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July 18, 2025: Belle's Picks & Player Props 🛎️

July 18, 2025

Today's Picks

-SD Padres Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-SD Padres v WAS Nationals Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-KC Royals ML (-125) | 0.25 Units

-MIN Twins v COL Rockies Over 11.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals v ARI Diamondbacks Over 8.5 (-120) | 1 Unit

Why These Picks?

SD Padres v WAS Nationals: Michael Soroka’s last 5 straight outings have resulted in a loss for the Nationals, and all 5 of those outings also saw at least 9 runs. Comically, Soroka only really had one terrible outing in which he allowed 7 runs, but the rest is the handy work of the Washington bullpen. This is bold, but I’m rolling 2 picks off of this game. Take the overall total to go Over 8.5, as well as the Padres Team Total Over to hit.

KC Royals v MIA Marlins: I think you all already now I don’t love a -125 return, but the Royals should bag this win in spades. Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara (7.22 ERA) has allowed 18 ERs over his last 3 outings, and at least 5 runs in each of those same 3 trips to the mound. Kansas City starter Seth Lugo (2.67 ERA) is undoubtedly the better arm – in this case, I’m surprised the ML is so reasonably priced. Take the Royals to claim victory on the road.

MIN Twins v COL Rockies: Kyle Freeland’s (5.44 ERA) last 4 straight outings have gone seen a final total of at least 11 runs, friends. To boot, I fully expect Colorado to sneak some runs past Chris Paddack (4.95 ERA) who has allowed 11 ERs over his last 3 outings. Add in the usual magic of Coors Field altitude, and I think we’ve got ourselves a game that sees at least 12 on the board. I’m on the Over here, betting fam.

STL Cardinals v ARI Diamondbacks: Between Pfaadt (5.16 ERA) & Pallante, this total should see a total of at least 10. 4 of Pfaadt’s last 5 games have seen at least 9 runs, while Pallante (4.49 ERA)  has allowed a staggering 16 hits and 9 runs over his last 3 outings. I won’t lie to you – this was an easy pick for me, friends. Take the over to cash with confidence here.

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Today's Player Props

STL Cardinals v ARI Diamondbacks: Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) | 0.20 Units

KC Royals v MIA Marlins: Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.15 Units

SD Padres v WAS Nationals: Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) | 0.20 Units

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July 18, 2025: Belle's Picks 🛎️

July 18, 2025

Today's Picks

-SD Padres Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-SD Padres v WAS Nationals Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-KC Royals ML (-125) | 0.25 Units

-MIN Twins v COL Rockies Over 11.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals v ARI Diamondbacks Over 8.5 (-120) | 1 Unit

Why These Picks?

SD Padres v WAS Nationals: Michael Soroka’s last 5 straight outings have resulted in a loss for the Nationals, and all 5 of those outings also saw at least 9 runs. Comically, Soroka only really had one terrible outing in which he allowed 7 runs, but the rest is the handy work of the Washington bullpen. This is bold, but I’m rolling 2 picks off of this game. Take the overall total to go Over 8.5, as well as the Padres Team Total Over to hit.

KC Royals v MIA Marlins: I think you all already now I don’t love a -125 return, but the Royals should bag this win in spades. Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara (7.22 ERA) has allowed 18 ERs over his last 3 outings, and at least 5 runs in each of those same 3 trips to the mound. Kansas City starter Seth Lugo (2.67 ERA) is undoubtedly the better arm – in this case, I’m surprised the ML is so reasonably priced. Take the Royals to claim victory on the road.

MIN Twins v COL Rockies: Kyle Freeland’s (5.44 ERA) last 4 straight outings have gone seen a final total of at least 11 runs, friends. To boot, I fully expect Colorado to sneak some runs past Chris Paddack (4.95 ERA) who has allowed 11 ERs over his last 3 outings. Add in the usual magic of Coors Field altitude, and I think we’ve got ourselves a game that sees at least 12 on the board. I’m on the Over here, betting fam.

