds: The Phillies undoubtedly hold the pitching advantage in this encounter, friends. Starter Zack Wheeler (2.27 ERA) is the definition of an Ace, having allowed a mere 2 ERs over his last 5 outings. On the other side, Cincinnati starter Chase Burns has only had 2 starts this season – and his last outing against the Boston Red Sox was a bit of a train wreck at 7 Hits allowed and 5 ERs. I have a feeling Philly’s offense is going to overwhelm Burns, and I have no doubt that Wheeler can hold his own here. I’m on Philly to cover the RL.

LA Angels v TOR Blue Jays: There was a time when these two names would automatically equate to a low-scoring affair, but not this season. Both Tyler Anderson (4.12 ERA) and Kevin Gausman (4.18 ERA) have been a mess on the mound. Anderson has allowed 14 ERs over his last 5 outings; his last start was probably his best all year, but that had more to do with the slumping Braves offense if you ask me. On the other side, Toronto’s Gausman has allowed 16 ERs over his last 5 starts. Unless both of these guys manage to embody their former Ace, I say this encounter goes to at least 9.

DET Tigers v CLE Guardians: 4 of the last 5 encounters between these two squads have seen 7 runs or less. And, with Tarik Skubal (2.15 ERA) and Gavin Williams (3.86 ERA) on the mound today, I don't think this game makes it to 7. Don't get me wrong, Skubal is far and away the better arm – but I think Williams will be able to hold the Tigers to a low-scoring game. To be frank, I won't be surprised if the Guardians nearly get shutout here (score prediction 5-1). I'm on the Under to cash.

STL Cardinals v CHI Cubs: Cardinals starter Erick Fedde (4.56 ERA) has allowed 7 ERs in his last two outings – I think there's a 99% chance the Cubs offense runs right over him (lol). Comically, one of those two outings was against Chicago and St. Louis was shutout 8-0. That said, I think the Cardinals will put a few on the board here, so I'll happily take the Over here for plus money, as well as Chicago to go Over on their Team Total.

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July 6, 2025: Belle’s Pick of the Day 🛎️

July 6, 2025

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

Why This Pick?

The Phillies undoubtedly hold the pitching advantage in this encounter, friends. Starter Zack Wheeler (2.27 ERA) is the definition of an Ace, having allowed a mere 2 ERs over his last 5 outings. On the other side, Cincinnati starter Chase Burns has only had 2 starts this season – and his last outing against the Boston Red Sox was a bit of a train wreck at 7 Hits allowed and 5 ERs. I have a feeling Philly’s offense is going to overwhelm Burns, and I have no doubt that Wheeler can hold his own here. I’m on Philly to cover the RL.

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