Today's Picks

-MIA Heat -8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-DAL Mavericks v MIA Heat Under 240.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-SF 49ers -7.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-CAR Panthers v SF 49ers Over 49.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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DAL Mavericks v MIA Heat: Miami is the far better team here, friends. The Heat have been on fire offensively while Dallas has lost 7 of their last 10. Have they kept some close games? Sure – but they haven’t been putting nearly as many points on the board as Miami. And I know, Miami is on a back-to-back, but that hasn’t stopped them from putting points on the board in recent past (see Nov 7 & 8, 2025). Having scored less than 100 points in 2 of their last 4 outings, I just don’t see the Mavericks keeping up here. I’m on the home team to cover. As for the total, while the Miami Heat offense is fire lately, Dallas hasn’t been putting nearly enough points on the board for me to entertain 240. The only 2 outings in Dallas’ last 10 that have cashed Over 240 required OT – the other 8 matchups haven’t touched 240. I’m on the Under.

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CAR Panthers v SF 49ers: I admit, the Panthers have been playing much better than I anticipated over the last few weeks – but the 49ers defense is a different beast, friends. I also have a hard time picturing Carolina's defense doing anything even remotely effective trying to stop Christian McCaffrey. That said, I do think the Panthers will bag a TD or two despite the fact that San Francisco's offense should easily find the end zone. Not to take away from Carolina's solid season, but the games they've won so far have been easy street for the most part (lol). For all of these reasons, I'm on both the home team to cover and on the Over to hit.

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Today's Player Props

-DAL Mavericks v MIA Heat: Bam Adebayo Over 21.5 Points (-115) | 0.20 Units

-CAR Panthers v SF 49ers: Christian McCaffrey Over 118.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards (-115) | 0.20 Units

-CAR Panthers v SF 49ers: Brock Purdy Over 255.5 Passing Yards (-110) | 0.20 Units

-CAR Panthers v SF 49ers: George Kittle Over 4.5 Receptions (-130) | 0.20 Units

-CAR Panthers v SF 49ers: George Kittle Anytime TD (+140) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+451) | 0.20 Units

-OTT Senators v LA Kings Under 5.5 (-125) 

-MIN Timberwolves v SAC Kings Under 237.0 (-110)

-UTA Jazz v GS Warriors Over 235.0 (alternate total) (-165)

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Today's Picks

-MIA Heat -8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-DAL Mavericks v MIA Heat Under 240.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-SF 49ers -7.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-CAR Panthers v SF 49ers Over 49.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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DAL Mavericks v MIA Heat: Miami is the far better team here, friends. The Heat have been on fire offensively while Dallas has lost 7 of their last 10. Have they kept some close games? Sure – but they haven’t been putting nearly as many points on the board as Miami. And I know, Miami is on a back-to-back, but that hasn’t stopped them from putting points on the board in recent past (see Nov 7 & 8, 2025). Having scored less than 100 points in 2 of their last 4 outings, I just don’t see the Mavericks keeping up here. I’m on the home team to cover. As for the total, while the Miami Heat offense is fire lately, Dallas hasn’t been putting nearly enough points on the board for me to entertain 240. The only 2 outings in Dallas’ last 10 that have cashed Over 240 required OT – the other 8 matchups haven’t touched 240. I’m on the Under.

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CAR Panthers v SF 49ers: I admit, the Panthers have been playing much better than I anticipated over the last few weeks – but the 49ers defense is a different beast, friends. I also have a hard time picturing Carolina's defense doing anything even remotely effective trying to stop Christian McCaffrey. That said, I do think the Panthers will bag a TD or two despite the fact that San Francisco's offense should easily find the end zone. Not to take away from Carolina's solid season, but the games they've won so far have been easy street for the most part (lol). For all of these reasons, I'm on both the home team to cover and on the Over to hit.