STL Cardinals v ARI Diamondbacks: Between Pfaadt (5.16 ERA) & Pallante, this total should see a total of at least 10. 4 of Pfaadt’s last 5 games have seen at least 9 runs, while Pallante (4.49 ERA)  has allowed a staggering 16 hits and 9 runs over his last 3 outings. I won’t lie to you – this was an easy pick for me, friends. Take the over to cash with confidence here.

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July 18, 2025: Belle's Pick of the Day 🛎️

July 18, 2025

-STL Cardinals v ARI Diamondbacks Over 8.5 (-120) | 1 Unit

Why This Pick?

Between Pfaadt (5.16 ERA) & Pallante, this total should see a total of at least 10. 4 of Pfaadt’s last 5 games have seen at least 9 runs, while Pallante (4.49 ERA)  has allowed a staggering 16 hits and 9 runs over his last 3 outings. I won’t lie to you – this was an easy pick for me, friends. Take the over to cash with confidence here.

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Someone posted this on my Discord server and it made me LOL. Day 3 of no MLB…We’re almost there, friends 😂🛎️

July 18, 2025
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July 14, 2025: All-Star Break, No Games – Belle's Day Off & 50% Off! ⚾️😌

July 14, 2025

Happy Monday, friends! 

A quick post to remind everyone that there are NO BASEBALL GAMES today until Friday, which means that Picks, Props & Parlays will return on Friday, July 18!

That said, in typical "Belle's Day Off" fashion, I'm running a fun 50% off promo incase anyone would like to upgrade their tier during the All-Star Break 👊🏼

🌟 Simply use promo code ALLSTAR50 at checkout to get 50% off your first month of ANY TIER.

Until Friday, you'll find me in the Discord doing some NBA Summer League live betting, and perhaps dropping some fun wagers on the Home Run Derby 😉

Cheers all!

X

Belle

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July 13, 2025: Clean Sweep, Friends — 4/4!🧹🙌

July 13, 2025

Unbelievable day, friends – we hit 4/4 picks! I love a good sweep 🧹😉 We also hit 2/3 of our Player Props 👏🏽 A massive congratulations to everyone that tailed today, and for those curious, here's what we had:

 

Picks (4/4)

-MIA Marlins Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) ✅

-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles Over 9.0 (-110) ✅

-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers Over 8.0 (-105) ✅

-STL Cardinals Team Total Over 4.5 (-105) ✅

 

Player Props (2/3)

-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles: Eury Perez Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-125) ✅

-LA Dodgers v SF Giants: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 7+ Strikeouts (+145) ✅

-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers: Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs (+265) ❌

 

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I'm absolutely stoked that Yamamoto Yoshinobu hit 7 strikeouts for a whopping +145 return!

 

Today's parlay was done dirty by the Minnesota Twins – it was the only leg that lost. I can't even believe it, ha ha! Oh well – we came out of this day insanely profitable, I suppose I'll let it slide. 💰😌

 

Betting fam, we're on a serious heater. 🔥 BUT, that heater is taking a break – an All-Star Break to be specific!

 

Please note that MLB games will not be taking place from Mon-Thurs this week. Games (and as a result, picks!) will return on Friday, July 18 👊🏽😊

 

In the meantime, I'll be hosting some live betting sessions & wagers on my Discord server during NBA Summer League! This proved to be a pretty profitable venture last year – I encourage everyone to hop in and join us ;) Of course, I may even place the odd wager or two on the MLB All-Star game...

 

On that note, enjoy the rest of your evening! I'll see you all on Discord over the next few days.

X

Belle

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👉 Upgrade your tier anytime under My Account

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Buy Belle a Coffee

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July 13, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays (Premium) ⚾️

July 13, 2025

Today's Picks

-MIA Marlins Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles Over 9.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers Over 8.0 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals Team Total Over 4.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles: Orioles starter Brandon Young (6.14 ERA) has been the definition of unreliable, friends. Baltimore has lost 4 of Young’s last 5 starts, and their opponents have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of his last 5 outings. To be frank, I won’t be surprised if the Marlins offense gets to the Orioles pitcher early on; Trevor Rogers was a much tougher arm than Brandon Young, and even he couldn’t keep the Miami offense at bay in the second game of this series. My money’s on the Marlins to score at least 5 here. As for the full game total, I’m glad the price tag on this came down. When I looked at this game last night, the Over was sitting at -125 (I don’t love anything priced higher than -120…) and so I ruled it out for ‘Pick of the Day’. That said, at 1.91, I’ll bite – I think this game sees a final score of 6-5. Take the Over to hit, betting fam.