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Today's Player Props

-DAL Mavericks v MIA Heat: Bam Adebayo Over 21.5 Points (-115) | 0.20 Units

-CAR Panthers v SF 49ers: Christian McCaffrey Over 118.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards (-115) | 0.20 Units

-CAR Panthers v SF 49ers: Brock Purdy Over 255.5 Passing Yards (-110) | 0.20 Units

-CAR Panthers v SF 49ers: George Kittle Over 4.5 Receptions (-130) | 0.20 Units

-CAR Panthers v SF 49ers: George Kittle Anytime TD (+140) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Picks

-MIA Heat -8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-DAL Mavericks v MIA Heat Under 240.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-SF 49ers -7.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-CAR Panthers v SF 49ers Over 49.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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DAL Mavericks v MIA Heat: Miami is the far better team here, friends. The Heat have been on fire offensively while Dallas has lost 7 of their last 10. Have they kept some close games? Sure – but they haven’t been putting nearly as many points on the board as Miami. And I know, Miami is on a back-to-back, but that hasn’t stopped them from putting points on the board in recent past (see Nov 7 & 8, 2025). Having scored less than 100 points in 2 of their last 4 outings, I just don’t see the Mavericks keeping up here. I’m on the home team to cover. As for the total, while the Miami Heat offense is fire lately, Dallas hasn’t been putting nearly enough points on the board for me to entertain 240. The only 2 outings in Dallas’ last 10 that have cashed Over 240 required OT – the other 8 matchups haven’t touched 240. I’m on the Under.

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CAR Panthers v SF 49ers: I admit, the Panthers have been playing much better than I anticipated over the last few weeks – but the 49ers defense is a different beast, friends. I also have a hard time picturing Carolina's defense doing anything even remotely effective trying to stop Christian McCaffrey. That said, I do think the Panthers will bag a TD or two despite the fact that San Francisco's offense should easily find the end zone. Not to take away from Carolina's solid season, but the games they've won so far have been easy street for the most part (lol). For all of these reasons, I'm on both the home team to cover and on the Over to hit.

-MIA Heat -8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

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Why This Pick?

Miami is the far better team here, friends. The Heat have been on fire offensively while Dallas has lost 7 of their last 10. Have they kept some close games? Sure – but they haven’t been putting nearly as many points on the board as Miami. And I know, Miami is on a back-to-back, but that hasn’t stopped them from putting points on the board in recent past (see Nov 7 & 8, 2025). Having scored less than 100 points in 2 of their last 4 outings, I just don’t see the Mavericks keeping up here. I’m on the home team to cover.

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Good morning, all 😌 Time for a little morning recap – picks cashed 3/4 yesterday (including Pick of the Day) 🙌🏼, and Player Props hit 3/5! A green day is a good day, friends 💚 Congrats to everyone that tailed, and for those curious, here's what we had:

Picks (3/4)

-SEA Seahawks v TEN Titans Over 41.0 (-110) ✅

-LA Rams -7.0 (-110) ✅

-JAX Jaguars v ARI Cardinals Over 47.0 (-110) ✅

-SEA Seahawks -12.0 (-110) ❌

Player Props (3/5) 

-SEA Seahawks v TEN Titans: Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 97.5 Receiving Yards (-110) ✅

-NE Patriots v CIN Bengals: Drake Maye Over 256.5 Passing Yards (-110) ✅

-NY Giants v DET Lions: Amon-Ra St. Brown Anytime TD (-125) ✅

-ATL Falcons v NO Saints: Bijan Robinson 2 Or More TDs (+325) ❌

-TB Buccaneers v LA Rams: Puka Nacua Anytime TD (-120) ❌

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I will say, I'm a little surprised that the Seahawks blew the spread in the last 5 minutes of yesterday's game against the Titans (I've never been so happy I didn't make the double digit spread POTD...). I fully expected Seattle to cover given how much of a juggernaut their offense has been and how absolutely terrible the Titans have been 😂

Speaking of Pick of the Day, shoutout to the Arizona Cardinals for getting into FG range and NOT missing the FG! I think their kicker was 1 for 3 prior to making that kick, so the result very easily could've gone the other way 😮‍💨 Thank the sports betting Gods it didn't, and we got our bag of money 😆

That's all I've got re: yesterday!

FYI, my official Black Friday sale for the public starts today! If you missed the 60% off early access grab, you can still hop on to a tier for 40% off until Friday the 28th!

✨ Use code: BLACKFRIDAYBELLE at checkout or in "My Account" when upgrading (before Nov 28, 2025!)

Alright friends, time to finish my coffee! I'll have picks, player props & parlays out shortly – stand by 😉

X
Belle

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- JAX Jaguars v ARI Cardinals Over 47.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

Why This Pick?

The Cardinals have cashed the Over in 4 of their last 5 outings. Despite having lost 7 of their last 8 games, Arizona hasn’t struggled to get 20+ points on the board. As for Jacksonville, their offense has been firing on all cylinders this past few weeks; they’ve put at least 29 points in the bag over their last 3 matchups and they’ve allowed a staggering 29+ points in 3 of their last 4 games. I say the Over cashes with ease here. 

Note: As you all know, POTD has had a rough Nov! Things are particularly volatile right now, so feel free to sit this one out until things get hot again. If you're jumping out of the POTD plane with me, best of luck 😌👊🏽

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Today’s Picks

-SEA Seahawks v TEN Titans Over 41.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-SEA Seahawks -12.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-LA Rams -7.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-JAX Jaguars v ARI Cardinals Over 47.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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SEA Seahawks v TEN Titans: While the Titans struggle to put points on the board, the Seahawks certainly don’t. As we’ve seen in the last few weeks, Seattle is perfectly capable of bagging just about all of these points by themselves. That said, despite losing their last 5 straight games, Tennessee has still managed to put at least 13 on the board in their last 4 outings – I think they’ll do enough here to push the total Over 41.0, but not enough to cover the spread.

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TB Buccaneers v LA Rams: The Buccaneers have been having a rough few weeks, friends – 3 of their last 4 games were losses by at least a TD. Meanwhile, Los Angeles has been the definition of dialled winning their last 5 straight (4 of which were wins by at least 2 TDs). I love Baker Mayfield, but Tampa just hasn’t shown up enough in recent past for me to think they’ll put up enough of a fight against the home squad. I’m on the Rams to cover this evening.

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JAX Jaguars v ARI Cardinals: The Cardinals have cashed the Over in 4 of their last 5 outings. Despite having lost 7 of their last 8 games, Arizona hasn’t struggled to get 20+ points on the board. As for Jacksonville, their offense has been firing on all cylinders this past few weeks; they’ve put at least 29 points in the bag over their last 3 matchups and they’ve allowed a staggering 29+ points in 3 of their last 4 games. I say the Over cashes with ease here.

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Today’s Player Props

-SEA Seahawks v TEN Titans: Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 97.5 Receiving Yards (-110) | 0.20 Units

-NE Patriots v CIN Bengals: Drake Maye Over 256.5 Passing Yards (-110) | 0.20 Units

-TB Buccaneers v LA Rams: Puka Nacua Anytime TD (-120) | 0.20 Units

-NY Giants v DET Lions: Amon-Ra St. Brown Anytime TD (-125) | 0.20 Units

-ATL Falcons v NO Saints: Bijan Robinson 2 Or More TDs (+325) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+521) | 0.20 Units

-BAL Ravens -13.5 (-115) 

-IND Colts +3.5 (-110)

-JAX Jaguars ML (-135)

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Today’s Picks

-SEA Seahawks v TEN Titans Over 41.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-SEA Seahawks -12.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-LA Rams -7.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-JAX Jaguars v ARI Cardinals Over 47.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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SEA Seahawks v TEN Titans: While the Titans struggle to put points on the board, the Seahawks certainly don’t. As we’ve seen in the last few weeks, Seattle is perfectly capable of bagging just about all of these points by themselves. That said, despite losing their last 5 straight games, Tennessee has still managed to put at least 13 on the board in their last 4 outings – I think they’ll do enough here to push the total Over 41.0, but not enough to cover the spread.

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TB Buccaneers v LA Rams: The Buccaneers have been having a rough few weeks, friends – 3 of their last 4 games were losses by at least a TD. Meanwhile, Los Angeles has been the definition of dialled winning their last 5 straight (4 of which were wins by at least 2 TDs). I love Baker Mayfield, but Tampa just hasn’t shown up enough in recent past for me to think they’ll put up enough of a fight against the home squad. I’m on the Rams to cover this evening.

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JAX Jaguars v ARI Cardinals: The Cardinals have cashed the Over in 4 of their last 5 outings. Despite having lost 7 of their last 8 games, Arizona hasn’t struggled to get 20+ points on the board. As for Jacksonville, their offense has been firing on all cylinders this past few weeks; they’ve put at least 29 points in the bag over their last 3 matchups and they’ve allowed a staggering 29+ points in 3 of their last 4 games. I say the Over cashes with ease here.