SEA Mariners v DET Tigers: Between Jack Flaherty (4.70 ERA) and Logan Gilbert’s 6.02 Away ERA, I think this total makes its way Over 8 runs. Both games in this series so far have gone well into the double digits, and Detroit will be eager to avoid getting swept. That said, Seattle’s bats have been on fire this last couple games – I wouldn’t be surprised if they cashed this Over themselves. My money’s on yet another high-scoring affair.

ATL Braves v STL Cardinals: The Cardinals have a substantial advantage on the mound today with Sonny Gray (3.51 ERA) who pitches even better at home than he does on the road. On the other side, Atlanta has called up Daniel Davis, who has had 14 starts in Triple-A but will make just his second appearance for the Braves this season today. I expect the St. Louis offense to have the upper hand in this game – I say they bag at least 5 runs this evening.

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Today's Player Props

-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles: Eury Perez Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-125) | 0.15 Units

-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers: Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs (+265) | 0.15 Units (bold, I know...)

-LA Dodgers v SF Giants: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 7+ Strikeouts (+145) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Parlay

Parlay (+608) | 0.20 Units

-MIN Twins ML (-150)

-STL Cardinals ML (-170)

-SEA Mariners Team Total Over 3.5 (-150)

-TB Rays v BOS Red Sox Under 9.0 (-165) (alternate total)

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July 13, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays ⚾️

July 13, 2025

Today's Picks

-MIA Marlins Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles Over 9.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers Over 8.0 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals Team Total Over 4.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles: Orioles starter Brandon Young (6.14 ERA) has been the definition of unreliable, friends. Baltimore has lost 4 of Young’s last 5 starts, and their opponents have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of his last 5 outings. To be frank, I won’t be surprised if the Marlins offense gets to the Orioles pitcher early on; Trevor Rogers was a much tougher arm than Brandon Young, and even he couldn’t keep the Miami offense at bay in the second game of this series. My money’s on the Marlins to score at least 5 here. As for the full game total, I’m glad the price tag on this came down. When I looked at this game last night, the Over was sitting at -125 (I don’t love anything priced higher than -120…) and so I ruled it out for ‘Pick of the Day’. That said, at 1.91, I’ll bite – I think this game sees a final score of 6-5. Take the Over to hit, betting fam.

SEA Mariners v DET Tigers: Between Jack Flaherty (4.70 ERA) and Logan Gilbert’s 6.02 Away ERA, I think this total makes its way Over 8 runs. Both games in this series so far have gone well into the double digits, and Detroit will be eager to avoid getting swept. That said, Seattle’s bats have been on fire this last couple games – I wouldn’t be surprised if they cashed this Over themselves. My money’s on yet another high-scoring affair.

ATL Braves v STL Cardinals: The Cardinals have a substantial advantage on the mound today with Sonny Gray (3.51 ERA) who pitches even better at home than he does on the road. On the other side, Atlanta has called up Daniel Davis, who has had 14 starts in Triple-A but will make just his second appearance for the Braves this season today. I expect the St. Louis offense to have the upper hand in this game – I say they bag at least 5 runs this evening.

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Today's Player Props

-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles: Eury Perez Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-125) | 0.15 Units

-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers: Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs (+265) | 0.15 Units (bold, I know...)