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Today’s Player Props

-SEA Seahawks v TEN Titans: Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 97.5 Receiving Yards (-110) | 0.20 Units

-NE Patriots v CIN Bengals: Drake Maye Over 256.5 Passing Yards (-110) | 0.20 Units

-TB Buccaneers v LA Rams: Puka Nacua Anytime TD (-120) | 0.20 Units

-NY Giants v DET Lions: Amon-Ra St. Brown Anytime TD (-125) | 0.20 Units

-ATL Falcons v NO Saints: Bijan Robinson 2 Or More TDs (+325) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+521) | 0.20 Units

-BAL Ravens -13.5 (-115) 

-IND Colts +3.5 (-110)

-JAX Jaguars ML (-135)

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Today’s Picks

-SEA Seahawks v TEN Titans Over 41.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-SEA Seahawks -12.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-LA Rams -7.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-JAX Jaguars v ARI Cardinals Over 47.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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SEA Seahawks v TEN Titans: While the Titans struggle to put points on the board, the Seahawks certainly don’t. As we’ve seen in the last few weeks, Seattle is perfectly capable of bagging just about all of these points by themselves. That said, despite losing their last 5 straight games, Tennessee has still managed to put at least 13 on the board in their last 4 outings – I think they’ll do enough here to push the total Over 41.0, but not enough to cover the spread.

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TB Buccaneers v LA Rams: The Buccaneers have been having a rough few weeks, friends – 3 of their last 4 games were losses by at least a TD. Meanwhile, Los Angeles has been the definition of dialled winning their last 5 straight (4 of which were wins by at least 2 TDs). I love Baker Mayfield, but Tampa just hasn’t shown up enough in recent past for me to think they’ll put up enough of a fight against the home squad. I’m on the Rams to cover this evening.

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JAX Jaguars v ARI Cardinals: The Cardinals have cashed the Over in 4 of their last 5 outings. Despite having lost 7 of their last 8 games, Arizona hasn’t struggled to get 20+ points on the board. As for Jacksonville, their offense has been firing on all cylinders this past few weeks; they’ve put at least 29 points in the bag over their last 3 matchups and they’ve allowed a staggering 29+ points in 3 of their last 4 games. I say the Over cashes with ease here.

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Today’s Player Props

-SEA Seahawks v TEN Titans: Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 97.5 Receiving Yards (-110) | 0.20 Units

-NE Patriots v CIN Bengals: Drake Maye Over 256.5 Passing Yards (-110) | 0.20 Units

-TB Buccaneers v LA Rams: Puka Nacua Anytime TD (-120) | 0.20 Units

-NY Giants v DET Lions: Amon-Ra St. Brown Anytime TD (-125) | 0.20 Units

-ATL Falcons v NO Saints: Bijan Robinson 2 Or More TDs (+325) | 0.20 Units

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Today’s Picks

-SEA Seahawks v TEN Titans Over 41.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-SEA Seahawks -12.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-LA Rams -7.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-JAX Jaguars v ARI Cardinals Over 47.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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SEA Seahawks v TEN Titans: While the Titans struggle to put points on the board, the Seahawks certainly don’t. As we’ve seen in the last few weeks, Seattle is perfectly capable of bagging just about all of these points by themselves. That said, despite losing their last 5 straight games, Tennessee has still managed to put at least 13 on the board in their last 4 outings – I think they’ll do enough here to push the total Over 41.0, but not enough to cover the spread. I'm on the Over to cash & on the Seahawks to cover today.

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TB Buccaneers v LA Rams: The Buccaneers have been having a rough few weeks, friends – 3 of their last 4 games were losses by at least a TD. Meanwhile, Los Angeles has been the definition of dialled winning their last 5 straight (4 of which were wins by at least 2 TDs). I love Baker Mayfield, but Tampa just hasn’t shown up enough in recent past for me to think they’ll put up enough of a fight against the home squad. I’m on the Rams to cover this evening.

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JAX Jaguars v ARI Cardinals: The Cardinals have cashed the Over in 4 of their last 5 outings. Despite having lost 7 of their last 8 games, Arizona hasn’t struggled to get 20+ points on the board. As for Jacksonville, their offense has been firing on all cylinders this past few weeks; they’ve put at least 29 points in the bag over their last 3 matchups and they’ve allowed a staggering 29+ points in 3 of their last 4 games. I say the Over cashes with ease here.

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