-LA Dodgers v SF Giants: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 7+ Strikeouts (+145) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Parlay

Parlay (+608) | 0.20 Units

-MIN Twins ML (-150)

-STL Cardinals ML (-170)

-SEA Mariners Team Total Over 3.5 (-150)

-TB Rays v BOS Red Sox Under 9.0 (-165) (alternate total)

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July 13, 2025: Belle's Picks & Player Props ⚾️

July 13, 2025

Today's Picks

-MIA Marlins Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles Over 9.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers Over 8.0 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals Team Total Over 4.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles: Orioles starter Brandon Young (6.14 ERA) has been the definition of unreliable, friends. Baltimore has lost 4 of Young’s last 5 starts, and their opponents have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of his last 5 outings. To be frank, I won’t be surprised if the Marlins offense gets to the Orioles pitcher early on; Trevor Rogers was a much tougher arm than Brandon Young, and even he couldn’t keep the Miami offense at bay in the second game of this series. My money’s on the Marlins to score at least 5 here. As for the full game total, I’m glad the price tag on this came down. When I looked at this game last night, the Over was sitting at -125 (I don’t love anything priced higher than -120…) and so I ruled it out for ‘Pick of the Day’. That said, at 1.91, I’ll bite – I think this game sees a final score of 6-5. Take the Over to hit, betting fam.

SEA Mariners v DET Tigers: Between Jack Flaherty (4.70 ERA) and Logan Gilbert’s 6.02 Away ERA, I think this total makes its way Over 8 runs. Both games in this series so far have gone well into the double digits, and Detroit will be eager to avoid getting swept. That said, Seattle’s bats have been on fire this last couple games – I wouldn’t be surprised if they cashed this Over themselves. My money’s on yet another high-scoring affair.

ATL Braves v STL Cardinals: The Cardinals have a substantial advantage on the mound today with Sonny Gray (3.51 ERA) who pitches even better at home than he does on the road. On the other side, Atlanta has called up Daniel Davis, who has had 14 starts in Triple-A but will make just his second appearance for the Braves this season today. I expect the St. Louis offense to have the upper hand in this game – I say they bag at least 5 runs this evening.

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Today's Player Props

-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles: Eury Perez Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-125) | 0.15 Units

-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers: Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs (+265) | 0.15 Units (bold, I know...)

-LA Dodgers v SF Giants: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 7+ Strikeouts (+145) | 0.15 Units

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July 13, 2025: Belle's Picks ⚾️

July 13, 2025

-MIA Marlins Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles Over 9.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-SEA Mariners v DET Tigers Over 8.0 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals Team Total Over 4.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

MIA Marlins v BAL Orioles: Orioles starter Brandon Young (6.14 ERA) has been the definition of unreliable, friends. Baltimore has lost 4 of Young’s last 5 starts, and their opponents have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of his last 5 outings. To be frank, I won’t be surprised if the Marlins offense gets to the Orioles pitcher early on; Trevor Rogers was a much tougher arm than Brandon Young, and even he couldn’t keep the Miami offense at bay in the second game of this series. My money’s on the Marlins to score at least 5 here. As for the full game total, I’m glad the price tag on this came down. When I looked at this game last night, the Over was sitting at -125 (I don’t love anything priced higher than -120…) and so I ruled it out for ‘Pick of the Day’. That said, at 1.91, I’ll bite – I think this game sees a final score of 6-5. Take the Over to hit, betting fam.

SEA Mariners v DET Tigers: Between Jack Flaherty (4.70 ERA) and Logan Gilbert’s 6.02 Away ERA, I think this total makes its way Over 8 runs. Both games in this series so far have gone well into the double digits, and Detroit will be eager to avoid getting swept. That said, Seattle’s bats have been on fire this last couple games – I wouldn’t be surprised if they cashed this Over themselves. My money’s on yet another high-scoring affair.

ATL Braves v STL Cardinals: The Cardinals have a substantial advantage on the mound today with Sonny Gray (3.51 ERA) who pitches even better at home than he does on the road. On the other side, Atlanta has called up Daniel Davis, who has had 14 starts in Triple-A but will make just his second appearance for the Braves this season today. I expect the St. Louis offense to have the upper hand in this game – I say they bag at least 5 runs this evening.

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